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[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
// Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
CongressOfficials → Jefferson Shreve

Jefferson Shreve

Republican · Representative, IN ·6
Score Components
17 MODERATE
Connection Density 20%
0 → 0
Donor Influence 10%
0 → 0
Silence Risk 25%
0 → 0
Contradiction Risk 25%
46 → 12
Intelligence Volume 10%
52 → 5
Constituency Deviation 5%
0 → 0
Voting Misalignment 5%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
Shreve served as an independent director of Extra Space Storage Inc. from September 14, 2022 to May 22, 2024 — a 20-month tenure that ended just 7 months before he was sworn into Congress. During his board tenure, EXR's public SEC filings warned investors of the risk of Section 199A expiration.
primary · 2022-2024
Beyond Section 199A, the OBBBA contains two additional provisions directly benefiting Extra Space Storage: (1) an increase in the taxable REIT subsidiary asset limit from 20% to 25%, and (2) permanent restoration of EBITDA-based business interest deduction limitation under Section 163(j), which benefits EXR in managing its $12.25 billion debt load. Both prov
primary · 2025-07-04
The OBBBA permanently extended the Section 199A deduction for ordinary REIT dividends, reducing the effective top federal income tax rate on REIT dividends from 37% to 29.6% — a 7.4 percentage-point permanent reduction. For Shreve, this preserves approximately $297,000 per year in tax savings that would have been lost had the deduction expired after December
primary · 2025-07-04
Extra Space Storage paid quarterly dividends of $1.62 per share in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, yielding an annualized dividend of $6.48 per share. At 620,958 shares, Shreve's annual dividend income is approximately $4.02 million — income that benefits directly from the Section 199A 20% deduction made permanent by the OBBBA Shreve voted for.
primary · 2025-2026
Jefferson Shreve beneficially owned 620,958 shares of Extra Space Storage Inc. (NYSE: EXR) as of March 25, 2024, representing approximately 0.29% of the outstanding common stock, valued at approximately $82-95 million depending on share price. These shares were received as consideration in the $590 million sale of his company Storage Express in September 202
primary · 2024-03-25
Shreve holds personal wealth tied to Extra Space Storage (a REIT he sold his company to for $590M in 2022) and the OBBBA's permanent extension of TCJA provisions — including the Section 199A pass-through deduction and REIT tax treatment — directly benefits the commercial real estate sector in which he retains financial interests.
primary · 2025-07-03 ✓ Verified
Feeding America projected Indiana would face a $356 million SNAP cost shift plus $46 million in additional administrative costs under OBBBA, while the provider tax freeze threatened the Healthy Indiana Plan (HIP 2.0) covering nearly 600,000 Hoosiers.
secondary · 2025-05-22
Shreve's press release on the vote touted his own 'Build the Wall Act' provisions included in H.R. 1 and framed the bill as 'providing tax relief for ALL Americans' and 'delivering meaningful results for Hoosier families,' without mentioning the Medicaid and SNAP cuts.
primary · 2025-07-03
At the time of Shreve's vote, the CBO had projected the Senate-passed version would add $3.3 trillion to deficits and cause 11.8 million Americans to lose health insurance by 2034; the post-enactment CBO estimate (July 21, 2025) revised the deficit impact to $3.4 trillion and coverage loss to 10 million.
secondary · 2025-07-21
Jefferson Shreve voted 'Aye' on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) on the motion to concur in the Senate amendment, recorded as Roll Call 190 on July 3, 2025; the House passed the bill 218-214 with only two Republicans (Massie and Fitzpatrick) joining all Democrats in opposition.
primary · 2025-07-03
Of the 10 House Republicans who voted yea on H.R. 1689, seven represent districts with Cook PVI ratings of R+7 or less competitive — meaning they face meaningful electoral cross-pressure. Shreve's IN-06 is R+34, among the safest Republican seats in the country, insulating him from any electoral consequence of a hardline immigration vote.
secondary · 2026-04-16
Shreve did not issue a press release, social media statement, or newsletter explaining his vote on H.R. 1689 — a silence maintained as of May 2026. His House website contains no statement tagged 'Haiti,' 'TPS,' or 'H.R. 1689.'
secondary · 2026-04-16
Shreve has zero recorded votes against the Republican Party majority in the 119th Congress through at least April 2026, per C-SPAN congressional voting records. This is a 100% party-loyalty voting pattern.
primary · 2026-04-16
Shreve voted Nay on the procedural rule (H.Res. 965, Roll 119) for consideration of H.R. 1689 on the same day — opposing both the substance and the procedure, consistent with leadership's position against the discharge petition mechanism.
primary · 2026-04-16
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 38.2
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 70.8%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 28.7%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 10.9%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $76,875
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Indiana Constitutional Amendment — Remove State Superintendent of Public Instruction from Gubernatorial Line of Succession (2024) — passed, margin statewide; exact margin calculated by Indiana Secretary of State
secondary
No connections mapped
BillVoteDateAlignment
To require the Secretary of Homeland Security to designate Haiti for temporary p nay_unverified 2026-04-16 deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Budget Reconciliation) yea_unverified 2025-07-03 mixed
Last contradiction analysis: Never
reversal 90/100
Platform: ""Shreve also wants to establish gun control ordinances, including raising the age to purchase a firearm to 21, banning assault weapons and repealing p"
Vote: on ""Jefferson is a proud member of the National Rifle Association... When running for State Senate in 2"
In his 2023 Indianapolis mayoral campaign, Shreve called for raising the firearm purchase age to 21, banning assault weapons, and repealing permitless carry — gun-control measures to his left of many Democrats. Previously, as a 2016 state senate cand
Last silence detection: Never
No active silences
No donor interests mapped
No constituency baseline modelled
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Silence Risk25%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk25%Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume10%Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence10%Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation5%Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment5%Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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