[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Mike D. Rogers

Republican · Representative, AL ·3

Score Components

29 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

30 → 8

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

57 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Veterans as share of civilian adult population: Approximately 10% (above national average, reflecting Anniston Army Depot and military heritage of eastern Alabama)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: Approximately 67% (near national average)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+28

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Uninsured rate: Approximately 13% (above national average; Alabama has not expanded Medicaid under the ACA)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: Approximately 24% (below Alabama average of 26.7% and national average of 33.7%; Auburn University presence elevates Lee County rate)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: Approximately 18% (above Alabama average of 16.4% and well above national average of 12.4%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: Approximately 3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: Approximately 26% (significant presence in Calhoun, Talladega, Chambers, and Russell counties)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White non-Hispanic population share: Approximately 68%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: Approximately $52,400 (below Alabama median of $56,929 and substantially below national median of $74,580)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Alabama Amendment 2 — Recompiled Alabama Constitution (2022) (2022) — passed, margin Statewide: 77% Yes — 23% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Alabama Amendment 1 — Right to Bear Arms (2014, landmark measure) (2014) — passed, margin Statewide: 72% Yes — 28% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 Retail Trade (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 33 Manufacturing (automotive parts, defense) (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 Educational Services (Auburn University anchor) (share 0.1)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.17)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 Public Administration (federal defense — Anniston Army Depot) (share 0.13)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Talladega Superspeedway (NASCAR/ISC event operation) (500 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Regional Medical Center (Anniston / RMC Health System) (2000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: East Alabama Medical Center (Opelika, Piedmont Healthcare) (3500 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Defending American Property Abroad Act of 2026	yea	2026-03-27	mixed
One Big, Beautiful Bill Act	yea	2026-02-23	aligned
National Defense Authorization Act for FY 2026	yea	2025-12-14	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (119th Congress)	yea_unverified	2025-07-03	misaligned
Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act (TikTok)	yea_unverified	2024-03-13	aligned
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024	yea_unverified	2023-07-14	aligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling)	yea_unverified	2023-05-31	mixed
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022	nay_unverified	2022-08-12	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Rogers has described himself as a fiscal conservative committed to reducing government spending and the national debt, citing deficit reduction as imp"

Vote: on "Rogers voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which the Congressional Budget Office "

Rogers's stated fiscal conservatism is directly contradicted by his yes vote on the OBBBA, which CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the deficit — the largest deficit-increasing legislation he has voted for in his 22-year congressional career an

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Mike learned the values of family, hard work and sacrifice from his parents... he is a conservative who fights to lower the national debt."

Vote: on "I am very concerned the requested base budget for defense does not reflect a realistic path... we mu"

Rogers campaigns as a debt-hawk while simultaneously advocating for a defense spending floor of 5% of GDP, which would require massive increases to the federal deficit.

Last silence detection: Never

Anniston Army Depot BRAC risk and long-term mission sustainment amid Army restructuring

730d silent

Expected position: Rogers represents Calhoun County, home of the Anniston Army Depot, which employs approximately 4,000 civilian workers and is the Army's primary wheeled and tracked vehicle overhaul

Defense contractor consolidation and its impact on AL-03 subcontractor employment

730d silent

Expected position: The defense industry consolidation wave — including the failed Lockheed Martin-Aerojet Rocketdyne merger that Rogers's committee reviewed, and ongoing prime contractor acquisitions

PFAS and Toxic Remediation at Anniston Army Depot

484d silent

Expected position: Advocating for specific cleanup timelines and health screenings for the 'Pit Crew of America’s Warfighters' in his home county. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: He issued o

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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