[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → Juan Vargas

Juan Vargas

Democratic · Representative, CA ·52

Juan Vargas is the Democratic U.S. Representative (CA's 52nd congressional district). The platform has 7 voting records on file (2024-2026) and 47 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components
52 MODERATE
Connection Density 20%
50 → 10
Donor Influence 15%
37 → 6
Silence Risk 25%
3 → 1
Contradiction Risk 25%
87 → 22
Intelligence Volume 15%
57 → 9
Constituency Deviation 0%
41 → 0
Voting Misalignment 0%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+33
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 7.6%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 35.9
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English primary language at home: 59.7% of households
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population share: 31.3% (237,000 people)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 60.1%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 25.3%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 50.3%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 10.1% (LegisLetter) / 12.6% (Data USA 2024)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $86,750
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 36 — Homelessness, Drug Addiction and Theft Reduction Act (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 68.4% Yes — 31.6% No
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1 — Behavioral Health Services and Bond Measure (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 50.2% Yes — 49.8% No
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.11)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.15)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: U.S. Customs and Border Protection (San Ysidro Port of Entry) (2500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Southwestern Community College District (1500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: San Ysidro Health Center (2000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Sharp Healthcare (Chula Vista Medical Center) (3000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 52nd Congressional District encompasses the South Bay region of San Diego County, including the cities of Chula Vista, National City, and Imperial Beach, stretching along the U.S.-Mexico border and west to Coronado. Home to approximately 757,541 constituents, the district is a majority-minority district where Hispanic residents form the largest group at 60.1%…
[ Show full fact ]
[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 52nd Congressional District encompasses the South Bay region of San Diego County, including the cities of Chula Vista, National City, and Imperial Beach, stretching along the U.S.-Mexico border and west to Coronado. Home to approximately 757,541 constituents, the district is a majority-minority district where Hispanic residents form the largest group at 60.1%, followed by White (23.8%) and Asian (14.5%). The median household income is $86,750 — more than double the national median of $37,585 — but 10.1-12.6% of residents live in poverty and 50.3% are homeowners. Only 25.3% of adults hold a bachelor's degree. The median age is 35.9, younger than the national average of 38.5. 31.3% of residents (237,000 people) are foreign-born, the highest share of any San Diego-area district, and 59.7% of households speak a non-English language at home — predominantly Spanish (340,993 households) and Tagalog (42,040). Major industries include healthcare, retail, hospitality, and the defense sector tied to Naval Base San Diego. The district includes the San Ysidro Port of Entry, the busiest land border crossing in the Western Hemisphere, and the Chicano Park National Historic Landmark. The seat has a Cook PVI of D+33 and is safely Democratic; Vargas won the 2024 election with over 60% of the vote.
secondary ✓ Verified
Scott H. Peters colleague San Diego-area Rep. Scott Peters opposed the standalone $17.6 billion Israel aid bill (H.R. 7217) that Vargas supported.
AIPAC / United Democracy Project donor AIPAC is Vargas's single largest donor, contributing approximately $162,052 in the 2024 cycle (16% of total fundraising) and $63,500 in the early 2026 cycle…
Sara Jacobs colleague San Diego-area Rep. Sara Jacobs opposed the standalone $17.6 billion Israel aid bill (H.R. 7217) that Vargas supported.
US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Policy Opposition Vargas voted against DHS funding in January 2026, calling the agency 'a rogue agency that terrorizes our communities.'
US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Policy Opposition Vargas voted against DHS funding (Jan 2026), calling ICE a 'rogue agency that terrorizes our communities.' He also voted against the Laken Riley Act…
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/
Td Bank N.A PAC donor $5,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00501429/
Cox Enterprises Inc. PAC donor $5,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00477653/
National Air Traffic Controllers Assoc PAC donor $5,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00238725/
Ernst & Young PAC donor $10,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00227744/
Deloitte Political Action Committee donor $5,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00211318/
United Services Automobile Association Employee PAC - Usaa Employee PAC donor $5,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00164145/
New York Life Insurance Company PAC donor $7,500 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00158881/
National Multifamily Housing Council PAC donor $7,500 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00130773/
National Electrical Contractors Association PAC (Necapac) donor $10,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00113811/
American Crystal Sugar Company PAC donor $10,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00110338/
Pricewaterhousecoopers PAC I donor $5,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00107235/
Honeywell International PAC donor $5,500 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00096156/
General Dynamics Corporation PAC donor $6,700 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00078451/
American Institute Of Certified Public Accountants PAC donor $10,000 to Juan Vargas's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00077321/
BillVoteDateAlignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Water Resources Development Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
PROOF Act Nay 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Nay 2026-09-16 unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act Nay 2026-09-16 unknown
Retire through Ownership Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
GUARD Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act Yea 2026-09-03 unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act Nay 2026-09-02 unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require… Nay 2026-09-02 unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
AGOA Extension Act Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act Yea 2026-08-31 unknown
Last contradiction analysis: Never
statement_vs_disclosure 90/100
Platform: "At a February 2026 'ICE OUT OF SD' rally, Rep. Juan Vargas told activists who confronted him about his relationship with the pro-Israel lobbying group AIPAC: 'AIPAC has never given me a penny.' When the chants shifted…
[ Show full platform position ]
At a February 2026 'ICE OUT OF SD' rally, Rep. Juan Vargas told activists who confronted him about his relationship with the pro-Israel lobbying group AIPAC: 'AIPAC has never given me a penny.' When the chants shifted to 'Stop Funding Israel!', the crowd turned on Vargas, booing him and shouting 'Get off the stage!'
"
Vote: on "Federal Election Commission records show AIPAC contributed approximately $162,052 to Vargas's…"
Vargas told constituents 'AIPAC has never given me a penny' at a rally where he was chanting 'ICE Out!' — yet FEC records document $162,052 in AIPAC contributions in the 2024 cycle alone, making the group his single largest donor. He did not respond to multiple KPBS requests for comment. The activist who confronted…
[ Show full analysis ]
Vargas told constituents 'AIPAC has never given me a penny' at a rally where he was chanting 'ICE Out!' — yet FEC records document $162,052 in AIPAC contributions in the 2024 cycle alone, making the group his single largest donor. He did not respond to multiple KPBS requests for comment. The activist who confronted him called him 'a liar,' and the discrepancy has become a flashpoint in his 2026 primary campaign.
platform_vs_vote 90/100
Platform: "Vargas joined the Congressional Progressive Caucus in September 2019, pledging to 'continue fighting for economic justice and security, protecting our civil rights and liberties, promoting global peace and security…
[ Show full platform position ]
Vargas joined the Congressional Progressive Caucus in September 2019, pledging to 'continue fighting for economic justice and security, protecting our civil rights and liberties, promoting global peace and security, and advancing environmental protections.' He represents one of the most Latino districts in the country (CA-52, 60.1% Hispanic).
"
Vote: on "Vargas was one of only four House Democrats to vote against the March 5, 2026 Iran war powers…"
Vargas pledged to promote 'global peace and security' as a Progressive Caucus member, yet was one of only four House Democrats to vote against Congress's war powers resolution to halt unauthorized military operations in Iran — joining 215 Republicans in a vote critics called aiding an 'Israeli-instigated war.' The…
[ Show full analysis ]
Vargas pledged to promote 'global peace and security' as a Progressive Caucus member, yet was one of only four House Democrats to vote against Congress's war powers resolution to halt unauthorized military operations in Iran — joining 215 Republicans in a vote critics called aiding an 'Israeli-instigated war.' The San Diego Union-Tribune columnist and local progressive activists expressed shock that a Democrat from a diverse border district would help preserve Trump's ability to wage war without congressional authorization.
reversal 60/100
Platform: "In January 2026, Vargas voted against DHS funding and declared: 'I won't vote to send taxpayer dollars to a rogue agency that terrorizes our communities, escalates violence, and denies people their constitutional…
[ Show full platform position ]
In January 2026, Vargas voted against DHS funding and declared: 'I won't vote to send taxpayer dollars to a rogue agency that terrorizes our communities, escalates violence, and denies people their constitutional rights.' He called the ICE killings of U.S. citizens 'murder.'
"
Vote: on "Vargas was one of only four NJ House Democrats (actually San Diego) to support a standalone $17.6…"
Vargas was one of only four Democrats to vote against the March 5 Iran war powers resolution, then reversed course on April 16 to support a nearly identical Democratic-led measure that failed by one vote. The reversal — from empowering Trump's war-making to constraining it — came after his initial vote drew sharp…
[ Show full analysis ]
Vargas was one of only four Democrats to vote against the March 5 Iran war powers resolution, then reversed course on April 16 to support a nearly identical Democratic-led measure that failed by one vote. The reversal — from empowering Trump's war-making to constraining it — came after his initial vote drew sharp local condemnation. This same-bill flip within six weeks on the same policy question (war powers authority in Iran) constitutes a direct reversal.
Last silence detection: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 00:48:50 GMT (via scheduled run)
other / unclassified
The Doctors Company Federal PAC (Docpac) (amounts: $6,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified
TopicPriorityAlignmentDeviation
Housing Affordability & Homelessness 90 45 55
Border Security & Public Safety 72 55 45
Healthcare Access & Behavioral Health 85 60 40
Education & Workforce Development 78 65 35
Immigration & Immigrant Rights 92 70 30
Economic Development & Small Business 75 70 30
Government Accountability & Ethics 70 72 28
Environmental Protection & Clean Air/Water 88 75 25
Tax Policy & Cost of Living 80 78 22
Veterans & Military Affairs 65 82 18
Water & Infrastructure 68 85 15
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Contradiction Risk30%Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence20%Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk15%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume15%Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation0%Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment0%Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]
Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 2 elected officials hold documented connections.
$4.0BDonor Contributions
0Money Chains
0Traced Hops
Connected Officials
Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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