[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

David McCormick

Republican · Senator, PA

Score Components

33 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: SNAP enrollment: Approximately 3 million Pennsylvanians

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 68.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White alone, not Hispanic or Latino: 76.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 13,078,751

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024): $77,545

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Marriage Definition Amendment (2016 — proposed constitutional amendment defining marriage as between one man and one woman; never reached ballot due to legislative timeline) (2016) — never reached ballot, margin N/A — the legislative process was not completed

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Legislative Resolution to Extend Emergency Declarations (2021 Primary — joint resolution to extend or terminate governor's emergency declarations without governor's signature) (2021) — passed, margin 52.4% yes to 47.6% no

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Emergency Declaration Constitutional Amendment (2021 Primary — limiting governor's emergency powers to 21 days without legislative approval) (2021) — passed, margin 54.2% yes to 45.8% no

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.18)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Pennsylvania Health System (28400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Amazon (30000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Pennsylvania State University (33500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Walmart (55300 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Pennsylvania is a key swing state in the Northeastern U.S. with a population of approximately 13 million and 19 electoral votes. Donald Trump won the state in 2024 with 3,543,308 votes. The state has a median household income of $77,545 (2024), below the national median of $83,730. The poverty rate is 10.6%. Pennsylv

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Voted sponsor on Term Limits Constitutional Amendment (Congressional Term Limits Joint Resolution) on 2025-08-01: McCormick introduced a Senate joint resolution to impose term limits on lawmakers, a companion to Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick's House version. The resolution proposes a constitutional amendment to limit congressional service — a populist reform measur

primary · 2025-08-01

Voted not in office on H.R. 8404 (Respect for Marriage Act) on 2022-11-29: McCormick was not yet in the Senate for this landmark vote codifying same-sex and interracial marriage protections. Pat Toomey, the Republican senator McCormick replaced, voted against the bill. McCormick has not publicly stated how he would have voted but has presented himself as a m

primary · 2022-11-29

Voted yea on Pete Hegseth Confirmation (Confirmation of Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense) on 2025-01-25: McCormick supported Hegseth's confirmation, which required Vice President Vance to cast a tiebreaking vote. All Democrats and three GOP senators opposed Hegseth over allegations of personal misconduct and lack of experience. McCormick, a West Point gr

primary · 2025-01-25

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
SAVE America Act (citizenship proof to vote)	yea (advocate)	2026-02-15	deviating
Congressional Term Limits Joint Resolution	sponsor	2025-08-01	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act	yea	2025-07-01	aligned
Accelerating Charitable Efforts Act — bipartisan bill to police donor-advised fu	sponsor	2025-06-01	deviating
Confirmation of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services	yea	2025-02-13	deviating
Confirmation of Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense	yea	2025-01-25	deviating
Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act (cloture vote)	yea	2025-01-22	deviating
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-09	deviating
National Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan	not in office	2024-04-23	deviating
Respect for Marriage Act	not in office	2022-11-29	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "McCormick voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, celebrating it as delivering 'tax relief' and saying the bill 'delivers on many of the promises th"

Vote: on "McCormick campaigned as a fiscal conservative, attacking Bob Casey for voting for 'EVERY spending pa"

McCormick campaigned as a fiscal conservative attacking Casey for 'EVERY spending package,' yet his decisive vote for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act — which the CBO projected would add $3.3 trillion to the deficit — represents a profound contradictio

reversal 90/100

Platform: "McCormick stated on the DVJournal podcast: 'I've evolved on the tariff issue.' As Bush Treasury Under Secretary, he was a 'free trader and a tariff fo"

Vote: on "As Bush Treasury Under Secretary, McCormick advocated for 'free and open international investment,' "

McCormick reinvented himself from a free-trade, pro-globalization Treasury official who warned against 'protectionism' into a Trump-aligned senator who now embraces tariffs as 'fair trade' — a complete reversal he himself characterizes as having 'evo

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "McCormick's 2023 book 'Superpower in Peril: A Battleplan to Renew America' called China an 'existential threat' and argued for gaining technological a"

Vote: on "Bridgewater Associates raised more than $1 billion for investments in China in 2021 while McCormick "

McCormick's 2023 book frames China as an 'existential threat,' but as Bridgewater CEO he oversaw the firm raising over $1 billion for Chinese investments, making Bridgewater one of the largest foreign fund managers in China — a tension his campaign d

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls with constituents

479d silent

Expected position: As a freshman U.S. Senator representing Pennsylvania's 13 million residents, McCormick would be expected to hold publicly accessible, in-person town hall meetings where constituents

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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