[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Johnny Olszewski

Democratic · Representative, MD ·2

Score Components

9 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

18 → 5

Intelligence Volume 10%

48 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 783,097 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 68.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 46.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 5.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $94,537 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Question 1: Maryland Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment (2024) — passed, margin 76.1% Yes – 23.9% No (statewide)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.072)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.098)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.145)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 (share 0.168)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: T. Rowe Price (7900 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baltimore County Public Schools (18000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Johns Hopkins Health System (20000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Social Security Administration (60000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Maryland's 2nd Congressional District covers parts of Baltimore and Carroll counties plus a sliver of Baltimore City, anchored by communities such as Towson, Dundalk, Owings Mills, Pikesville, and Woodlawn. It has a population of approximately 783,000 and is rated D+10 (safe Democratic). The district has a strong fed

secondary

Voted nay on H.R. 4371 (Kayla Hamilton Act (Unaccompanied Alien Children Placement Requirements)) on 2025-12-16: Olszewski voted against a bill named for a 20-year-old murder victim from Aberdeen, Maryland — in his home state — joining 201 Democrats in opposition. The bill passed 225-201 with only 7 Democratic defections. Maryland Democrats cited concerns th

primary · 2025-12-16

Voted nay on H.R. 5371 (Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 (Ended 42-Day Government Shutdown)) on 2025-11-12: Olszewski voted against ending the longest government shutdown in U.S. history despite his district's heavy reliance on federal employment — an estimated 150,000 Maryland federal workers went without paychecks and SNAP benefits were r

primary · 2025-11-12

[statement] In his second vote against the GOP budget reconciliation bill, Olszewski said: "Words fail to capture the devastation this bill will inflict on my constituents and every hard-working family in our country," citing 14,000 constituents losing Medicaid and 25,000 SNAP households facing cuts.

primary · 2025-07-03

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Kayla Hamilton Act (Unaccompanied Alien Children Placement Requirements)	nay	2025-12-16	mixed
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 (Ended 42-Day Government Shut	nay	2025-11-12	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: ""The American people elected all of us with one clear mandate: to lower costs," Olszewski declared in his first floor speech, pledging to focus on leg"

Vote: on "As Baltimore County Executive, Olszewski lobbied in support of an amendment to Maryland HB538 that b"

Olszewski campaigned on lowering costs for working families, yet as county executive he supported a legislative amendment benefiting a developer who contributed approximately $30,000 to his congressional campaign — exemplifying the tension between po

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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