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[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
// Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → Ann Wagner

Ann Wagner

Republican · Representative, MO ·2
Score Components
17 MODERATE
Connection Density 20%
0 → 0
Donor Influence 10%
0 → 0
Silence Risk 25%
0 → 0
Contradiction Risk 25%
46 → 12
Intelligence Volume 10%
52 → 5
Constituency Deviation 5%
0 → 0
Voting Misalignment 5%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White alone, not Hispanic or Latino: 74.5%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 809,382
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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $83,762
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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 2 – Medicaid Expansion (2020) — passed, margin 53.3% yes to 46.7% no
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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 3 – Right to Reproductive Freedom (2024) — passed, margin 51.6% yes to 48.4% no
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 (share 0.09)
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.15)
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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District covers the western and southwestern suburbs of St. Louis, including portions of St. Charles County, St. Louis County, and Jefferson County. It is predominantly suburban, with a median household income above the national average and a population that is largely white. Key economic
secondary
Voted yea on H.R. 3746 / Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023) on 2023-05-31: Voted to suspend the debt ceiling after previously demanding deep spending cuts, marking a reversal that avoided default but angered fiscal conservatives.
primary · 2023-05-31
Voted nay on H.R. 8404 / Respect for Marriage Act (Respect for Marriage Act) on 2022-12-08: Voted against codifying federal recognition of same-sex marriage, even as public opinion in her suburban district strongly supported marriage equality.
primary · 2022-12-08
Voted nay on H.R. 3684 / Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act) on 2021-11-05: Voted against a major infrastructure package that funded roads, bridges, and broadband in suburban Missouri, potentially harming district infrastructure needs.
primary · 2021-11-05
Voted nay on H.R. 1319 / American Rescue Plan Act (American Rescue Plan Act of 2021) on 2021-02-27: Opposed direct stimulus payments, expanded child tax credit, and local aid that would have benefited many suburban families in her district.
primary · 2021-02-27
Voted yea on H.R. 1 / Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (Tax Cuts and Jobs Act) on 2017-12-19: Supported sweeping tax cuts that disproportionately benefited corporations and high-income earners, aligning with major donor interests.
primary · 2017-12-19
Voted yea on H.Res. 24 / Objection to Arizona Electors (Objection to counting Arizona's electoral votes) on 2021-01-06: Voted to sustain an objection to Arizona's electoral votes, despite her district voting for Biden by a margin of more than 8 points, undermining the democratic process.
primary · 2021-01-06
[vote] Voted against H.R.8035, the Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024, which provided $60.8 billion in additional military and economic aid to Ukraine.
primary · 2024-04-20
[platform] Co-sponsored H.R.6756, the Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022, indicating support for providing military aid to Ukraine.
primary · 2022-03-02
The American Bankers Association PAC contributed $5,000 to Wagner for Congress on March 15, 2023.
primary · 2023-03-15
The National Association of Realtors PAC (NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE) contributed $5,000 to Wagner for Congress on June 30, 2023.
primary · 2023-06-30
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Census American Community Survey — congressional district tables (MO-02): ACS 5-year district-level estimates
secondary
No connections mapped
BillVoteDateAlignment
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 yea 2023-05-31 misaligned
Secure the Border Act of 2023 yea 2023-05-11 misaligned
Joint Resolution relating to a national emergency declared by the President on M yea 2023-02-01 deviating
Respect for Marriage Act nay 2022-12-08 misaligned
Inflation Reduction Act nay 2022-08-12 aligned
CHIPS and Science Act nay 2022-07-28 misaligned
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act nay 2021-11-05 misaligned
American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 nay 2021-02-27 misaligned
Objection to counting Arizona's electoral votes yea 2021-01-06 misaligned
Allow States and Victims to Fight Online Sex Trafficking Act (FOSTA) yea 2018-02-27 aligned
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yea 2017-12-19 aligned
Last contradiction analysis: Never
reversal 90/100
Platform: "Co-sponsored H.R.6756, the Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022, indicating support for providing military aid to Ukraine."
Vote: on "Voted against H.R.8035, the Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024, which provided $"
Wagner co-sponsored legislation to provide military aid to Ukraine in 2022, then voted against a standalone aid package in 2024, reversing her position amid shifting party pressures.
Last silence detection: Never
No active silences
No donor interests mapped
No constituency baseline modelled
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Silence Risk25%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk25%Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume10%Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence10%Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation5%Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment5%Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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