[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Hillary J. Scholten

Democratic · Representative, MI ·3

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Car-dependent commuting: 74.1% drive alone; 1.4% use public transit; mean commute 20.4 min

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/ethnic composition: 72.4% White, 11% Black, 10.8% Hispanic — diverse urban-suburban mix

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index (2026 rating): D+10 — Likely Seat; R shift +3 from prior cycle

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 4.5% (national: 3.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 7.6% (national: 12.4%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 38.6% (national: 33.7%) — above average educational attainment

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 35.8 (national: 38.5) — younger; 30% of residents in 20-39 working-age bracket

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 69.0% (national: 65.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 779,539

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $78,245 (national: $37,585) — well above national median

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Michigan Proposal 2 (2022): Promote the Vote — expanded early voting and absentee ballot access (2022) — passed, margin 59.9% Yes to 40.1% No statewide

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Michigan Proposal 3 (2022): Reproductive Freedom for All — enshrined abortion rights in state constitution (2022) — passed, margin 56.7% Yes to 43.3% No statewide; Kent County and Ottawa County supported by strong margins

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.24)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.22)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Grand Valley State University (3306 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Herman Miller (MillerKnoll) (3621 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Gentex Corporation (3900 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Meijer Inc. (10340 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Resolution terminating emergency declaration and tariffs on Canada	yea	2026-02-11	aligned
Protecting America's Workforce Act (restoring collective bargaining rights for o	yea	2025-12-11	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (budget reconciliation — Medicaid/SNAP cuts, tax refo	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Rescissions Act of 2025 ($9B in cuts: CPB, USAID, foreign assistance)	nay	2025-06-12	aligned
House Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution ($4.5 trillion in tax cuts, $1.5 trilli	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act (documentary proof of citizenshi	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act (mandatory detention for nonviolent theft arrests without convic	yea	2025-01-22	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8B military and econ	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.38B military aid to I	yea	2024-04-20	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Scholten, a former DOJ immigration attorney and staff attorney at the Michigan Immigrant Rights Center, voted for the Laken Riley Act on January 22, 2"

Vote: on "The Laken Riley Act mandates detention based on arrest (not conviction) for nonviolent theft-related"

Scholten built her career as an immigration attorney at DOJ and the Michigan Immigrant Rights Center, championing 'human dignity' for immigrants. She then voted for the Laken Riley Act — mandating detention without bond for nonviolent theft arrests —

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Scholten voted against the FY25 NDAA in June 2024, stating Republicans put 'an extremist wish list before our servicemembers' and that the committee b"

Vote: on "Scholten voted for the $895 billion FY25 NDAA in December 2024 — the largest military budget in U.S."

Scholten voted against the FY25 NDAA in June 2024 citing Republican 'extremist' amendments, then voted for the final $895 billion NDAA in December 2024 — the largest military budget ever. While the final bill may have removed some of the most objecti

Last silence detection: Never

Scholten has refused to call for a Gaza ceasefire — signing an anti-de-escalation letter and receiving an 'F' grade (13%) from AJP Action, a pro-Palestinian scorecard

937d silent

Expected position: As a Democrat in a D+10 district that includes significant Arab-American and Muslim communities, and as a progressive who emphasizes human dignity, Scholten would be expected to joi

Scholten postponed a scheduled June 16, 2025 town hall after her name appeared on a Minnesota shooter's list — critics noted she never rescheduled that specific in-person event

39d silent

Expected position: After building a reputation for holding regular in-person town halls (including one with 1,000+ attendees in March 2025), constituents expected Scholten to either reschedule the can

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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