[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michael T. McCaul

Republican · Representative, TX ·10

Score Components

29 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

55 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Drives alone to work: 68.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 36.2

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 4.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 25.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 62.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 797,070 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,310

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median home value: $369,600

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 41.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 67.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $84,909 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 1 — Property Tax Reduction (2023) (2023) — passed, margin approved by voters

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 6 — Water Infrastructure Fund (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 77.5% to 22.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.09)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 - Educational Services (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Katy Independent School District (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Cypress-Fairbanks Independent School District (15000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 — Ending the 76-Day Par	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	yea_unverified	2025-11-12	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	yea	2025-07-03	aligned
No Rogue Rulings Act (NORRA) — On Passage	yea	2025-04-11	mixed
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	yea	2025-04-10	mixed
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-22	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion)	yea	2024-04-20	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "McCaul was the lead sponsor of H.R. 7521, the 'Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act' — the bill to force ByteDance "

Vote: on "Shortly after introducing the TikTok ban legislation, McCaul's household purchased approximately $1."

McCaul authored the legislation to ban TikTok. Shortly after, his household bought $1.15 million in Meta stock — the competitor that would benefit most from a TikTok ban. McCaul denied any knowledge, attributing trades to his wife's third-party manag

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "McCaul swore off earmarks in March 2008 after the Houston Chronicle revealed he had sponsored $20 million in earmarks. He stated he stopped requesting"

Vote: on "On July 3, 2025, McCaul voted for the OBBB and celebrated that it 'includes a McCaul-authored provis"

McCaul swore off earmarks in 2008 after criticism of his $20 million in pork, then led the House effort to ban earmarks institutionally. In 2025, he secured a $13.5 billion provision in the OBBB to reimburse Texas for border security costs — a spendi

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "On Friday, January 27, 2017, McCaul fully endorsed Trump's executive order banning entry from seven majority-Muslim countries, issuing a statement tha"

Vote: on "By Sunday, January 29, 2017, after nationwide airport protests and federal court stays, McCaul relea"

McCaul fully endorsed Trump's Muslim travel ban on Friday as one of its co-authors, then reversed course by Sunday after nationwide protests, calling for 'adjustments' and better coordination. Both statements were reported in the same Burnt Orange Re

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls and direct constituent accessibility in TX-10

210d silent

Expected position: As the representative of a district stretching from Austin to Houston suburbs, McCaul would be expected to hold in-person town halls to engage constituents on issues including the O

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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