[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jill N. Tokuda

Democratic · Representative, HI ·2

Score Components

9 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

18 → 5

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 11.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian population share: 24.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 32.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 67.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid enrollment rate: 17.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 7.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $95,891

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Hawaiʻi Amendment 1 — Repeal Legislature's Authority to Limit Marriage to Opposite-Sex Couples (2024) — passed, margin 56.2%-43.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.111)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.119)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Hilton Hawaiian Village and other major hotel/resort operators (20000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: U.S. Department of Defense (Pacific Command, bases across Oahu and neighbor islands) (47000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: State of Hawaii (government agencies) (52000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Hawaiʻi's 2nd Congressional District encompasses all of the state outside of urban Honolulu, including suburban and rural parts of Oʻahu and the islands of Hawaiʻi, Kauaʻi, Maui, Lānaʻi, Molokaʻi, Niʻihau, Kahoʻolawe, and the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands. Home to approximately 725,590 constituents, the district has

secondary

Voted nay on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07: Tokuda voted against mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants accused of certain crimes — joining 170 Democrats in opposition while 48 Democrats defected. The vote aligns with her immigration stance: she has criticized Trump's 'immigration crackdown efforts for hitting close to home' and her di

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 4763 (Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21)) on 2024-05-22: Tokuda voted against the bipartisan crypto market structure bill that passed 279-136 with 71 Democrats in support. Her opposition placed her with the progressive wing against a bill supported by the crypto industry. The vote illustrates the

inferential · 2024-05-22

Voted nay on H.R. 2670 (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024) on 2023-07-14: As an Armed Services Committee member, Tokuda voted against the NDAA after Democratic-priority provisions were stripped and 'culture war' amendments were added — defecting from the committee's bipartisan work. She has voted nay on NDAA for three consecutive years

primary · 2023-07-14

Voted nay on H.Res. 719 (Censuring Representative Al Green of Texas) on 2025-03-06: Tokuda voted against censuring Rep. Al Green for his protest during Trump's joint address, while 10 Democrats voted yea. She issued a forceful statement: 'Dissent is a vital part of our democracy... Republicans can spare us the faux outrage.' The vote aligned her with the Dem

primary · 2025-03-06

Voted nay on H.R. 8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Tokuda voted against $26.38 billion in Israel military aid — a rare party defection (173 Democrats voted yea). She stated the vote was 'about sending a strong message that unconditional aid given the impact of loss of life that we are seeing in Gaza… could not conti

primary · 2024-04-20

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Censuring Representative Al Green of Texas	nay	2025-03-06	aligned
Laken Riley Act	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21)	nay_unverified	2024-05-22	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024	nay	2023-07-14	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Tokuda's campaign pledge to refuse corporate PAC money was touted as a commitment to 'fighting dark money in politics.' She stated, 'corporations and "

Vote: on "While refusing corporate PAC money, Tokuda accepted nearly $23,000 in individual contributions from "

Tokuda refuses corporate PAC funds yet accepts individual contributions from the same corporations' executives, lobbyists, and trade associations — a distinction that a UH political scientist called 'a clever rhetorical statement that sends a signal

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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