[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Gabe Vasquez

Democratic · Representative, NM ·2

Score Components

12 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

18 → 5

Intelligence Volume 10%

48 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 72.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 60.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 16.6% (2023 ACS 5-year estimate)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $57,932 (2023 ACS 5-year estimate)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Bond Question 3 (Higher Education Bonds) (2022) — passed, margin 62.1% Yes to 37.9% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Constitutional Amendment 1 (Land Grant Permanent Fund for Early Childhood Education) (2022) — passed, margin 70.2% Yes to 29.8% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52-53 (share 0.05)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11,21 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45,48-49 (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61-62 (share 0.19)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Walmart (regional operations) (2000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Memorial Medical Center (Las Cruces) (2200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Las Cruces Public Schools (3800 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: White Sands Missile Range (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: New Mexico State University (6400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District spans the southern half of the state including Las Cruces, portions of Albuquerque, and numerous rural counties from the Arizona to Texas borders. With approximately 707,000 residents, it is a majority-Hispanic (60.5%) district with a median household income of $57,932, 16.6% p

secondary

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Deal)) on 2023-05-31: Vasquez joined 165 Democrats and 149 Republicans to avert a catastrophic default, despite the deal including SNAP work requirement expansions that progressive allies opposed. His statement acknowledged the bill 'is not perfect' but prioritized preventing

inferential · 2023-05-31

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (April package)) on 2024-04-20: After voting against stand-alone Israel aid in November 2023 and February 2024, Vasquez voted for the April 2024 package that included $9.15 billion in humanitarian aid for Gaza alongside Israel funding, citing Biden administration assuran

inferential · 2024-04-20

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 2 (Secure the Border Act of 2023) on 2023-05-11: Vasquez represents 180 miles of the US-Mexico border. His vote against the only major border security bill of the 118th Congress put him at odds with a border-district electorate that ranked immigration as a top concern. Vasquez argued the bill was 'extreme' but his 'no' vote becam

inferential · 2023-05-11

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 6126 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2023-11-02: Vasquez voted against stand-alone Israel aid weeks after issuing a statement 'in support of Israel' and signing a bipartisan resolution condemning Hamas. The vote defied $133,193 in Pro-Israel donor funding while aligning with progressive calls for condit

inferential · 2023-11-02

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (April package)	yea_unverified	2024-04-20	misaligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay_unverified	2023-11-02	mixed
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Deal)	yea_unverified	2023-05-31	mixed
Secure the Border Act of 2023	nay_unverified	2023-05-11	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In a March 27, 2018 podcast, Vasquez said of oil and gas extraction: 'A lot of folks in the environmental community will say, Shut it all down. Let's "

Vote: on "In a September 2022 campaign statement, Vasquez said oil and gas is 'incredibly important to this di"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Vasquez shifted from calling for an immediate end to oil and gas extraction in 2018 to defending the industry as 'incredibly important' during his 2022 campaign. Both quotes come from the

Last silence detection: Never

Navajo Nation Chaco Canyon oil and gas buffer zone

19d silent

Expected position: Vasquez represents a district with significant Navajo constituents and had previously applauded the Biden administration's proposed rule to limit oil and gas activity around Chaco C

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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