[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Paul Tonko

Democratic · Representative, NY ·20

Score Components

24 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

72 → 18

Intelligence Volume 10%

56 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Average commute time: 23 minutes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 39.7

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 4.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Vietnam-era veterans: 11,257 (largest veteran cohort)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 9.14% (71.5k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 96.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 7.41% (58k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian population share: 5.4% (42.2k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American population share: 8.4% (65.9k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 73.8% (567k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 782,695 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,276

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $287,300

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 42.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 61.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 7.6% (ACS 5-Year); 11.9% (Data USA 2024, broader measure)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $86,491 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York Environmental Bond Act (November 2022) (2022) — passed, margin 67.6% to 32.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York Proposal 1 — Equal Rights Amendment (November 2024) (2024) — passed, margin 62% to 38% statewide

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 - Public Administration (state government) (share 0.087)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	nay	2026-04-30	aligned
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026	nay	2026-01-22	aligned
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	nay	2025-11-12	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
National Defense Authorization Acts — FY2024 and FY2025	nay	2023-07-14	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "On November 12, 2025, Tonko voted against ending the 43-day government shutdown (H.R. 5371), stating healthcare subsidies played a role in his Nay vot"

Vote: on "On February 17, 2026, Tonko announced he 'secured $14,093,000 in federal funds' for 15 community pro"

Tonko voted against ending the 43-day government shutdown that harmed SNAP recipients, federal workers, and small businesses in his district — citing healthcare subsidies as the reason. Three months later, he took credit for $14 million in CPF from t

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Tonko voted to provide $60.8 billion in Ukraine military and humanitarian aid (H.R. 8035) on April 20, 2024, calling it essential to 'stand with our a"

Vote: on "Tonko voted against funding the Department of Homeland Security (H.R. 7147) on January 22, 2026, sta"

Tonko voted to send $60.8 billion in military aid to Ukraine — affirming the use of American force projection abroad — while simultaneously voting to defund DHS, calling ICE 'terrorizing' and refusing to 'deliver another cent.' The contradiction is b

platform_vs_vote 30/100

Platform: "Tonko is rated 'Strongly against crypto' by Stand With Crypto based on 1 statement and 6 votes. He voted against FIT21 (the Financial Innovation and T"

Vote: on "Tonko voted to provide $60.8 billion in Ukraine military and humanitarian aid (H.R. 8035) on April 2"

Tonko's anti-crypto voting record — opposing FIT21, SAB 121 repeal, and GENIUS Act — is consistent with his progressive regulatory philosophy but sits in tension with his otherwise pro-technology, pro-clean-energy brand. GE Aerospace, his top career

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Tonko voted against the FY2024 NDAA on July 14, 2023 citing 'extreme, partisan issues that undermine national security, strip women in uniform of acce"

Vote: on "Tonko voted to provide $60.8 billion in Ukraine military and humanitarian aid (H.R. 8035) on April 2"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Tonko voted against the FY2024 and FY2025 NDAAs citing LGBTQ+ and women's healthcare concerns, yet voted for Ukraine military aid — both are defense/security bills. His selective support r

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

View Full Entity Profile →