[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

John H. Rutherford

Republican · Representative, FL ·5

John H. Rutherford is the Republican U.S. Representative (FL's 5th congressional district). The platform has 7 voting records on file (2021-2025) and 71 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

56 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 15%

37 → 6

Silence Risk 25%

85 → 21

Contradiction Risk 25%

76 → 19

Intelligence Volume 15%

84 → 13

Constituency Deviation 0%

65 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

Rutherford has not held a publicly reported town hall event in Jacksonville discussing the OBBBA Medicaid cuts since the July 3 vote (as of this assessment date) — suggesting avoidance of direct constituent accountability on the issue.

inferential · 2025-07-15

Rutherford's campaign received $10,000 each from Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and RTX Corp in the 2024 cycle—all of which benefit from the defense-related tax provisions and corporate rate reductions in OBBBA, while the bill's Medicaid cuts impose costs on the district's largest employment sector (healthcare), creating a cross-pressure between donor alignment and worker interests.

inferential · 2025-06-15

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+26

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: 11.8%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 12.7%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 46.3%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 64.3%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 6.7% (ACS); 9.54% (Data USA 2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $89,255

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 4 — Right to Abortion Initiative (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 57% Yes — 43% No (failed 60% threshold)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.106)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.117)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.137)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Mayo Clinic Florida (Jacksonville campus) (8000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baptist Health (Jacksonville hospitals) (11000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: CSX Corporation (Jacksonville HQ) (5000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: Florida's 5th Congressional District encompasses most of Jacksonville and its suburbs in Duval, Nassau, and St. Johns counties, including St. Augustine. Home to approximately 818,508 constituents, the district has a median household income of $89,255 — well above the national median of $37,585. The population is 66.4% White (non-Hispanic), 12.7% Hispanic, and 11.8% Black, with a median age of 39.2 and a homeownership rate of 64.3%. The poverty rate is a relatively low 6.7% (Data USA: 9.54%), with 46.3% of adults holding a bachelor's degree or higher — significantly above the national average. The economy is anchored in healthcare and social assistance (56,271 workers), retail trade (47,848), and professional/scientific/technical services (43,662), with major employers including CSX Corp, Baptist Health, Mayo Clinic Florida, BAE Systems, and Bank of America. The district has a Cook PVI of R+26 and is safely Republican; Rutherford won the 2024 election unopposed and has not faced a competitive race since his initial 2016 primary.

secondary ✓ Verified

Voted yea on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023) on 2023-05-31: Rutherford voted yea on the Biden-McCarthy debt ceiling deal, joining the governing wing. He subsequently slammed GOP colleagues Matt Gaetz and Cory Mills by name for voting against a CR in September 2023, saying he was 'not happy.' His vote reflects a pattern: a reliable governing-wing Republican on fiscal brinksmanship — yet he voted for…

[ Show full fact ]

primary · 2023-05-31 ✓ Verified

[ Show full fact ]

Voted yea on H.J.Res. 11 (Objection to Arizona Presidential Electoral College Results — January 6, 2021 Certification) on 2021-01-06: Rutherford was one of 147 House Republicans who objected to electoral certification hours after the Capitol riot. The Jacksonville NAACP 'vilified' him in a statement saying 'this is blatant disrespect to the democracy of this country.' He was one of 13 Florida Republicans who voted to sustain objections. His district includes diverse communities and large suburban populations that voted for Biden. He later defended the objection as a vote for 'election integrity.'

primary · 2021-01-06 ✓ Verified

Voted nay on H.R. 8404 (Respect for Marriage Act (July 2022 Initial Passage)) on 2022-07-19: Rutherford also voted nay on the initial House version of the Respect for Marriage Act on July 19, 2022. He was one of 157 Republicans who opposed it, maintaining a consistent position across both votes — unlike some Republicans who flipped between the two votes.

primary · 2022-07-19 ✓ Verified

Hermeus Corporation PAC donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00823575/

Defending The American Dream PAC donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00822833/

Mercury Systems Inc. Employees PAC donor $10,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00822569/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

American Revival PAC donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/

National Assn Of Residential Property Managers PAC donor $6,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00567792/

Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00563726/

Blue Origin LLC PAC donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00557793/

Leidos Inc. PAC donor $8,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (7 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00546234/

Jetblue Airways Corporation Crewmember Good Government Fund (Jetblue PAC) donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00484584/

Nssf PAC/National Shooting Sports Foundation donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00480863/

Woolpert, Inc Political Action Committee donor $6,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00479899/

Embraer Aircraft Holding, Inc. - Eve Holding, Inc. Political Action Committee donor $8,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00472225/

Rayonier, Inc. Good Government Committee donor $5,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00451757/

Huck PAC donor $10,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00448373/

Engineering And Software Systems Solutions, Inc. PAC donor $9,500 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00446948/

Republican Governance Group/Tuesday Group PAC donor $8,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00433060/

American Roll-On Roll-Off Carrier Group, Inc. Freedom PAC / Arc Freedom PAC donor $8,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00432963/

Airbus Group, Inc. PAC donor $7,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00421230/

Saltchuk Resources Inc. PAC donor $10,000 to John H. Rutherford's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00411694/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
PROOF Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Yea	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act	Not Voting	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Rutherford has campaigned as a fiscal conservative, telling Florida Politics in 2018 that he is a 'fiscal conservative' who opposes 'buy now, pay later' governance. He criticized trillion-dollar deficits and called for…

[ Show full platform position ]

Rutherford has campaigned as a fiscal conservative, telling Florida Politics in 2018 that he is a 'fiscal conservative' who opposes 'buy now, pay later' governance. He criticized trillion-dollar deficits and called for mandatory spending cuts to accompany debt ceiling increases.

Vote: on "Rutherford voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) in May 2025 and again on final passage July 3, 2025…"

[ Show full analysis ]

Rutherford campaigned on fiscal conservatism and opposed deficit spending, yet voted yea on the OBBBA — legislation the nonpartisan CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to deficits. He dismissed the CBO's scoring as untrustworthy even as he acknowledged the bill would 'secure more than a trillion dollars in mandatory savings.' His own 2023 statement supporting a bipartisan Fiscal Commission noted the urgency of addressing the $33 trillion national debt — a commission the OBBBA did not create.

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "On February 24, 2022 — the day Russia invaded Ukraine — Rutherford purchased between $1,001 and $15,000 worth of Raytheon Technologies stock. That same day, he tweeted that the U.S. should 'leave nothing off the table'…

[ Show full platform position ]

On February 24, 2022 — the day Russia invaded Ukraine — Rutherford purchased between $1,001 and $15,000 worth of Raytheon Technologies stock. That same day, he tweeted that the U.S. should 'leave nothing off the table' regarding Russia. Business Insider called the timing 'notable.' His spokesperson later said 'his advisers erroneously purchased the stock, and it was sold on March 14 for a 3% gain.'

Vote: on "Rutherford is a member of the House Appropriations Committee and serves on the subcommittees that…"

Rutherford purchased Raytheon stock on the day Russia invaded Ukraine — the same day he advocated maximal U.S. response — and sits on the Appropriations Committee overseeing defense spending. Although his office attributed the trade to an adviser's error and said it was sold at a 3% gain, the trade timing and…

[ Show full analysis ]

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In his July 3, 2025 press release, Rutherford claimed the OBBBA 'strengthens Medicaid solvency by rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse to help vulnerable Americans who need it most' and asserted 'this is not a huge…

[ Show full platform position ]

In his July 3, 2025 press release, Rutherford claimed the OBBBA 'strengthens Medicaid solvency by rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse to help vulnerable Americans who need it most' and asserted 'this is not a huge deficit bill.'

Vote: on "The CBO projected the OBBBA would cut approximately $1.1 trillion from Medicaid over ten years…"

Rutherford's press release claimed the OBBBA 'strengthens Medicaid solvency' and will 'NOT cut Medicaid and SNAP benefits,' while the CBO and multiple independent analyses projected the bill would cut approximately $1.1 trillion from Medicaid over ten years. Both claims come from public sources; the contradiction is…

[ Show full analysis ]

Last silence detection: Mon, 12 Oct 2026 01:12:25 GMT (via scheduled run)

other candidates' committees

Huck PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees

party committees

Republican Governance Group/Tuesday Group PAC (amounts: $8,000 (2026)) — interest area: party committees

colleagues' leadership pacs

Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Defending The American Dream PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Saltchuk Resources Inc. PAC, Vulcan Materials Co. P. A. C., Parker Hannifin Corp P. A. C., Cubic Corporation Employees PAC, The Geo Group, Inc. Political Action Committee, Calportland Company Political Action Committee (Cpcc-PAC), Serco Inc. Political Action Committee (Serco PAC), Rayonier, Inc. Good Government Committee, Woolpert, Inc Political Action Committee, Mercury Systems Inc. Employees PAC, Hermeus Corporation PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $7,500 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $7,500 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $6,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

ideological & single-issue

American Roll-On Roll-Off Carrier Group, Inc. Freedom PAC / Arc Freedom PAC (amounts: $8,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

other / unclassified

King & Spalding Nonpartisan Committee For Good Government, American Sportfishing Association Political Action Committee, American Revival PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified

law & lobbying firms

Balch & Bingham Fed. Pol. Comm., American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024)) — interest area: law & lobbying firms

Swisher International Inc PAC Alcohol & tobacco $10,000 (2026)

Altria Group, Inc PAC Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2024)

Hermeus Corporation PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2026)

Defending The American Dream PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

Mercury Systems Inc. Employees PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $10,000 (2024)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $10,000 (2024)

American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)

National Assn Of Residential Property Managers PAC Real estate & construction $6,000 (2026)

Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Blue Origin LLC PAC Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2024)

Leidos Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $10,000 (2026)

Jetblue Airways Corporation Crewmember Good Government Fund (Jetblue PAC) Transportation & auto $5,000 (2024)

Nssf PAC/National Shooting Sports Foundation Firearms $5,000 (2026)

Woolpert, Inc Political Action Committee Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $6,000 (2026)

Embraer Aircraft Holding, Inc. - Eve Holding, Inc. Political Action Committee Transportation & auto $10,000 (2026)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Fiscal Responsibility & Federal Deficits	68	-70	75
Healthcare Access & Medicaid	82	-55	70
Election Integrity & January 6 Certification	65	-35	55
LGBTQ+ & Social Policy (Respect for Marriage)	50	-40	45
Ukraine & Foreign Security Aid	45	55	35
Corporate PAC Influence & Transparency	35	-20	30
Economic Growth & Corporate Tax Policy	72	45	30
Primary-Challenger & Intra-Party Dynamics	40	50	25
Debt Ceiling & Default Prevention	70	60	20
Immigration & Border Security	74	70	15
Veterans & Military Affairs	78	80	10
Israel Security Assistance	60	90	5

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$4.7BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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