[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Darren Soto

Democratic · Representative, FL ·9

Score Components

24 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

54 → 14

Intelligence Volume 10%

56 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 5.2% (vs. 3.5% nationally, 2026 estimate)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+4 (Cook PVI) / D+13 (LegisLetter 2026); Soto won 2024 with 63.4% to 36.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Transportation: 70.4% drive alone; 1.0% use public transit; 33-minute mean commute

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Age: 37.9 years (vs. 38.5 nationally); 28% of residents in the 20–39 working-age bracket

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: Hispanic 53.6%, White (Non-Hispanic) 37.9%, Black 10.8%, Asian 4.1%, Two or More Races 3.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 33.9% (vs. 33.7% nationally); 9.4% lack a high school diploma

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 63.5% (vs. 65.5% nationally); median property value $360,200; median rent $1,831

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 10.3% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $75,396 (vs. $37,585 national median per LegisLetter); WikiWand reports $81,134

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 821,565 (LegisLetter) / 909,540 (Wikiwand)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 5 (2024) — Annual inflation adjustment for homestead property tax exemption (2024) — passed, margin 66% Yes — 34% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 4 (2024) — Constitutional right to abortion before viability (2024) — failed, margin 57.2% Yes — 42.8% No (60% supermajority required)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 3 (2024) — Legalize recreational marijuana for adults 21+ (2024) — failed, margin 55.9% Yes — 44.1% No (60% supermajority required)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 2 (2024) — Right to hunt and fish constitutional amendment (2024) — passed, margin 67.3% Yes — 32.7% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 56 (Administrative and Support and Waste Management — support services for tourism) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (Retail Trade) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (Health Care and Social Assistance) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (Accommodation and Food Services — tourism, theme parks, hospitality) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Orlando Health (23000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Osceola County School District (8000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Continuing Resolution / Government Funding (September 2025) — GOP-led short-term	nay	2025-09-30	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — $4.5 trillion reconciliation package with Medicaid	nay	2025-05-22	deviating
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act — Requires documentary proof of citizen	nay	2025-04-10	misaligned
Respect for Marriage Act — Federal protection for same-sex and interracial marri	yea	2022-12-08	deviating
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 — Medicare drug price negotiation, $35/month ins	yea	2022-08-12	deviating
Honoring Our PACT Act — Expanded VA healthcare and benefits for veterans exposed	yea	2022-07-13	deviating
Impeachment of Donald Trump — Incitement of insurrection following the January 6	yea	2021-01-13	deviating
Certification of 2020 presidential election results	yea (certified)	2021-01-06	deviating
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — $1.9 trillion deficit increase; capped SALT dedu	nay	2017-12-20	deviating
American Health Care Act of 2017 — Partial ACA repeal; CBO projected 23 million	nay	2017-05-04	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Soto has received a 98% lifetime score from the League of Conservation Voters and was the only Florida member of Congress to receive a perfect 100% sc"

Vote: on "Soto accepted $159,290 from AIPAC in the 2023–2024 cycle — his top donor — and voted to censure Rep."

Soto's progressive environmental branding and 98% LCV score contrast with his top-donor relationship with AIPAC and his vote to censure Rep. Rashida Tlaib — the only Palestinian-American member of Congress — a vote that drew organized protests at his

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Soto voted against the 2026 federal budget, citing opposition to ICE funding included in the bill. His office stated: 'He and his constituents are dee"

Vote: on "After voting against the budget, Soto sent an official newsletter touting $13.4 million in community"

Soto voted against the final budget citing ICE funding concerns, then took credit for $13.4 million in community project funding that was in the same budget — a contradiction the NRCC has seized on in ads targeting his reelection.

reversal 60/100

Platform: "In April 2025, Soto voted against the SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which requires documentary proof of U.S. citizenship when registering to vote in federal ele"

Vote: on "In June 2025, under what Republicans describe as 'mounting pressure,' Soto voted for legislation pro"

Soto voted against the SAVE Act requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration in April 2025, then voted to prohibit non-citizen voting in Washington D.C. two months later. The NRCC characterized this as a 'flip-flop' under political pressure

Last silence detection: Never

Reliance on tele-town halls — only one in-person town hall identified

469d silent

Expected position: As representative of 821,565 constituents in a competitive D+4/D+13 district, Soto would be expected to hold frequent, open, in-person town halls. Evidence of activity on adjacent

FTX letter — silence on personal crypto donations and SEC investigation interference

20d silent

Expected position: Soto would be expected to address his role as one of the 'Blockchain Eight' who signed a letter questioning the SEC's authority over crypto firms shortly after receiving FTX donatio

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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