[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Keith Self

Republican · Representative, TX ·3

Score Components

19 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

47 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 18.5% (156k people)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 50.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 73.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.16% (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $121,914 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Collin County Proposition A — Bond Issuance for Juvenile and Adult Detention Facilities (2024) — passed, margin approved by voters

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: McKinney Bond Propositions (5 propositions totaling $485.5M for infrastructure, parks, public safety) (2024) — mixed, margin 4 of 5 propositions passed

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.108)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.111)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Raytheon / Collins Aerospace (DFW metro) (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Liberty Mutual (regional hub in Plano) (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: JPMorgan Chase (regional hub in Plano) (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Toyota North America (headquarters in Plano) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Texas's 3rd Congressional District encompasses the suburban areas north and northeast of Dallas, primarily within Collin County, including McKinney, Allen, and parts of Plano, Frisco, and Prosper. It is one of the most affluent and highly educated districts in Texas, with a median household income of $121,914 — more

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Voted nay on H.Res. (Omar Censure) (Censuring Representative Ilhan Omar of Minnesota — On Motion to Table) on 2025-09-17: Self voted against tabling (i.e., killing) the censure resolution against Rep. Ilhan Omar, joining most Republicans. However, the resolution was ultimately tabled 214-213 with four Republicans joining Democrats. Self's vote to allow the c

primary · 2025-09-17

Voted nay on H.R. 3944 (Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 2026 — On Motion to Instruct Conferees) on 2025-09-11: Self voted against instructing House conferees on the Military Construction/VA spending bill. His district has a large veteran population (Gulf War-era veterans are the largest cohort in TX-03) and h

primary · 2025-09-11

Voted yea on H.R. 5371 (Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026) on 2025-09-19: Self voted for a clean continuing resolution in September 2025, a notable shift from January 2024 when he voted against multiple CRs and publicly stated 'Shut down the border or shut down the government!' This position evolution on government funding bills — from Freed

primary · 2025-09-19

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Self opposed standalone Ukraine aid despite his district's significant defense and aerospace sector presence (Raytheon/RTX subsidiary Collins Aerospace in DFW metro). He also voted against the procedural rule that packaged Ukraine aid with Israel aid — n

inferential · 2024-04-20

Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment) on 2025-07-03: Self publicly tweeted the bill was 'morally and fiscally bankrupt' at 6:50 PM the prior evening, then voted to advance it at 3:20 AM and to pass it hours later — a complete reversal within 24 hours. The flip came after intense pressure from President

primary · 2025-07-03

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026	yea	2025-09-19	unknown
Censuring Representative Ilhan Omar of Minnesota — On Motion to Table	nay	2025-09-17	deviating
Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act	nay	2025-09-11	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay_unverified	2024-04-20	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Self tweeted at 6:50 PM on July 2, 2025 that the Senate's version of the Republican 'Big Beautiful Bill' (H.R. 1) was 'morally and fiscally bankrupt.'"

Vote: on "Self voted to advance the Big Beautiful Bill at 3:20 AM on July 3, 2025 and then voted yea on final "

Within approximately 9.5 hours, Self went from publicly calling the bill 'morally and fiscally bankrupt' to voting to advance it and then voting for final passage. The bill did not substantively change in that window. Self's own press release later c

Last silence detection: Never

Economic impact of Trump administration tariffs on Texas 3rd Congressional District

438d silent

Expected position: As the representative of a suburban Dallas district with major employers including Toyota North America, JPMorgan Chase, and Liberty Mutual — all sensitive to trade policy — Self wo

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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