[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Elise M. Stefanik

Republican · Representative, NY ·21

Score Components

19 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 3.32%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 72.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic or Latino (any race): 3.75%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American (non-Hispanic): 2.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White alone (non-Hispanic): 89.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 26.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 13.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $70,983

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1: New York Equal Rights Amendment (abortion, gender identity protections) (2024) — passed, margin 62% Yes – 38% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposal 1: Remove Debt Limit on Small City School Districts (2023) — passed, margin 56.75% Yes – 43.25% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Clean Water, Clean Air, and Green Jobs Environmental Bond Act (Proposition 1) (2022) — passed, margin 67% Yes – 33% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 9)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 10)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 (share 12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 13)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 16)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Adirondack Medical Center (800 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Claxton-Hepburn Medical Center (900 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: SUNY Plattsburgh (1500 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Glens Falls Hospital (2500 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump tax-and-spending reconciliation package)	yea	2025-05-22	misaligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion Ukraine ai	nay	2024-04-20	misaligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.4 billion Israel aid)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Laken Riley Act (mandatory ICE detention for certain non-citizens charged with t	yea	2024-03-07	deviating
Disapproving the D.C. Council's Revised Criminal Code Act of 2022	yea	2023-02-09	deviating
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Bipartisan Infrastructure Law)	nay	2021-11-05	misaligned
Objection to certification of Pennsylvania's 2020 Electoral College votes	yea	2021-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "On January 6, 2021, Stefanik posted a statement on her congressional website calling the Capitol attack a 'tragic day for America' and stating: 'The p"

Vote: on "In a January 7, 2024 NBC Meet the Press interview, Stefanik referred to those convicted and imprison"

Stefanik went from calling January 6 perpetrators criminals who 'must be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law' to labeling them 'hostages' and political prisoners. After former Rep. Liz Cheney drew attention to the original statement in Januar

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls with constituents

2146d silent

Expected position: As the representative for NY-21, Stefanik was expected to hold regular face-to-face town halls where constituents could question her about her voting record, particularly after her

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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