GOBLIN HOUSE
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| Bill | Vote | Date | Alignment |
|---|---|---|---|
| War Powers Resolution to remove U.S. Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities | nay | 2026-03-05 | aligned |
| Laken Riley Act (requiring detention and deportation of undocumented immigrants | yea | 2025-01-22 | deviating |
| Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act (sanctioning the International Criminal Cou | yea | 2025-01-09 | deviating |
| Censuring Representative Rashida Tlaib for comments on the Israel-Hamas war | yea | 2023-11-07 | deviating |
| Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (providing $14.3 billion i | yea | 2023-11-02 | mixed |
| Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling deal negotiated by President Bid | yea | 2023-05-31 | aligned |
The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:
| Component | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Silence Risk | 25% | Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent |
| Contradiction Risk | 25% | Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted) |
| Connection Density | 20% | Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups |
| Intelligence Volume | 10% | Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale) |
| Donor Influence | 10% | Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction |
| Constituency Deviation | 5% | Gap between district priorities and legislative focus |
| Voting Misalignment | 5% | Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions |
Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.
Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.
Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.
Full methodology: /congress/methodology