[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Joe Neguse

Democratic · Representative, CO ·2

Score Components

4 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

0 → 0

Intelligence Volume 10%

42 → 4

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 11.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 55.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $86,600 (2021)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 122 (Natural Medicine Health Act) (2022) — passed, margin 53.6% - 46.4% statewide

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 114 (Gray Wolf Reintroduction) (2020) — passed, margin 50.9% - 49.1% statewide

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 5615 (share 0.042)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 3364 (share 0.055)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6211 (share 0.082)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 5417 (share 0.098)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6113 (share 0.137)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Google (1500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Ball Aerospace (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: UCHealth (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Colorado State University (7500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Colorado Boulder (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Colorado's 2nd Congressional District encompasses the progressive urban centers of Boulder and Fort Collins, along with several mountain-resort counties. The district has a highly educated population, a strong outdoor recreation and technology economy, and a liberal political leaning.

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Voted nay on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023) on 2023-05-31: He opposed the bipartisan debt-ceiling deal that Democratic leadership brokered, breaking with 78% of his party (165 Yes; 46 No) over spending cuts and work requirements, indicating alignment with progressive fiscal priorities over party unity.

primary · 2023-05-31

Voted nay on H.R. 7900 (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023) on 2022-07-14: Neguse broke with a majority of House Democrats (155 Yes, 39 No) to oppose the annual defense policy bill, reflecting pressure from progressive constituents advocating lower military spending and stronger climate provisions.

primary · 2022-07-14

In the 2022 election cycle, Joe Neguse's campaign committee raised a total of $2,917,207, with 62% from individual contributions and 32% from PACs, according to OpenSecrets.

secondary · 2022-11-30

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023	nay	2023-05-31	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023	nay	2022-07-14	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

No contradictions detected

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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