[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Darin LaHood

Republican · Representative, IL ·16

Score Components

36 HIGH

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

55 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Car Dependency: 78.8% drive alone to work; 23.5-min average commute; 0.3% public transit usage

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 4.5% (vs. 3.5% nationally, 2026 estimate)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+100 (LegisLetter 2026); Trump won the district by 22 points in 2020

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Age: 41.7 years (vs. 38.5 nationally); largest age cohort: 60-69 at 13.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: White (Non-Hispanic) 86%, Hispanic 7.31%, Asian 2.5%, Black ~5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 31.6% (vs. 33.7% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 78.5% (vs. 65.5% nationally); median property value $200,500; median rent $1,020

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 5.4% (LegisLetter) / 8.23% (Data USA)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $84,411 (vs. $78,538 national median)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 748,860

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Advisory Question 3 (2024) — Non-binding question on whether political candidates should be subject to civil penalties for interfering with election workers' duties (2024) — passed, margin Nearly 89% Yes

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Advisory Question 2 (2024) — Non-binding question on whether IVF and reproductive treatments should be covered by insurance plans that cover other pregnancy benefits (2024) — passed, margin Over 72% Yes

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Advisory Question 1 (2024) — Non-binding question on creating an additional 3% tax on income over $1 million for property tax relief (2024) — passed, margin Over 60% Yes

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (Agriculture — corn, soybeans, ethanol production) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (Health Care and Social Assistance — OSF HealthCare) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (Manufacturing — Rivian, Caterpillar, food processing) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 (Finance and Insurance — State Farm) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Illinois State University (Normal) (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Caterpillar Inc. (Peoria area facilities) (19000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: OSF HealthCare (Peoria/Bloomington) (21000 employees)

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Ernst & Young major_donor Career: $114,900 ($67,400 individuals + $47,500 PAC). Second-largest career contributor.

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — $4.5 trillion reconciliation package with hundreds	yea	2025-05-22	misaligned
Authorization of an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden	yea	2023-12-14	misaligned
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 — Medicare drug price negotiation, $35/month ins	nay	2022-08-12	misaligned
Respect for Marriage Act — Federal protection for same-sex and interracial marri	nay	2022-07-19	deviating
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act — $1.2 trillion for roads, bridges, broad	nay	2021-11-05	misaligned
Impeachment of Donald Trump — Incitement of insurrection following the January 6	nay	2021-01-13	deviating
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — $1.9 trillion deficit increase; corporate tax ra	yea	2017-12-20	aligned
American Health Care Act of 2017 — Partial ACA repeal; CBO projected 23 million	yea	2017-05-04	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "LaHood voted against the $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act on November 5, 2021, calling it 'irresponsible' and stating it 'enables "

Vote: on "Just 11 days later, on November 16, 2021, LaHood issued a press release celebrating a $13.5 million "

LaHood denounced the bipartisan infrastructure bill as 'irresponsible' and voted against it, then just 11 days later celebrated a $13.5 million RAISE grant funded by that same bill for a rail project in his district — without addressing the contradic

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "LaHood voted for the American Health Care Act (H.R. 1628) on May 4, 2017, stating it 'will also continue to protect Americans with pre-existing condit"

Vote: on "The CBO projected the AHCA would cause 23 million Americans to lose health coverage by 2026 and perm"

LaHood claimed the AHCA would 'continue to protect Americans with pre-existing conditions' and that such coverage was 'guaranteed,' but the CBO projected 23 million would lose coverage and the bill permitted states to waive essential health benefits.

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "LaHood signed onto the Texas amicus brief in December 2020, a failed Supreme Court lawsuit seeking to overturn the 2020 presidential election results "

Vote: on "On January 7, 2021, LaHood voted to certify the 2020 Electoral College results stating: 'This evenin"

LaHood signed the Texas amicus brief attempting to overturn the 2020 election, then voted to certify the same results weeks later. Republican Accountability noted he 'was never clear with his constituents that Joe Biden was going to be the next Presi

Last silence detection: Never

Refusal to hold in-person town halls — constituents held one without him

284d silent

Expected position: As representative of 749,000 central Illinoisans, LaHood would be expected to hold open, in-person town halls accessible to all constituents, especially amid significant policy chan

Silence on contradiction between signing Texas amicus brief and voting to certify 2020 election

27d silent

Expected position: As a congressman who signed onto the Texas amicus brief attempting to overturn the 2020 election results and then voted to certify those same results, LaHood would be expected to cl

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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