[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Seth Moulton

Democratic · Representative, MA ·6

Score Components

24 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median home value: $670,800

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: 2024 general election result (Moulton unopposed): Moulton (D) unopposed

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate (2024): 70.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher (age 25+): 50.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population Hispanic: 11.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population White (Non-Hispanic): 75.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2024): 7.15%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024): $118,476

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 3 (2024) — Allow Rideshare Drivers to Unionize (2024) — passed, margin 54% yes – 46% no

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 2 (2024) — Eliminate MCAS Graduation Requirement (2024) — passed, margin 59% yes – 41% no

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 1 (2024) — Authorize State Auditor to Audit the Legislature (2024) — passed, margin 72% yes – 28% no

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 - Accommodation and Food Services (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 - Educational Services (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.17)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Endicott College (1000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Salem State University (1200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: GE Aviation (Lynn facility) (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Beverly Hospital / Beth Israel Lahey Health (3000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Resolution condemning antisemitic attack in Boulder, Colorado; authorizing state	yea	2025-06-11	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (standalone Israel aid wit	nay	2024-02-06	deviating
Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2023 (barring transgender student	nay	2023-04-20	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Moulton co-sponsored the Transgender Bill of Rights in the 117th and 118th Congresses, which included protections for transgender athletes to particip"

Vote: on "In November 2024 after the election, Moulton told The New York Times, 'I have two little girls. I do"

Moulton co-sponsored the Transgender Bill of Rights protecting transgender athletes' participation in sports matching their gender identity, then made public comments opposing transgender girls competing in girls' sports, saying he doesn't want his d

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Rep. Seth Moulton pledged to return 'any AIPAC donations to my campaign' and refuse all future AIPAC support in October 2025, writing in his announcem"

Vote: on "Analysis of FEC filings by the Washington Free Beacon in February 2026 found Moulton has held onto m"

Moulton publicly pledged in October 2025 to return 'any AIPAC donations' and refuse all future support, but subsequent FEC analysis showed he kept over $40,000 in AIPAC-linked contributions from 2024, returning only about half. His campaign later cla

Last silence detection: Never

Ceasefire in Gaza / Israel-Hamas war (October 2023 – February 2024)

163d silent

Expected position: As a Marine veteran, member of the House Armed Services Committee, and Democrat in a progressive Massachusetts district, Moulton would be expected to articulate a position on the Is

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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