[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Lori Trahan

Democratic · Representative, MA ·3

Score Components

18 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

42 → 4

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate (Lowell/Lawrence): 15-18%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: 2020 Presidential Vote: Biden 62%, Trump 36%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-Born Population: 12%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $96,000 (district average; Lowell/Lawrence lower)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 2 ( millionaires tax) (2022) — passed, margin 52% for

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 1 (patient-to-nurse ratio mandate) (2022) — failed, margin 71% against

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Manufacturing (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Educational Services (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.18)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Raytheon Technologies (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Lahey Hospital & Medical Center (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Lowell General Hospital (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District covers north-central and northeastern Massachusetts, including the cities of Lowell (Trahan's hometown), Lawrence, and Haverhill — historically working-class mill cities with significant immigrant populations. The district includes portions of Essex and Middlesex counties, c

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 5376 (Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) on 2022-08-12: Trahan voted for the Inflation Reduction Act which extended ACA subsidies and allowed Medicare drug price negotiation, aligned with her stated healthcare positions and constituents' interests. However, the pharmaceutical industry is among the sectors lobbying on issues within her Energy

primary · 2022-08-12

[disclosure] Trahan's financial disclosures filed with the House classified her husband's company assets as 'SP' (spouse/separate property) rather than 'JT' (joint marital property), contradicting her claim that the loan funds were joint marital assets eligible for use in her campaign.

primary · 2018-05-15

[statement] Trahan publicly stated that using her husband's money for her campaign was a 'gray area' in federal campaign finance law, acknowledging 'several errors' in how the funds were handled.

primary · 2019-10-30

Trahan accepted $4,500 from corporate lobbying firm PACs despite publicly claiming she did not accept corporate PAC money, a position contradicted by her campaign finance disclosures.

secondary · 2018-09-01

Trahan violated the STOCK Act by holding a $100,001 to $250,000 stake in World View Enterprises through one of her blind trusts. World View Enterprises provides 'persistent observation and data collection' using high-altitude balloon technology for government and commercial customers, and spent $80,000 on federal lobbying during 2020 — creating a potential c

secondary · 2021-07-01

Lori Trahan accepted $300,000 in campaign loans from her husband David Trahan's companies (DCT Development, Mass Eagle Development LLC, Middlesex Land Holdings LLC, Poplar Hill Development LLC) during her tight 2018 Democratic primary, which she won by 155 votes. The Office of Congressional Ethics (OCE) released a report in December 2019 concluding there was

primary · 2018-06-30

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022	yea	2022-08-12	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Trahan publicly stated that using her husband's money for her campaign was a 'gray area' in federal campaign finance law, acknowledging 'several error"

Vote: on "Trahan's financial disclosures filed with the House classified her husband's company assets as 'SP' "

Trahan claimed the $300,000 campaign loan came from joint marital property and was therefore legal, while simultaneously filing financial disclosures classifying her husband's company assets as separate property. The prenuptial agreement she cited ac

Last silence detection: Never

Campaign finance reform and Dark Money

1618d silent

Expected position: Given Trahan previously worked as chief of staff to Rep. Marty Meehan — lead Democratic sponsor of the McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform Act — and her district's working-class

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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