[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Republican · Representative, IA ·1

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

53 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Rural population share: Approximately 35% (significant rural component outside Quad Cities and Iowa City metro areas)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: Approximately 68% (above national average of 65.5%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 36.8 (below Iowa median of 38.7, reflecting University of Iowa student population)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+4 (competitive; Miller-Meeks won 2020 by 6 votes, 2022 by approximately 2,500 votes)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: Approximately 11% (near Iowa average of 10.5%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: Approximately 36% (above Iowa average of 31% and national average of 33.7%, driven by University of Iowa presence)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: Approximately 5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: Approximately 6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White non-Hispanic population share: Approximately 82%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: Approximately $65,800 (above Iowa median of $63,683, near national median of $74,580)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Iowa Constitutional Amendment — Abortion (no right in constitution) (2024) (2024) — failed, margin Statewide: 49% Yes — 51% No (failed to pass)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Iowa Amendment 1 — Right to Bear Arms (2022) (2022) — passed, margin Statewide: 65% Yes — 35% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 48-49 Transportation and Warehousing (share 0.07)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 Educational Services (share 0.09)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 33 Manufacturing (share 0.13)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 Agriculture Forestry Fishing and Hunting (share 0.08)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.2)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kraft Heinz (Davenport) (1800 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Rock Island Arsenal / Army Sustainment Command (6000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Arconic (formerly Alcoa — Davenport rolling mill) (2200 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (119th Congress)	yea_unverified	2025-07-03	misaligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea_unverified	2024-04-20	deviating
Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act (TikTok	yea_unverified	2024-03-13	mixed
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling)	yea_unverified	2023-05-31	deviating
Consolidated Appropriations Act 2023	nay_unverified	2022-12-23	mixed
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022	nay_unverified	2022-08-12	misaligned
Certification of 2020 Electoral College Results	yea_unverified	2021-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Miller-Meeks has publicly described herself as committed to healthcare access for all Iowans and has emphasized her rural physician background as cent"

Vote: on "Miller-Meeks voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which the CBO projected would cu"

Miller-Meeks's stated platform of healthcare access for rural Iowans — grounded in her identity as a rural physician — sits in direct tension with her vote for the OBBBA, which the CBO projected would cause 7.5 million Americans to lose Medicaid cove

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Miller-Meeks voted to certify the 2020 presidential election results following the January 6 Capitol attack, stating she was upholding her constitutio"

Vote: on "Miller-Meeks voted against the creation of the January 6th Select Committee to investigate the Capit"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Miller-Meeks voted to certify the 2020 election results — explicitly upholding the constitutional process — then voted against creating the investigative committee designed to document the

Last silence detection: Never

Medicare physician reimbursement rate cuts and their impact on rural Iowa physician recruitment

1460d silent

Expected position: Miller-Meeks is an ophthalmologist who practiced in rural Iowa for decades and has made her physician background central to her legislative identity and public communications. Medic

Ethanol mandate reform and its intersection with AMA/physician donor interests in reducing corn-based fuel policy

1460d silent

Expected position: Miller-Meeks represents a heavily agricultural district where ethanol production is economically central (Iowa produces approximately 25% of U.S. ethanol). Her top career donor sect

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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