[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jimmy Patronis

Republican · Representative, FL ·1

Score Components

30 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

51 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+19 to R+32

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 8.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 39

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 32.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 70.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 11.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $77,798

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 4 — Right to Abortion Initiative (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 57% Yes — 43% No (failed to reach 60% threshold)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.14)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Navy Federal Credit Union (Pensacola campus) (10000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baptist Health Care (Pensacola) (7000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: U.S. Department of Defense (NAS Pensacola, Eglin AFB, Tyndall AFB, Hurlburt Field) (38000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] District summary: Florida's 1st Congressional District covers the state's western Panhandle, including all of Escambia, Holmes, and Santa Rosa counties and portions of Okaloosa and Walton counties. Home to approximately 793,302 constituents, it is the most Republican district in Florida (R+19 to R+32 Cook PVI) and the 15th most Republ

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 8029 (Pay Our Homeland Defenders Act) on 2026-03-26: Patronis voted yea on final passage after voting nay on an earlier procedural motion. FL-01 is home to multiple military installations including Eglin AFB, Tyndall AFB, NAS Pensacola, and Hurlburt Field — making homeland defense funding directly relevant to his constituents.

primary · 2026-03-26

Voted yea on H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act (Voter ID and Proof of Citizenship)) on 2026-02-11: Patronis voted for requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register and photo ID to vote. Heritage Action supported this bill. The vote aligns with his 'election integrity' positioning and party orthodoxy.

primary · 2026-02-11

Voted nay on H.R. 1689 (Haiti Temporary Protected Status Extension) on 2026-04-16: Patronis voted with 204 of 214 Republicans against extending TPS for Haiti, while only 10 Republicans defected. Heritage Action opposed the bill, and Patronis's 98% Heritage score reflects his alignment with Trump's immigration hardline. FL-01 has a small foreign-born populati

primary · 2026-04-16

Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)) on 2025-05-22: Patronis cast one of the decisive votes in the 215–214 passage, calling it 'a win for every hardworking American.' His district has 11.5% poverty and 8.4% without insurance, yet CBO projected 10 million Americans losing coverage and $3.4 trillion added to deficits. His family businesses

primary · 2025-05-22

[statement] In a July 2025 interview with WEAR Channel 3, when challenged with CBO projections that millions could lose coverage under OBBBA, Patronis defended the Medicaid reductions by stating hospitals are legally required to treat anyone who walks in — a claim that only covers emergency stabilizing treatment under EMTALA, not ongoing care. His office dec

primary · 2025-07-01

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Haiti Temporary Protected Status Extension	nay	2026-04-16	deviating
Pay Our Homeland Defenders Act	yea	2026-03-26	aligned
SAVE America Act (Voter ID and Proof of Citizenship)	yea	2026-02-11	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	yea	2025-05-22	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Patronis ran for Congress campaigning as the candidate who fights for homeowners, touting the My Safe Florida Home program that hardened homes against"

Vote: on "As CFO, Patronis's Department of Financial Services referred only about 5% of more than 52,160 prope"

Patronis campaigned as a fighter for homeowners and the insurance regulator, yet his Department of Financial Services referred only 5% of 52,160 consumer complaints for action, stalled document releases, and took nearly half his campaign funds from t

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Patronis voted yea on H.R. 1 (OBBBA) which the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to deficits and cause 10 million Americans to lose health insuran"

Vote: on "In a July 2025 interview with WEAR Channel 3, when challenged with CBO projections that millions cou"

Patronis defended OBBBA's Medicaid reductions by asserting hospitals must treat all patients regardless of insurance — a claim that is true only for emergency stabilization under EMTALA, not for ongoing treatment, prescriptions, or primary care. His

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "As CFO, Patronis ordered Florida to divest $2 billion from BlackRock in December 2022, calling CEO Larry Fink a 'Bond villain' and posting on X that '"

Vote: on "At the same time Patronis was purging state accounts of BlackRock, he held more than $75,000 of his "

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Patronis raged against BlackRock on social media and divested $2 billion in state funds, calling ESG investing 'woke' and comparing the CEO to a 'Bond villain.' Yet he personally held over

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In a March 2025 TV ad for his congressional campaign, Patronis touted that he's 'the one person fighting for homeowners' and claimed he 'oversaw the l"

Vote: on "When the Heritage Insurance fine was announced, Patronis's spokesperson had 'nothing to say about He"

Patronis's campaign ad touted 'the largest fine in history against an insurance company' as evidence he fights for homeowners, but his office was actually dismissive of the fine when it was issued, saying the money should go to rate relief instead. B

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

View Full Entity Profile →