[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

David G. Valadao

Republican · Representative, CA ·22

Score Components

32 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medi-Cal enrollment rate: 64% (highest of any Republican-held district)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 10.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 52.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 10.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 19.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic or Latino: 74.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 780,759

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $58,828

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 3 — Remove Same-Sex Marriage Ban from California Constitution (2024) (2024) — passed, margin majority yes

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1 — Right to Abortion and Contraception (California Constitutional Amendment) (2022) — passed, margin 66.9% yes to 33.1% no

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 0.22)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Grimmway Farms (carrots — based in Kern County) (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Adventist Health (Bakersfield / Delano / Hanford / Tulare hospitals) (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wonderful Company (POM Wonderful, Wonderful Pistachios, Fiji Water) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 22nd Congressional District covers the southern San Joaquin Valley, including parts of Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties. Major cities include the east side of Bakersfield, Delano, Hanford, Tulare, Porterville, Shafter, and Wasco. With a population of approximately 780,759 and a Cook PVI of R+1 (as of 202

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[vote] Valadao endorsed Donald Trump for president in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed One Big Beautiful Bill Act в 2025, which the DCCC characterized as Valadao fearing 'the wrath of Trump more than his own voters.'

primary · 2025-07-03

[vote] Valadao voted to impeach President Donald Trump on January 13, 2021, one of only 10 House Republicans to do so, and the only California Republican. He stated: 'His inciting rhetoric was un-American, abhorrent, and absolutely an impeachable offense.'

primary · 2021-01-13

[vote] Valadao cast the deciding vote for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which the CBO projected would cut approximately $700 billion from Medicaid subsidies. His district has the highest Medicaid enrollment rate (64%) of any Republican seat. Two million Californians were projected to lose coverage. Constituents chanted 'I feel betrayed' at protests afterwa

primary · 2025-05-22

No connections mapped

No voting records ingested

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Valadao voted against the $1.2 trillion Bipartisan Infrastructure Law in November 2021, with California Republicans calling it 'terrible' and 'reckles"

Vote: on "In 2023 and 2024, Valadao wrote letters to Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg requesting at lea"

Valadao voted against the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, calling it 'reckless,' then lobbied for at least $168 million from the same law for his district and publicly celebrated the Diablo Canyon nuclear plant that it funded — a classic 'Voted No, To

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Valadao publicly pledged in May 2025: 'My goal is to not do anything that damages Medicaid and what they deliver for our constituents.' He emphasized "

Vote: on "Valadao cast the deciding vote for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which the CBO projected would cut"

Valadao publicly pledged not to damage Medicaid, which covers two-thirds of his district, then cast the deciding vote for the OBBB which the CBO projected would cut $700 billion from Medicaid — prompting constituents to chant 'I feel betrayed' at pro

reversal 60/100

Platform: "Valadao voted to impeach President Donald Trump on January 13, 2021, one of only 10 House Republicans to do so, and the only California Republican. He"

Vote: on "Valadao endorsed Donald Trump for president in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed One Big Beautiful"

Valadao was one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in 2021, calling his conduct 'abhorrent' and 'absolutely an impeachable offense,' but subsequently endorsed Trump in 2024 and voted for the Trump-backed OBBB — a reversal from account

Last silence detection: Never

In-person constituent town halls

479d silent

Expected position: As a Congressman representing a competitive district with 780,759 constituents and the highest Medicaid enrollment of any Republican-held seat, Valadao would be expected to hold ope

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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