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[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
// Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → Patrick Ryan

Patrick Ryan

Democratic · Representative, NY ·18
Score Components
4 LOW
Connection Density 20%
0 → 0
Donor Influence 10%
0 → 0
Silence Risk 25%
0 → 0
Contradiction Risk 25%
0 → 0
Intelligence Volume 10%
41 → 4
Constituency Deviation 5%
0 → 0
Voting Misalignment 5%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
Ryan’s 2024 campaign raised over $9.5 million, with 'Defense & Foreign Policy' ranking as one of his top three contributing sectors according to Ballotpedia metrics.
secondary · 2024-11
The FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) included provisions authored by Ryan to integrate modular open system architectures (MOSA) and expand the Defense Innovation Unit's (DIU) regional reach.
primary · 2025-12
Patrick Ryan co-founded the House Defense Modernization Caucus in late 2023, specifically to advocate for a 'software-first' approach at the Pentagon.
primary · 2023
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Veteran Population: 6.8%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $89,500
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York Prop 1 (Equal Rights Amendment) (2024) — passed, margin 54.2%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.11)
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: IBM (3000 employees)
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: United States Military Academy (West Point) (4000 employees)
secondary
[constituency_baseline] District summary: New York's 18th Congressional District spans the mid-Hudson Valley, including Orange, Dutchess, and Ulster counties. It is a highly competitive, suburban-to-rural swing district anchored by significant military and technological institutions, as well as an expanding commuter population from New York City.
secondary
Voted yea on H.R. 2670 (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024) on 2023-12-14: Supported the final passage of the NDAA, aligning with both his defense industry donors and his district's status as the home of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point.
primary · 2023-12-14
Voted yea on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023) on 2023-05-31: Voted for the bipartisan debt ceiling deal, securing economic stability for his competitive suburban district, despite strong opposition from the progressive wing of his party over SNAP work requirements.
primary · 2023-05-31
Voted yea on H.R. 7521 (Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act) on 2024-03-13: Ryan's vote to mandate TikTok's divestiture pitted his national security background against potential opposition from the tech sector (a prominent donor base) and younger constituents in his district.
primary · 2024-03-13
Ryan's background as a founder of a defense-tech company (Praescient Analytics) is reflected in his donor profile, drawing significant contributions from intelligence and defense contractors.
secondary · 2024-10-15
Since entering Congress in 2022, Ryan has raised over $9.5 million, with Defense, Tech, and Leadership PACs forming his primary donor bases.
secondary · 2024-12-31
Patrick Ryan filed filing with the SEC on 2023-11-30. Accession number: N/A.
secondary · 2023-11-30
No connections mapped
BillVoteDateAlignment
Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act yea 2024-03-13 mixed
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024 yea 2023-12-14 aligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 yea 2023-05-31 aligned
Last contradiction analysis: Never
No contradictions detected
Last silence detection: Never
No active silences
No donor interests mapped
No constituency baseline modelled
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Silence Risk25%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk25%Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume10%Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence10%Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation5%Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment5%Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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