[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michael R. Turner

Republican · Representative, OH ·10

Score Components

17 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+19

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 0.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 5.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,023

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $192,500

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 97.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 4.87% (38,300 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: 16.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 72.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 38.8

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 32.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 63.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 9.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $68,677

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 786,190 (2024 LegisLetter)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Ohio Issue 2 — Legalize Recreational Marijuana (November 2023) (2023) — passed, margin 57.0% Yes — 43.0% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Ohio Issue 1 — Protect Abortion Rights Constitutional Amendment (November 2023) (2023) — passed, margin 56.8% Yes — 43.2% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.15)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage, July 2025	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 2025)	yea	2025-01-07	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion)	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26 billion)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
FISA Section 702 Reauthorization (April 2024)	yea	2024-04-12	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024	yea	2023-12-14	aligned
Objection to Electoral College Certification — January 6, 2021	nay	2021-01-06	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Turner has been a career fiscal conservative. His 2016 financial disclosure showed $3.2M-$10.8M in assets with the largest holding being $1M-$5M in Ch"

Vote: on "Turner voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) on both May 22 and July 3, 2025. The CBO projected the bill w"

Turner built a career on fiscal conservatism and served as Dayton's mayor during an era of budget discipline, yet voted yea on the OBBBA — legislation the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the national debt over ten years. This vote directly c

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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