[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Morgan McGarvey

Democratic · Representative, KY ·3

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 38.1

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 5.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 93.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 9.78% (73.2k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American population share: 21.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 62.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 748,522 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median home value: $239,900

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 36.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 60.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.9% (ACS 5-Year); 14.8% (Data USA 2024 broader measure)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $68,047 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Kentucky Constitutional Amendment 1 — Constitutional right to abortion prohibition (2022) (2022) — failed, margin 52.3% to 47.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Kentucky Constitutional Amendment 2 — Public funding for non-public education (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 65% to 35%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 48-49 - Transportation and Warehousing (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Brown-Forman Corporation (Louisville — Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Humana Inc. (corporate headquarters — Louisville) (12000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	nay	2026-04-30	aligned
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026	nay	2026-01-22	aligned
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	nay	2025-11-12	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment and Fin	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
No Rogue Rulings Act (NORRA) — On Passage	nay	2025-04-11	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	nay	2025-01-07	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "In April 2025, McGarvey co-sponsored the Bipartisan Restoring Faith in Government Act and TRUST in Congress Act to ban Members of Congress from tradin"

Vote: on "The New York Post reported McGarvey — identified as the Congressional Progressive Caucus's top trade"

McGarvey co-sponsored legislation to ban congressional stock trading and publicly stated he had 'divested from all individual stocks,' yet the NY Post reported he was the Congressional Progressive Caucus's top trader with a 106% return in 2024 — surp

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "McGarvey voted Yea on H.Res.719, a House resolution 'Honoring the life and legacy of Charles James Kirk' — a controversial conservative activist shot "

Vote: on "Immediately after the Charlie Kirk vote, McGarvey issued a statement that Kirk spread 'hateful rheto"

McGarvey voted for a resolution praising Charlie Kirk's legacy as a 'fierce defender of the American founding,' then immediately issued a statement calling Kirk's rhetoric 'hateful.' A constituent letter in the Courier Journal called it a 'vote to ho

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "McGarvey served on the House Budget Committee and blasted the Republican budget as 'a slap in the face to Kentucky and all of rural America,' declarin"

Vote: on "McGarvey voted Nay on the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act (H.R. 5371) on November 12, 2"

McGarvey condemned Republicans for policies he said would harm 'rural America' and accused them of hypocrisy on the national debt — yet voted against the CR that would have reopened the government and restored SNAP benefits, federal employee paycheck

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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