[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Troy E. Nehls

Republican · Representative, TX ·22

Score Components

30 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 37.5

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 47.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian population share: 15.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 29.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 7.98%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 75.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 833,743

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024 ACS): $110,835

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Fort Bend County Mobility Bond ($712.6 million for road and mobility projects) (2023) — passed, margin 64% Yes, 36% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1 — Right to Farm, Ranch, and Harvest Wildlife (2023) — passed, margin 79.3% Yes, 20.7% No statewide

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.105)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.111)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.125)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Schlumberger (Sugar Land campus) (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Memorial Hermann Health System (27000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Katy Independent School District (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Fort Bend Independent School District (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Texas's 22nd Congressional District covers a largely suburban southwestern portion of the Greater Houston metropolitan area, including portions of Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. The district is deeply Republican (Cook PVI R+22 to R+24) but is a majority-minority district: 45.7% White, 29.4% Hispanic, 15% A

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Voted yea on H.Con.Res. 14 (Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution (Trump budget framework — groundwork for $4.5 trillion tax cuts, $1.5 trillion in program cuts)) on 2025-02-25: Nehls voted to advance the budget resolution that set the stage for the OBBBA's tax cuts and program cuts. The resolution passed 216-214 on a near-party-line vote. Nehls' vote aligned w

primary · 2025-02-25

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 3233 (National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Capitol Complex Act) on 2021-05-19: Nehls voted against establishing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6 Capitol attack that he personally experienced and helped defend against. All 217 Democrats and 35 Republicans voted yes; Nehls

primary · 2021-05-19 ✓ Verified

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump budget reconciliation — tax cuts, Medicaid cut	yea	2025-07-03	mixed
Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution (Trump budget framework — groundwork for $4.5	yea	2025-02-25	aligned
Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act (ICC sanctions over Netanyahu arrest warran	yea_unverified	2025-01-09	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.1 billion Ukraine ai	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension)	nay	2023-05-31	misaligned
National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Cap	nay_unverified	2021-05-19	misaligned
Objecting to Pennsylvania's Electoral College certification (January 6, 2021)	yea	2021-01-07	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Nehls built his political persona on his tenure as sheriff of Fort Bend County, running on a 'law and order' platform. His campaign slogan emphasizes "

Vote: on "In May 2024, the Office of Congressional Ethics unanimously found probable cause that Nehls converte"

Nehls brands himself as the 'law and order' candidate and former sheriff, yet he has been found by the OCE to have probable cause for converting campaign funds to personal use (a potential violation of federal law) and has violated the STOCK Act by f

reversal 90/100

Platform: "On April 26, 2023, Nehls proudly voted for the Limit, Save, Grow Act, stating it 'responsibly raises the debt ceiling while saving $4.8 trillion over "

Vote: on "On May 31, 2023, Nehls voted against the Fiscal Responsibility Act, the final bipartisan debt ceilin"

Nehls voted for the GOP debt ceiling bill in April 2023 calling it 'responsible,' then voted against the final bipartisan Fiscal Responsibility Act just 35 days later — a reversal on the same policy question of whether to suspend the debt ceiling. Th

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "On July 3, 2025, Nehls voted 'YES' on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, calling it 'promises made, promises kept,' sending it to Trump's desk."

Vote: on "On July 8, 2025 — five days later — Nehls became the first Republican cosponsor of the FAIR BET Act,"

Nehls voted for the OBBBA calling it 'promises made, promises kept,' then five days later cosponsored a Democratic bill to repeal a provision within it. Both quotes are documented in independent sources (nehls.house.gov and newsweek.com, different ho

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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