[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jennifer L. McClellan

Democratic · Representative, VA ·4

Score Components

16 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

48 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 37.2

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 59.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 33.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 13.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $70,751

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Virginia Question SJR 501 — Expand Property Tax Exemption for Surviving Spouses of Soldiers Who Died in the Line of Duty (2024) — passed, margin 93% Yes — 7% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.089)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.139)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Educational Services (35416 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Retail Trade (44687 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Health Care & Social Assistance (55431 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Virginia's 4th Congressional District stretches from Richmond south to the North Carolina border, encompassing the state capital, Petersburg, and rural Southside counties. The district is home to approximately 796,326 residents and is a majority-minority district (42.8% White, 41.5% Black, 10.4% Hispanic). The median

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: McClellan voted YEA on $60.8 billion in Ukraine aid alongside all 210 voting Democrats — a party-line vote that nonetheless carries constituent salience. VA-04 hosts defense contractors that benefit from security spending, but the vote primarily reflects McClellan'

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted yea on H.R. 8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: McClellan voted YEA on $26.38 billion in Israel military and humanitarian aid, aligning with her top donor AIPAC. The vote contrasts with her NAY on H.R. 6090 just 11 days later — illustrating the complexity of her Israel-related voting: she supports direct aid and

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted nay on H.R. 6090 (Antisemitism Awareness Act of 2023) on 2024-05-01: McClellan voted NAY against the Democratic majority (133 YEA, 70 NAY), defecting on a bill that her second-largest donor AIPAC ($23,550 in 2024 cycle) strongly supported. The bill codified a broad definition of antisemitism that critics said could chill criticism of Israeli policy — c

primary · 2024-05-01

[disclosure] McClellan's 2023-2024 federal campaign committee reported $22,000 in contributions from Dominion Energy ($17,000 from individuals, $5,000 via PAC), per OpenSecrets analysis of FEC data.

primary · 2024-12-31

[statement] "RVA Mag: Do you take money from Dominion? JMC: I do not." — Jennifer McClellan during her 2021 Virginia gubernatorial campaign interview with RVA Mag.

primary · 2020-08-06

McClellan has cast 611 recorded votes in the House with a 99.8% voting record, missing only 1 vote, and has zero votes against the Democratic party majority according to C-SPAN's tracking.

secondary · 2026-04-27

McClellan's Q2 2025 FEC disclosure reported $158,900 in fundraising, with 53.6% from individual donors.

primary · 2025-07-15

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Antisemitism Awareness Act of 2023	nay	2024-05-01	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: ""RVA Mag: Do you take money from Dominion? JMC: I do not." — Jennifer McClellan during her 2021 Virginia gubernatorial campaign interview with RVA Mag"

Vote: on "McClellan's 2023-2024 federal campaign committee reported $22,000 in contributions from Dominion Ene"

In a 2020 gubernatorial campaign interview with RVA Mag, McClellan explicitly denied taking money from Dominion Energy. Four years later, her 2023-2024 federal campaign filings revealed $22,000 in Dominion Energy contributions. Both sources are indep

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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