[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Dan Newhouse

Republican · Representative, WA ·4

Score Components

35 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Agriculture and Farming: Washington is the nation's #1 producer of apples, hops, and sweet cherries; the Yakima Valley alone produces ~77% of U.S. hops; 850-acre Newhouse family farm grows hops, tree fruit, and grapes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+11 (most Republican district in Washington state); Newhouse won 2024 with 49.92%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 6.0% (2026 estimate, higher than national average of 3.5%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: SNAP and Medicaid Dependency: More than 100,000 people (including 25,000 children) in WA-04 rely on SNAP; statewide ~250,000 projected to lose Apple Health (Medicaid expansion) coverage under BBB

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: 55.8% White (Non-Hispanic), 39.0% Hispanic, with small Black (0.9%), Asian (1.3%), and significant Native American tribal communities

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 38.8% (Washington state figure for the region)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: ~65% (near national average of 65.5%); median property value $306,800; median rent $1,167

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 9.9% (CareerOneStop) / 12.2% (Data USA); higher in agricultural communities with seasonal labor

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $77,137 (2024) / older data: $59,872 — near the national median of $78,538

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): ~770,000 (Census 2020: 771,016)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Washington Initiative 108 (2016) — Raise the statewide minimum wage to $13.50/hour by 2020 (2016) — passed, margin 57% Yes — 43% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Washington Initiative 2117 (2024) — Repeal the state's cap-and-invest climate program (2024) — failed, margin 61.7% No — 38.3% Yes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 56 (Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services — Hanford cleanup) (share 8)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (Health Care and Social Assistance) (share 14)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (Manufacturing — food processing, packaging, aerospace components) (share 10)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting — tree fruit, hops, wine grapes, wheat, cattle) (share 14)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (Richland) (6000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Tree Top Inc. (Selah) (1000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Tyson Foods (Pasco beef plant) (1400 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Yakima Valley Memorial Hospital (2000 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — $4.5 trillion reconciliation package with $700+ bil	yea	2025-05-22	misaligned
House Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution — Framework directing $880 billion in s	yea	2025-02-25	misaligned
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act — $1.2 trillion for roads, bridges, broad	yea	2021-11-05	deviating
Impeachment of Donald Trump — Incitement of insurrection following the January 6	yea	2021-01-13	deviating
First Impeachment of Donald Trump — Abuse of power and obstruction of Congress r	nay	2019-12-18	misaligned
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — $1.9 trillion deficit increase over a decade; co	yea	2017-12-19	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "In a March 26, 2025 commentary submitted to the Yakima Herald-Republic, Newhouse wrote: 'Let me make this clear: I do not and will not support denying"

Vote: on "On May 22, 2025, Newhouse voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1), which the CBO projected"

Newhouse explicitly promised in a March 26 commentary that he 'will not support denying any eligible American access to services like Medicaid, Medicare, and SNAP,' then voted for the Big Beautiful Bill on May 22 — legislation projected to cause 194,

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "On February 25, 2025, Newhouse voted for the House Budget Resolution (H.Con.Res.14, 217-215) and released a statement saying it would 'rein in out-of-"

Vote: on "On March 7, 2025, when asked by KEPR-TV about constituent concerns that the budget resolution would "

Newhouse publicly claimed the budget resolution he voted for on February 25 did not mention Medicaid, but the resolution directed the Energy and Commerce Committee to find $880 billion in savings — cuts that independent analysts at the Center on Budg

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Newhouse voted against the first impeachment of Donald Trump on both articles (H.Res.755) in December 2019."

Vote: on "Newhouse voted for the second impeachment of Donald Trump for incitement of insurrection on January "

Newhouse voted against Trump's first impeachment in 2019 but voted for the second impeachment in 2021 following the January 6 Capitol attack, calling it a defense of the Constitution. This reversal became the defining political liability of his caree

Last silence detection: Never

Avoidance of in-person town halls for the entirety of 2025 — citing a death threat and NRCC guidance

288d silent

Expected position: As the representative for 770,000 central Washingtonians across a vast rural district, Newhouse would be expected to hold open, in-person town halls accessible to all constituents.

Silence on March 2025 op-ed contradiction after voting for Big Beautiful Bill

69d silent

Expected position: As a congressman who wrote a March 26, 2025 op-ed explicitly stating he would 'not support denying any eligible American access to services like Medicaid, Medicare, and SNAP,' Newho

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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