[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

John H. Rutherford

Republican · Representative, FL ·5

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

51 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+26

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: 11.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 12.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 46.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 64.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 6.7% (ACS); 9.54% (Data USA 2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $89,255

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 4 — Right to Abortion Initiative (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 57% Yes — 43% No (failed 60% threshold)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.106)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.117)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.137)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Mayo Clinic Florida (Jacksonville campus) (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baptist Health (Jacksonville hospitals) (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: CSX Corporation (Jacksonville HQ) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Florida's 5th Congressional District encompasses most of Jacksonville and its suburbs in Duval, Nassau, and St. Johns counties, including St. Augustine. Home to approximately 818,508 constituents, the district has a median household income of $89,255 — well above the national median of $37,585. The population is 66.4

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Voted yea on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023) on 2023-05-31: Rutherford voted yea on the Biden-McCarthy debt ceiling deal, joining the governing wing. He subsequently slammed GOP colleagues Matt Gaetz and Cory Mills by name for voting against a CR in September 2023, saying he was 'not happy.' His vote reflects a pattern: a reliable governing-win

primary · 2023-05-31

Voted yea on H.J.Res. 11 (Objection to Arizona Presidential Electoral College Results — January 6, 2021 Certification) on 2021-01-06: Rutherford was one of 147 House Republicans who objected to electoral certification hours after the Capitol riot. The Jacksonville NAACP 'vilified' him in a statement saying 'this is blatant disrespect to the democracy of this

primary · 2021-01-06

Voted nay on H.R. 8404 (Respect for Marriage Act (July 2022 Initial Passage)) on 2022-07-19: Rutherford also voted nay on the initial House version of the Respect for Marriage Act on July 19, 2022. He was one of 157 Republicans who opposed it, maintaining a consistent position across both votes — unlike some Republicans who flipped between the two votes.

primary · 2022-07-19

Voted nay on H.R. 8404 (Respect for Marriage Act (December 2022 Final Passage)) on 2022-12-08: Rutherford voted against codifying same-sex marriage protections — joining 156 other House Republicans. The vote passed 258-169 with 39 Republican yeas. His district includes Jacksonville's diverse communities and Beaches areas with significant LGBTQ+ populations.

primary · 2022-12-08

Voted yea on H.R. 8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Rutherford voted for $26.38 billion in military aid to Israel. His AIPAC PAC donations totaled $15,773 in 2024 cycle. He tweeted support for 'Israel's right to self-defense' and co-sponsored resolutions condemning Hamas. The vote reflects donor alignment — AIPAC is

primary · 2024-04-20

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	yea	2025-07-03	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023	yea	2023-05-31	deviating
Respect for Marriage Act (December 2022 Final Passage)	nay	2022-12-08	misaligned
Respect for Marriage Act (July 2022 Initial Passage)	nay	2022-07-19	misaligned
Objection to Arizona Presidential Electoral College Results — January 6, 2021 Ce	yea	2021-01-06	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Rutherford has campaigned as a fiscal conservative, telling Florida Politics in 2018 that he is a 'fiscal conservative' who opposes 'buy now, pay late"

Vote: on "Rutherford voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) in May 2025 and again on final passage July 3, 2025. His "

Rutherford campaigned on fiscal conservatism and opposed deficit spending, yet voted yea on the OBBBA — legislation the nonpartisan CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to deficits. He dismissed the CBO's scoring as untrustworthy even as he acknowle

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "On February 24, 2022 — the day Russia invaded Ukraine — Rutherford purchased between $1,001 and $15,000 worth of Raytheon Technologies stock. That sam"

Vote: on "Rutherford is a member of the House Appropriations Committee and serves on the subcommittees that ov"

Rutherford purchased Raytheon stock on the day Russia invaded Ukraine — the same day he advocated maximal U.S. response — and sits on the Appropriations Committee overseeing defense spending. Although his office attributed the trade to an adviser's e

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In his July 3, 2025 press release, Rutherford claimed the OBBBA 'strengthens Medicaid solvency by rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse to help vulnerab"

Vote: on "The CBO projected the OBBBA would cut approximately $1.1 trillion from Medicaid over ten years, caus"

Rutherford's press release claimed the OBBBA 'strengthens Medicaid solvency' and will 'NOT cut Medicaid and SNAP benefits,' while the CBO and multiple independent analyses projected the bill would cut approximately $1.1 trillion from Medicaid over te

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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