[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Kevin Mullin

Democratic · Representative, CA ·15

Score Components

10 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

18 → 5

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+46

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 5.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 25.9% (191,000 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian (Non-Hispanic) population share: 37.4% (276,000 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median property value: $1,410,000

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 39.5% (292,000 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 40.7

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 49.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 57.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 4.7% (ACS) / 7.31% (Data USA 2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $149,727

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 36 — Homelessness, Drug Addiction and Theft Reduction Act (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 68.4% Yes — 31.6% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1 — Behavioral Health Services and Bond Measure (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 50.2% Yes — 49.8% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Oracle Corporation (Redwood Shores / Austin relocation) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Gilead Sciences (Foster City) (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Genentech / Roche (South San Francisco) (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 15th Congressional District encompasses most of San Mateo County and the southeastern portion of San Francisco, covering the heart of the San Francisco Peninsula. Home to approximately 738,509 constituents, the district is a majority-minority district where Asian (Non-Hispanic) residents form the largest

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 (March 2026)	nay	2026-03-27	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act	nay	2025-01-14	aligned
Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act (ICC Sanctions)	nay	2025-01-09	mixed
Laken Riley Act	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
National Security Supplemental (Israel, Ukraine, Taiwan — April 2024)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (Standalone GOP bill, February 2	nay	2024-02-06	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 30/100

Platform: "Mullin campaigned as a champion of democracy reform and transparency, authoring California's landmark DISCLOSE Act and the Social Media DISCLOSE Act t"

Vote: on "Despite campaigning on government reform, Mullin introduced only 6 bills in the 118th Congress — the"

Mullin campaigns as a legislative reformer and transparency champion, yet introduced only 6 bills in the 118th Congress — the 3rd fewest in the California delegation — and zero became law, per GovTrack. His legislative productivity lags significantly

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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