[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Bonnie Watson Coleman

Democratic · Representative, NJ ·12

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

53 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 66.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 48.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 778,950

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $113,235

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New Jersey Ballot Question — Bail Reform Constitutional Amendment (2022) — passed, margin 62% yes to 38% no

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New Jersey Ballot Question — Constitutional Amendment to Dedicate Funds for Open Space Preservation (2022) — passed, margin 64.6% yes to 35.4% no

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New Jersey Public Question 1 — Legalize Recreational Marijuana (Constitutional Amendment) (2020) — passed, margin 67% yes to 33% no

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.17)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Bristol-Myers Squibb (Princeton area campus) (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Princeton University (6500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Johnson & Johnson (New Brunswick, just outside district boundary, but major employer for district residents) (15000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: New Jersey's 12th Congressional District covers portions of Mercer, Somerset, Union, and Middlesex counties in central New Jersey. It includes Princeton, Trenton, Plainfield, Ewing, South Brunswick, and Franklin Township. The district is 97.6% urban and known for its concentration of research and educational institut

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Voted nay on H.R. 1 / One Big Beautiful Bill Act (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) on 2025-07-03: Opposed Trump's signature tax and spending bill. Called it the 'Big Ugly Bill' and stated: 'I am appalled at the cruelty on display'—noting it would strip health insurance from approximately 320,000 New Jersey residents and 'threatens healthcare for seniors and child

primary · 2025-07-03

Voted nay on H.R. 21 (Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act) on 2025-01-23: Opposed legislation establishing criminal penalties for healthcare practitioners after failed abortions. Henry Cuellar of Texas was the only Democrat to vote for the bill (passed 217-211). Consistent with her 100% NARAL/Planned Parenthood record.

primary · 2025-01-23

Voted nay on H.R. 22 (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act) on 2025-04-10: Voted against legislation requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote. Called it 'a voter suppression bill that will cause an untold number of eligible voters to be purged from voter rolls'—consistent with her House Appropriations Committee advocacy for v

primary · 2025-04-10

Voted nay on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07: One of 159 House Democrats to oppose mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants accused of theft offenses. All New Jersey Democrats voted against the bill except Rep. Conaway.

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted nay on H.R. 8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: The only New Jersey House member to vote against the $26 billion Israel military aid package, citing the 'seemingly indiscriminate bombing' that has killed 'over 34,000 innocent civilians, including 13,000 children.' Voted for the three other foreign aid bills the s

primary · 2024-04-20

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act	nay	2025-07-03	deviating
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act	nay	2025-04-10	deviating
Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act	nay	2025-01-23	deviating
Laken Riley Act	nay	2025-01-07	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
Resolution Condemning Support for Hamas and Antisemitism on College Campuses	nay	2023-11-02	deviating
Respect for Marriage Act	yea	2022-12-08	deviating
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act	yea	2021-11-05	deviating
American Rescue Plan Act of 2021	yea	2021-02-27	deviating
STOP School Violence Act of 2018	nay	2018-03-14	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Watson Coleman voted in favor of three foreign aid bills on April 20, 2024: Ukraine aid (H.R. 8035), Indo-Pacific aid (H.R. 8036), and Iran/Russia san"

Vote: on "Watson Coleman voted nay on the Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (H.R. 8034) on the s"

Watson Coleman had consistently supported Israeli defensive funding throughout her career but voted against the April 2024 Israel aid bill after growing increasingly critical of Netanyahu's war conduct, culminating in her boycotting Netanyahu's addre

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Watson Coleman voted yea on H.R. 748, the CARES Act, a $2 trillion coronavirus relief package that included a $40 million provision to fund abstinence"

Vote: on "Watson Coleman is a steadfast advocate for comprehensive sex education and reproductive rights. On h"

Watson Coleman is a strong advocate for comprehensive sex education who has opposed abstinence-only funding, yet she voted for the CARES Act which included a $40 million abstinence-only education rider—a provision her Democratic primary challenger ca

platform_vs_vote 30/100

Platform: "Watson Coleman stated on the House floor in 2018: 'Addressing school violence is a top priority for me.'"

Vote: on "Watson Coleman voted nay on the STOP School Violence Act of 2018 (H.R. 4909), which passed 407-10. S"

Watson Coleman declared school safety a 'top priority' but voted against the broadly supported STOP School Violence Act, which passed 407-10. She contended the bill lacked critical protections such as sufficient addressing of gun safety, making this

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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