[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Glenn Thompson

Republican · Representative, PA ·15

Score Components

33 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 91.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 74.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 13.1% (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $65,472 (2024 ACS estimate)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Constitutional Amendments (May 2021 Primary): Limiting Governor's Emergency Declaration Powers (Questions 1 and 2) (2021) — passed, margin Question 1: 54% Yes to 46% No; Question 2: 52% Yes to 48% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.13)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 0.08)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Range Resources (natural gas) (1000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Geisinger Health System (regional) (5000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Mount Nittany Medical Center (2400 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania (state government) (6000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Pennsylvania State University (University Park) (39000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District spans 18 counties across north-central and western Pennsylvania, including all of Armstrong, Cameron, Centre, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton, Elk, Forest, Jefferson, McKean, Potter, Snyder, Tioga, Union, and Warren counties, plus parts of Indiana, Lycoming, and Venango. With a

secondary

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Agreement)) on 2023-05-31: As House Agriculture Committee Chair, Thompson voted to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default that would have disrupted commodity markets, SNAP benefits, and farm subsidy payments critical to his agriculture-heavy district. He also

inferential · 2023-05-31

Voted yea on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Thompson voted for $61 billion in Ukraine aid, defying the majority of his party (112 Republicans voted no vs. 101 yes). He explained: 'Any assistance we provide to Ukraine right now is a whole lot cheaper than what it will be if Russia is allowed to progress and g

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 1319 (American Rescue Plan Act of 2021) on 2021-02-27: Thompson voted against $1.9 trillion in COVID relief that included $1,400 direct payments, expanded child tax credits, and state/local aid. His district has a 13.1% poverty rate and median income of $65,472, both below national averages, meaning constituents stood to benefit

inferential · 2021-02-27

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 3684 (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act) on 2021-11-05: Thompson voted against the $1.2 trillion infrastructure package that included $65 billion for rural broadband, a critical need in his sprawling rural district where connectivity gaps persist. He cited insufficient broadband funding ($2 billion vs. the $43 billion he sai

inferential · 2021-11-05

Voted nay on H.R. 8404 (Respect for Marriage Act) on 2022-07-19: Thompson voted against codifying same-sex marriage protections, then attended his gay son's wedding three days later. The vote aligned with 157 House Republicans and conservative evangelical donor pressure but contradicted his personal family celebration, epitomizing the tension between politic

primary · 2022-07-19

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Agreement)	yea_unverified	2023-05-31	aligned
Respect for Marriage Act	nay	2022-07-19	mixed
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act	nay_unverified	2021-11-05	misaligned
American Rescue Plan Act of 2021	nay_unverified	2021-02-27	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

same_source_inconsistency 90/100

Platform: "On July 19, 2022, Thompson voted against H.R. 8404, the Respect for Marriage Act, which would codify same-sex marriage protections into federal law. H"

Vote: on "On July 22, 2022, three days after his vote, Thompson attended his gay son's same-sex wedding. A spo"

Thompson voted against federal legislation to protect same-sex marriage, calling it a 'messaging stunt,' then three days later celebrated his own son's same-sex wedding, calling his son's union a blessing. The contradiction between his public policy

reversal 90/100

Platform: "On February 25, 2009, Thompson voted against the Omnibus Appropriations Act of 2009 (H.R. 1105)."

Vote: on "On March 11, 2009, Thompson issued a press release announcing $2.36 million in federal funding for C"

Thompson voted against the 2009 Omnibus Appropriations Act but then issued press releases touting millions in federal funding that the same bill delivered to Centre County and Penn State, a pattern of 'vote no, claim credit' that recurred throughout

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "On December 31, 2020, Thompson joined seven other Pennsylvania Republican congressmen in announcing he would object to the certification of Pennsylvan"

Vote: on "On January 6-7, 2021, after the Capitol riot, Thompson voted to sustain the objection to Pennsylvani"

Thompson cited election 'irregularities' to justify objecting to Pennsylvania's electoral votes despite no evidence of fraud, undermining the democratic process. Biden's 80,000-vote margin and multiple court rulings confirmed the election's integrity

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls and constituent accessibility

88d silent

Expected position: Given sustained constituent protests outside Thompson's Bellefonte office since President Trump's second inauguration and demands for public accountability, constituents expected Th

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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