[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Robert F. Onder

Republican · Representative, MO ·3

Score Components

21 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+27 (shifted D+3 since last redistricting)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Crawford County — Medicaid enrollment: 19% (above district average)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 0.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 3.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,045

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $268,300

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 85.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 39.4

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 35.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 74.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 6.1% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $81,928

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 780,389 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Missouri Amendment 2 — Legalize Sports Betting (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 47.5% Yes — 52.5% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Missouri Amendment 3 — Right to Reproductive Freedom Initiative (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 51.6% Yes — 48.4% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.1)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.15)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Scholastic Inc. (Jefferson City distribution center) (1000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: SSM Health / St. Mary's Hospital (Jefferson City) (2000 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage, July 3, 2025	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 7, 2025)	yea	2025-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Onder campaigned as a fiscal conservative who would confront 'our out-of-control national debt' and bring 'fiscal responsibility in Congress.' On Marc"

Vote: on "Onder voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) on both May 22 and July 3, 2025. The CBO projected the bill wo"

Onder campaigned as a fiscal conservative demanding deficit reduction and 'fiscal responsibility,' yet voted for the OBBBA which the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the national debt. He touted the bill as 'a huge win' while omitting any men

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Onder has missed over 9% of roll call votes (12 of 131) — more than four times the House average of 2%. Despite this absenteeism, 'he did not miss vot"

Vote: on "Onder refuses to hold in-person public town halls. He held a telephone town hall with 18 minutes' no"

Onder claims to represent his constituents, yet misses more than four times the average House voting rate and refuses to hold in-person public town halls — instead holding curated, private meetings with business leaders. The Boone County Democratic P

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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