[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

William R. Timmons

Republican · Representative, SC ·4

Score Components

21 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 11.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 65.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2024 ACS): 9.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 68.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 765,409

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024 ACS): $72,664

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 1 — Citizenship Requirement for Voting (2024) — passed, margin 85.9% Yes, 14.1% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.107)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.128)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.164)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Greenville County Schools (5000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Prisma Health System (5000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Michelin, NA (8500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: BMW Manufacturing Corp. (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: South Carolina's 4th Congressional District covers parts of Greenville and Spartanburg counties in Upstate South Carolina, including the cities of Greenville and Spartanburg. The district is heavily Republican (Cook PVI R+23) and predominantly White (65.6%) with significant Black (17.6%) and Hispanic (11.4%) populati

secondary

Voted yea on H.Res. 24 (Objecting to Pennsylvania's Electoral College certification) on 2021-01-07: Timmons voted to sustain the objection to Pennsylvania's electoral votes hours after the Capitol insurrection, joining 138 House Republicans. His vote directly challenged the peaceful transfer of power, contradicting his oath to defend the Constitution, and al

primary · 2021-01-07

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Timmons voted against $60.8 billion in Ukraine aid. His district is home to major international manufacturers including BMW and Michelin, whose global supply chains could be destabilized by Russian aggression. His vote aligned with 112 House Republicans,

inferential · 2024-04-20

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 4763 (Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21 crypto regulation)) on 2024-05-22: Timmons voted for the crypto industry's top legislative priority. His #2 donor sector is Securities & Investment ($110,538) and #3 is Commercial Banks ($103,523), both of which have significant stakes in digital asset regu

inferential · 2024-05-22

Voted nay on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling deal)) on 2023-05-31: Timmons voted against raising the debt ceiling, joining 71 House Republicans while 149 supported the deal. A default would have jeopardized Social Security for thousands of SC-04 seniors, Medicare, and veterans' benefits. He justified his vote by claiming the bill d

primary · 2023-05-31

[statement] After the January 6, 2021 Capitol attack, Timmons stated that 'President Trump bears no responsibility for the small number of individuals who broke the laws on Jan 6' and never publicly acknowledged that Joe Biden won a free and fair election.

primary · 2025-02-23

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21 crypto regul	yea_unverified	2024-05-22	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay_unverified	2024-04-20	mixed
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling deal)	nay	2023-05-31	misaligned
Objecting to Pennsylvania's Electoral College certification	yea	2021-01-07	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 90/100

Platform: "On January 2, 2021, Timmons announced he would object to the Electoral College certification, citing 'irregularities' in Pennsylvania and Arizona elec"

Vote: on "After the January 6, 2021 Capitol attack, Timmons stated that 'President Trump bears no responsibili"

Timmons justified his Electoral College objection as upholding his Constitutional oath, yet after the violent Capitol insurrection, he minimized Trump's role, called the attackers a 'small number,' and never acknowledged Biden's legitimate victory—a

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In congressional hearings during the 116th Congress, Timmons celebrated the creation of the Office of Diversity and Inclusion within Congress, promote"

Vote: on "On March 10, 2024, after old videos of his DEI advocacy resurfaced during his primary campaign, Timm"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Timmons enthusiastically promoted DEI initiatives in congressional hearings, calling proportional racial representation a 'top priority,' then in 2024 under primary pressure claimed those

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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