[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Harold Rogers

Republican · Representative, KY ·5

Score Components

17 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

46 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 72.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid reliance: 44%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2024): 24.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $45,798

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: 2022 Kentucky Constitutional Amendment 2 (declaring no right to abortion in state constitution) (2022) — passed, margin 52%–48%

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: 2024 Kentucky Constitutional Amendment 2 (allowing state funding for non-public schools) (2024) — failed, margin 65%–35%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.113)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.132)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.175)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Manufacturing (sector-wide) (29943 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Retail Trade (sector-wide) (34772 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Health Care & Social Assistance (sector-wide) (46246 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Kentucky's 5th Congressional District encompasses all of southeastern Kentucky — the heart of Appalachia and the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield. It spans 29 counties bordering West Virginia, Virginia, and Tennessee. With a population of approximately 743,000, it is the most rural district in the United States (76.5% rura

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Voted yea on H.R.8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.4 billion in military aid to Israel)) on 2024-04-20: Rogers voted for the Israel aid package that passed 366-58 with broad bipartisan support. His defense contractor donors (RTX, Lockheed Martin, Boeing, L3Harris — over $500,000 career total) are major suppliers to Israel's mil

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted yea on H.R.29 (Laken Riley Act (requiring mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants charged with certain crimes)) on 2025-01-07: Rogers voted with all 216 Republicans for the bill. With only 0.975% of his district foreign-born, the bill carried minimal direct constituency cost while reinforcing his tough-on-immigration brand in a district Tru

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted yea on H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (extending 2017 tax cuts, restructuring Medicaid and SNAP, border security, energy provisions)) on 2025-07-03: Rogers voted for the bill while 44% of his constituents rely on Medicaid and 23% rely on SNAP — the highest rates of any congressional district. Independent analysis projected Kentucky would suffer the

primary · 2025-07-03

Voted yea on H.R.8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion in military aid to Ukraine)) on 2024-04-20: Rogers was among only 101 House Republicans who voted to fund Ukraine, while 112 Republicans opposed the bill. As a GOP for Ukraine-designated 'A-grade' legislator, this vote put him at odds with the majority of his confere

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted nay on H.Con.Res.38 (War Powers Resolution to remove U.S. Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities in Iran) on 2026-03-05: Rogers voted against the resolution, supporting Trump's military action in Iran. His top career donors are defense contractors (RTX $163,500, L3Harris $128,190, Lockheed Martin $124,225, Boeing $101,500 — totaling $517,415). Only

primary · 2026-03-05

[vote] Rogers voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1), which independent analysis by KFF found would cause Kentucky to suffer the biggest hit of any state — a decline of $10 billion in Medicaid payments to rural providers over 10 years as 130,000 rural Kentuckians lose coverage. The Kentucky Hospital Association warned the bill would eliminate 33,0

primary · 2025-07-03

[platform] Rogers introduced the bipartisan Black Lung Benefits Improvement Act in 2022 (and reintroduced it in 2023) to expedite approved federal benefits for coal miners with black lung disease, stating: 'Black lung benefits are critical to the hard working coal miners of Eastern Kentucky, as well as their widows, and I will continue fighting to protect th

primary · 2022-03-15

L3Harris Technologies major_donor Career (1989–2024): $128,190 total ($2,000 individual + $126,190 PAC). Defense contractor and second-largest career dono

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
War Powers Resolution to remove U.S. Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities	nay	2026-03-05	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (extending 2017 tax cuts, restructuring Medicaid and	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (requiring mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants c	yea	2025-01-07	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion in militar	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.4 billion in military	yea	2024-04-20	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Rogers introduced the bipartisan Black Lung Benefits Improvement Act in 2022 (and reintroduced it in 2023) to expedite approved federal benefits for c"

Vote: on "Rogers voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1), which independent analysis by KFF found wo"

Rogers publicly championed protecting healthcare benefits for coal miners and their families, yet voted for legislation that independent analysis projected would cut billions from rural hospitals and cause 130,000 rural Kentuckians to lose Medicaid —

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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