[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → David G. Valadao

David G. Valadao

Republican · Representative, CA ·22

David G. Valadao is the Republican U.S. Representative (CA's 22nd congressional district). The platform has 92 voting records on file (2026) and 34 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components
78 HIGH
Connection Density 20%
69 → 14
Donor Influence 15%
94 → 14
Silence Risk 25%
95 → 24
Contradiction Risk 25%
87 → 22
Intelligence Volume 15%
31 → 5
Constituency Deviation 0%
64 → 0
Voting Misalignment 0%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medi-Cal enrollment rate: 64% (highest of any Republican-held district)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 10.3%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 52.9%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 10.1%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 19.2%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic or Latino: 74.2%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 780,759
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $58,828
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 3 — Remove Same-Sex Marriage Ban from California Constitution (2024) (2024) — passed, margin majority yes
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1 — Right to Abortion and Contraception (California Constitutional Amendment) (2022) — passed, margin 66.9% yes to 33.1% no
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 0.22)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Grimmway Farms (carrots — based in Kern County) (6000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Adventist Health (Bakersfield / Delano / Hanford / Tulare hospitals) (4000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wonderful Company (POM Wonderful, Wonderful Pistachios, Fiji Water) (5000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 22nd Congressional District covers the southern San Joaquin Valley, including parts of Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties. Major cities include the east side of Bakersfield, Delano, Hanford, Tulare, Porterville, Shafter, and Wasco. With a population of approximately 780,759 and a Cook PVI of R+1 (as of 2025, the median district in the nation), it is one of the…
[ Show full fact ]
[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 22nd Congressional District covers the southern San Joaquin Valley, including parts of Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties. Major cities include the east side of Bakersfield, Delano, Hanford, Tulare, Porterville, Shafter, and Wasco. With a population of approximately 780,759 and a Cook PVI of R+1 (as of 2025, the median district in the nation), it is one of the most competitive seats in the country. The district is 74.2% Hispanic, making it a majority-Latino district. The median household income is $58,828 with a poverty rate of 19.2% and an unemployment rate of 10.1% — among the most economically distressed districts in California. Only 10.3% of adults hold a bachelor's degree and 33.2% lack a high school diploma. The economy is anchored by agriculture (dairy, grapes, almonds, citrus), oil extraction, and related industries. Approximately 64% of constituents — roughly 527,000 people — are enrolled in Medi-Cal, the highest share of any Republican-held district in the nation.
secondary ✓ Verified
[vote] Valadao endorsed Donald Trump for president in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed One Big Beautiful Bill Act в 2025, which the DCCC characterized as Valadao fearing 'the wrath of Trump more than his own voters.'
primary · 2025-07-03 ✓ Verified
[vote] Valadao voted to impeach President Donald Trump on January 13, 2021, one of only 10 House Republicans to do so, and the only California Republican. He stated: 'His inciting rhetoric was un-American, abhorrent, and absolutely an impeachable offense.'
primary · 2021-01-13 ✓ Verified
[vote] Valadao cast the deciding vote for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which the CBO projected would cut approximately $700 billion from Medicaid subsidies. His district has the highest Medicaid enrollment rate (64%) of any Republican seat. Two million Californians were projected to lose coverage. Constituents chanted 'I feel betrayed' at protests afterward.
primary · 2025-05-22 ✓ Verified
Jim Jordan affiliation Both Valadao and Jordan are House Republicans who voted for the Trump-backed OBBBA
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez political opposition Valadao voted to cut Medicaid subsidies in OBBBA, while Ocasio-Cortez represents progressive opposition to such cuts
Donald Trump political endorsement Valadao endorsed Donald Trump for president in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025
Mike Johnson political association Valadao served in the House alongside Speaker Mike Johnson, who would have been involved in advancing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Bernie Sanders political opposition As a progressive senator, Sanders would be expected to oppose the Medicaid cuts Valadao supported in the OBBBA
AIPAC / United Democracy Project donor American Israel Public Affairs Committee was Valadao's second largest organizational contributor at $98,447 ($80,547 individual + $17,900 PAC)
Jim Costa colleague Both represent neighboring Central Valley districts; Valadao is listed as a known House member from California.
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) vote Valadao cast the deciding vote for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which the CBO projected would cut approximately $700 billion from Medicaid subsidies
Florida Freedom Fund PAC donor $5,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00825430/
Defending The American Dream PAC donor $10,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00822833/
Mvl PAC donor $10,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00817338/
Leadership And Loyalty Only To America PAC donor $7,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00813063/
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/
Aerovironment, Inc PAC donor $5,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797530/
31 Days PAC donor $5,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00786368/
Tkj PAC donor $5,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00784694/
Baker PAC donor $10,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00770297/
Six PAC donor $10,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00770255/
Freedom Force PAC donor $7,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00769695/
Big Ideas Create Excellence - Bice PAC donor $5,000 to David G. Valadao's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00765644/
BillVoteDateAlignment
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Water Resources Development Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
PROOF Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Retire through Ownership Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
GUARD Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act Yea 2026-09-03 unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require… Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
AGOA Extension Act Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act Yea 2026-08-31 unknown
Last contradiction analysis: Never
statement_vs_disclosure 90/100
Platform: "Valadao voted against the $1.2 trillion Bipartisan Infrastructure Law in November 2021, with California Republicans calling it 'terrible' and 'reckless.'"
Vote: on "In 2023 and 2024, Valadao wrote letters to Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg requesting at…"
Valadao voted against the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, calling it 'reckless,' then lobbied for at least $168 million from the same law for his district and publicly celebrated the Diablo Canyon nuclear plant that it funded — a classic 'Voted No, Took the Dough' pattern that drew national attention.
reversal 90/100
Platform: "Valadao publicly pledged in May 2025: 'My goal is to not do anything that damages Medicaid and what they deliver for our constituents.' He emphasized his commitment to safeguarding Medicaid, which serves an estimated…
[ Show full platform position ]
Valadao publicly pledged in May 2025: 'My goal is to not do anything that damages Medicaid and what they deliver for our constituents.' He emphasized his commitment to safeguarding Medicaid, which serves an estimated two-thirds of his district.
"
Vote: on "Valadao cast the deciding vote for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which the CBO projected would…"
Valadao publicly pledged not to damage Medicaid, which covers two-thirds of his district, then cast the deciding vote for the OBBB which the CBO projected would cut $700 billion from Medicaid — prompting constituents to chant 'I feel betrayed' at protests and leading both of his Democratic opponents to accuse him of…
[ Show full analysis ]
Valadao publicly pledged not to damage Medicaid, which covers two-thirds of his district, then cast the deciding vote for the OBBB which the CBO projected would cut $700 billion from Medicaid — prompting constituents to chant 'I feel betrayed' at protests and leading both of his Democratic opponents to accuse him of lying.
reversal 60/100
Platform: "Valadao voted to impeach President Donald Trump on January 13, 2021, one of only 10 House Republicans to do so, and the only California Republican. He stated: 'His inciting rhetoric was un-American, abhorrent, and…
[ Show full platform position ]
Valadao voted to impeach President Donald Trump on January 13, 2021, one of only 10 House Republicans to do so, and the only California Republican. He stated: 'His inciting rhetoric was un-American, abhorrent, and absolutely an impeachable offense.'
"
Vote: on "Valadao endorsed Donald Trump for president in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed One Big…"
Valadao was one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in 2021, calling his conduct 'abhorrent' and 'absolutely an impeachable offense,' but subsequently endorsed Trump in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed OBBB — a reversal from accountability advocate to party loyalty that critics attribute to…
[ Show full analysis ]
Valadao was one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in 2021, calling his conduct 'abhorrent' and 'absolutely an impeachable offense,' but subsequently endorsed Trump in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed OBBB — a reversal from accountability advocate to party loyalty that critics attribute to political survival in a Trump-dominated GOP.
Last silence detection: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 00:48:11 GMT (via scheduled run)
In-person constituent town halls
479d silent
Expected position: As a Congressman representing a competitive district with 780,759 constituents and the highest Medicaid enrollment of any Republican-held seat, Valadao would be expected to hold open, in-person town halls where voters can ask unscripted…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Expected position: As a Congressman representing a competitive district with 780,759 constituents and the highest Medicaid enrollment of any Republican-held seat, Valadao would be expected to hold open, in-person town halls where voters can ask unscripted questions about his votes and policy positions. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Valadao has not held in-person town halls during this period, instead conducting tele-town halls requiring advance registration. Democratic Reps. Ro Khanna and Jimmy Gomez both traveled to Bakersfield to hold town halls specifically because constituents reported frustration that Valadao and Rep. Vince Fong 'have not held town halls to engage directly with constituents.' Valadao defended tele-town halls, saying a recent call included 4,500 participants. When constituents gathered at his Bakersfield office to deliver petitions demanding he protect Medicaid, his staff refused to accept them and said no one was available. Primary URL: https://www.turnto23.com/news/local-news/congressman-ro-khanna-leads-town-hall-in-kern-county
other / unclassified
Congressional Leadership Fund, Seal PAC USA, International Fresh Produce Association, Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC, American Pistachio Growers Pistachio PAC, California Dairies Federal PAC, American Unity PAC, America'S First PAC, Rodpac, John…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Congressional Leadership Fund, Seal PAC USA, International Fresh Produce Association, Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC, American Pistachio Growers Pistachio PAC, California Dairies Federal PAC, American Unity PAC, America'S First PAC, Rodpac, John Bolton PAC, Ca Canning Peach Assoc PAC - Peach PAC, Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, Building And Restoring The American Dream Fund, American Revival PAC, Building Bridges PAC, Securing The Republic For Our Next Generation, Western Growers Political Action Committee (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $8,500 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $12,500 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $6,000 (2026), $7,500 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $6,000 (2026), $8,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified
corporate pacs, industry unlisted
Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac), The Schwan Company PAC, Calportland Company Political Action Committee (Cpcc-PAC), Am General LLC PAC (Am General PAC), Aerovironment, Inc PAC, Mercury Systems Inc. Employees PAC, Applied Intuition, Inc…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac), The Schwan Company PAC, Calportland Company Political Action Committee (Cpcc-PAC), Am General LLC PAC (Am General PAC), Aerovironment, Inc PAC, Mercury Systems Inc. Employees PAC, Applied Intuition, Inc. Political Action Committee (Applied PAC), Fuse Integration Mission First PAC, Accelintpac (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted
law & lobbying firms
Honeywell International PAC, Cozen O'Connor Political Action Committee, Balch & Bingham Fed. Pol. Comm., American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $8,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: law & lobbying firms
party committees
Republican Governance Group/Tuesday Group PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: party committees
other candidates' committees
Huck PAC, Haystack PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024), $7,000 (2026)) — interest area: other candidates' committees
ideological & single-issue
No Labels PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue
colleagues' leadership pacs
Upper Hand Fund, On Wisconsin PAC, Inc., Let'S All Keep Electing Republicans PAC, Your Ohio Republican Team, Support Taxfighters & Elect Effective Leaders PAC, Raptor PAC, Jobs And The Economy PAC, Honor Courage Commitment PAC, No Nonsense PAC, Fight On PAC…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Upper Hand Fund, On Wisconsin PAC, Inc., Let'S All Keep Electing Republicans PAC, Your Ohio Republican Team, Support Taxfighters & Elect Effective Leaders PAC, Raptor PAC, Jobs And The Economy PAC, Honor Courage Commitment PAC, No Nonsense PAC, Fight On PAC, Lasting Investments Strengthening America PAC, Big Ideas Create Excellence - Bice PAC, Freedom Force PAC, Six PAC, Baker PAC, Kansas Victory PAC, Tkj PAC, 31 Days PAC, Razor PAC, Common Sense Common Solutions PAC, New Majority Federal PAC, Eureka PAC, Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac, Arkansas For Leadership PAC (Arkpac), Conservative And Republican Together Equals Results PAC, Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, American Security PAC, Invest In A Strong Secure America PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Bringing Republican Excellence To Town PAC (Brettpac), Reaching For A Brighter America PAC, Blaine PAC, Victory And Freedom PAC, Impact Committee, Greater Tomorrow PAC, Jobs Freedom And Security PAC, First In Freedom PAC, Innovation PAC, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Maintaining All Republicans In Office PAC, E-PAC, Building America'S Republican Representation PAC, Norcal Water Jobs Liberty PAC, Valor PAC, Tulip PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Buddy PAC, Land Of Opportunity PAC, Salt City PAC, Hispanic Leadership Council PAC, New Energy In Washington House PAC (N.E.W. House PAC), In The Arena PAC, Abraham Lincoln PAC, David PAC Delivering American Values In Dc, Bringing America Together PAC, Bacon PAC, Restoring Our Nation, Forever Youth Organization Utilizing A New Generation PAC, Rvfpac, Keep Texas Texas PAC, Hispanic Leadership Trust, Leadership And Loyalty Only To America PAC, Mvl PAC, PAC For New Leadership, Dreamakers PAC, B Brigade Majority Fund, Defending The American Dream PAC, Republicans United To Defend You PAC (Rudy PAC), Florida Freedom Fund PAC, Highwater PAC, Building Up Democracy'S Dream, Mountaineer PAC, Pennsylvania Honor, Guarding Our Lasting Democracy, For Our Nation'S Greatness, Resilience, Excellence, Strength, And Security (Fongress) PAC, Colorado Western PAC, Stand Tall For Kansas PAC, Building A Republic America Deserves, Ca Canning Peach Assoc PAC - Peach PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,500 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $6,600 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $7,500 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $7,000 (2024), $7,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $9,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $7,500 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $8,500 (2024), $6,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $7,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $7,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $6,500 (2026), $7,500 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $6,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs
Ca Canning Peach Assoc PAC - Peach PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $6,000 (2026)
Wine And Spirits Wholesalers Of America, Inc. PAC Alcohol & tobacco $8,500 (2024)
Altria Group, Inc PAC Alcohol & tobacco $7,500 (2026)
Wine Institute Political Action Committee Alcohol & tobacco $10,000 (2024)
Accelintpac Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $7,000 (2026)
Fuse Integration Mission First PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $7,000 (2026)
Building A Republic America Deserves Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
Stand Tall For Kansas PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $7,000 (2026)
Colorado Western PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $7,000 (2026)
Guarding Our Lasting Democracy Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
Mn8 Energy LLC PAC (Mn8 PAC) Oil, gas & mining $7,000 (2026)
Pennsylvania Honor Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
Haystack PAC Other candidates' committees $7,000 (2026)
TopicPriorityAlignmentDeviation
Medi-Cal and Healthcare Access 95 -20 65
Immigration and Agricultural Labor 92 10 55
Environmental Regulation and Air/Water Quality 75 -10 50
Housing Affordability and Homeownership 82 20 45
Social Security and Medicare Protection 85 30 40
Education and Workforce Development 78 35 35
Cost of Living, Inflation, and Gas Prices 88 45 30
Public Safety and Border Security 72 50 25
Agriculture and Farm Bill Support 87 70 20
Tax Policy and Small Business Support 70 55 20
Disaster Relief and Drought Resilience 80 75 15
Water Rights and Drought Policy 90 85 10
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Contradiction Risk30%Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence20%Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk15%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume15%Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation0%Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment0%Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]
Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 4 elected officials hold documented connections.
$17.6BDonor Contributions
0Money Chains
0Traced Hops
Connected Officials
Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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