GOBLIN HOUSE
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| Bill | Vote | Date | Alignment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing Resolution to end the 43-day government shutdown (November 2025) | yea | 2025-11-12 | mixed |
| One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump's 2025 Budget Reconciliation) | nay | 2025-07-03 | aligned |
| Laken Riley Act (2025) | yea | 2025-01-07 | deviating |
| Israel Security Assistance Support Act of 2024 | nay | 2024-05-16 | deviating |
| Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.84 billion) | yea | 2024-04-20 | aligned |
| Strongly condemning and denouncing the drastic rise of antisemitism in the Unite | nay | 2023-12-05 | deviating |
| Censuring Representative Rashida Tlaib for comments on Israel-Hamas war | nay | 2023-11-07 | deviating |
| National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024 | nay | 2023-07-14 | mixed |
| Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Deal) | yea | 2023-05-31 | deviating |
| For the People Act of 2021 (Campaign Finance, Voting Rights, Ethics Reform) | yea | 2021-03-03 | mixed |
The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:
| Component | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Silence Risk | 25% | Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent |
| Contradiction Risk | 25% | Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted) |
| Connection Density | 20% | Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups |
| Intelligence Volume | 10% | Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale) |
| Donor Influence | 10% | Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction |
| Constituency Deviation | 5% | Gap between district priorities and legislative focus |
| Voting Misalignment | 5% | Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions |
Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.
Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.
Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.
Full methodology: /congress/methodology