[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

John R. Moolenaar

Republican · Representative, MI ·2

Score Components

6 LOW

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

0 → 0

Intelligence Volume 10%

47 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 784,314 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 82.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 22.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 8.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $67,585 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposal 2: Promote the Vote 2022 (Voting Rights) (2022) — passed, margin 60.0% Yes – 40.0% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposal 1: Legislative Term Limits and Financial Disclosure (2022) — passed, margin 66.3% Yes – 33.7% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposal 3: Right to Reproductive Freedom (2022) — passed, margin 56.7% Yes – 43.3% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 111 (share 0.058)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 336 (share 0.065)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 611 (share 0.088)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 622 (share 0.132)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 325 (share 0.105)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Corewell Health (Spectrum Health) (60000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Ferris State University (1400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Central Michigan University (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: MyMichigan Health (10600 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Dow Inc (9000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Michigan's 2nd Congressional District covers a broad swath of Western and Central Michigan, including all or part of 19 counties from the Lake Michigan shoreline (Mason, Oceana, Manistee counties) eastward through Midland, Mount Pleasant, Big Rapids, and Cadillac, plus portions of Muskegon, Kent, and Ottawa counties.

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Voted nay on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Moolenaar voted against $60.8 billion in Ukraine aid, joining 112 Republicans in opposition while 101 supported it. The GOP for Ukraine organization gave him an 'F' grade, noting he voted against Ukraine funding across multiple measures including the 2022 supplemen

primary · 2024-04-20

Ernst & Young pac_donor Career: $63,400 ($28,400 individuals + $35,000 PAC)

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — Budget Reconciliation (Concurrence in Senate Amendm	yea	2025-07-03	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay	2024-04-20	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

No contradictions detected

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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