[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

James P. McGovern

Democratic · Representative, MA ·2

Score Components

17 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

55 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,482/month (national: $1,163) — elevated but below Boston metro

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index (2026 rating): D+100 — Solid Seat; D shift +7 from prior cycle

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/ethnic composition: 72.6% White, 11.7% Hispanic — increasingly diverse

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 39.5 (national: 38.5) — largest cohort 20-29 at 14.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 5.2% (national: 3.5%) — elevated

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.8% (national: 12.4%) — well below national average

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 65.6% (national: 65.5%); median home value $444,400

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 46.5% (national: 33.7%) — 21.7% hold post-graduate degrees, one of the most educated districts nationally

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 787,021 — includes Worcester (2nd-largest New England city) and Northampton (Pioneer Valley)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $97,592 (national: $37,585) — more than double the national median

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 4 (2024): Limited Legalization and Regulation of Certain Psychedelic Substances (2024) — failed, margin 56.7% No to 43.3% Yes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 1 (2024): Authorizing the State Auditor to Audit the Legislature (2024) — passed, margin 72% Yes to 28% No — overwhelming approval

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.24)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Hanover Insurance Group (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: College of the Holy Cross (1200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) (1500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School (6000 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Protecting America's Workforce Act (restoring collective bargaining rights for o	yea	2025-12-11	aligned
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026	nay	2025-12-10	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (budget reconciliation — Medicaid/SNAP cuts, tax refo	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Rescissions Act of 2025 ($9.4B in cuts: CPB, USAID, foreign assistance)	nay	2025-06-12	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act (documentary proof of citizenshi	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
House Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution ($4.5 trillion in tax cuts, $1.5 trilli	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act (mandatory immigration detention for theft-related arrests witho	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8B military and econ	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act (TikTok	nay	2024-03-13	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($17.6B standalone militar	nay	2024-02-06	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "McGovern pledged in 2019 to stop accepting corporate PAC money, writing in CNN: 'Our system is rigged to favor those at the top. And I believe the per"

Vote: on "Federal records show McGovern accepted at least $125,000 in the 2023-2024 cycle from trade associati"

McGovern's high-profile 2019 pledge to reject corporate PAC money did not extend to trade association PACs — a loophole that allowed at least $125,000 from groups representing sugar, alcohol, insurance, and consumer brands into his campaign. When ask

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "McGovern voted to fund Israel's Iron Dome in 2021 along with 207 House Democrats and 210 Republicans. Only 8 Democrats voted against the funding."

Vote: on "McGovern told Axios in April 2026 that he 'cannot support more military assistance' to Israeli Prime"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] McGovern evolved from supporting Iron Dome funding (2021) to opposing all Israel military aid (2026). The shift occurred in stages: he voted against standalone Israel aid in February 2024

Last silence detection: Never

McGovern has held numerous packed in-person town halls — including 700+ in Worcester and Greenfield in March 2025 — and even traveled to a GOP district in Pennsylvania to host one, making him an outlier among Democrats who have retreated from in-person forums.

485d silent

Expected position: As a progressive congressman, McGovern would be expected to maintain open public engagement; he has exceeded expectations, making his silence on other topics more notable by contras

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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