[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Josh Riley

Democratic · Representative, NY ·19

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: EVEN / D+2 Lean

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 5.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 7.35% (56,900 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 81.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 42.1

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 35.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 70.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 8.5% (LegisLetter) / 14.5% (Data USA 2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $73,134

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York Public Question 1 — Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 62%-38%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: NYSEG / Avangrid (utility operations) (1200 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: SUNY system campuses (SUNY Delhi, SUNY Oneonta, SUNY Ulster, SUNY Sullivan) (3500 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Cornell University (Ithaca) (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: New York's 19th Congressional District sprawls across the Catskills, Hudson Valley, Southern Tier, and Finger Lakes regions, encompassing all or part of 11 counties including Broome, Tompkins, Ulster, Sullivan, Columbia, Greene, Delaware, Chenango, Tioga, Cortland, and Otsego. Home to approximately 774,788 constituen

secondary

Voted yea on S. 331 (HALT Fentanyl Act (permanently classifying fentanyl-related substances as Schedule I)) on 2025-06-13: Riley voted yea on bipartisan legislation to permanently classify fentanyl analogues as Schedule I drugs. He issued a press release touting the vote as part of a 'comprehensive push to combat the deadly crisis.' The vote illustrates his

inferential · 2025-06-13

Voted nay on H.R. 9745 (Government Funding Continuing Resolution — November 2025) on 2025-11-13: Riley voted against the Republican-led continuing resolution, which he had railed against before passage. The bill included cuts that he argued would 'walk rural hospitals off a cliff' and 'hold nutrition over the heads of hungry kids.' His district has a 14.5% p

primary · 2025-11-13

Voted nay on H.R. 28 (Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025) on 2025-01-14: Riley was one of only two House Democrats to vote yea on this bill, according to multiple sources. However, the Daily Freeman voting roundup for January 14 lists Riley as voting 'yes' — making this vote a notable potential party defection or a discrepancy requiring roll

primary · 2025-01-14

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Government Funding Continuing Resolution — November 2025	nay	2025-11-13	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
HALT Fentanyl Act (permanently classifying fentanyl-related substances as Schedu	yea	2025-06-13	deviating
Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025	nay	2025-01-14	mixed
Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act (ICC sanctions bill)	yea	2025-01-09	aligned
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Riley publicly attacked Republican opponent Marc Molinaro in 2022 for receiving campaign contributions from the utility industry and 'letting them jac"

Vote: on "Riley owns between $100,000 and $250,000 in the Fidelity International Index Fund, which holds share"

Riley has built his political identity around attacking NYSEG and its parent company for 'robbery' and profiteering at the expense of Upstate ratepayers, yet he personally holds up to $250,000 in a mutual fund that invests in Iberdrola — the very Spa

platform_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Riley campaigned as a working-class champion, stating 'Neighborhoods like the one I grew up in have been sold out by corrupt politicians and greedy co"

Vote: on "Riley's top donors include elite law firms Boies Schiller & Flexner ($120,301) and Jenner & Block ($"

Riley campaigns as a champion against corporate money in politics, even introducing legislation to ban corporate PACs, yet his top donors include elite corporate law firms, Wall Street, and lobbyists for a utility monopoly. His 'working-class champio

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Riley campaigned on fighting corruption and described himself in September 2024 as believing the American-Israeli alliance is important while also arg"

Vote: on "In his first days in office, Riley voted for the ICC Counteraction Act (H.R. 23) to sanction the Int"

Riley campaigned as a progressive who would represent the diverse views of his district — which includes Ithaca, one of the most left-leaning cities in America — yet his first two votes in Congress were for the Laken Riley Act (ICE mandatory detentio

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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