[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Ryan K. Zinke

Republican · Representative, MT ·1

Score Components

30 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+8 (shifted R+5 since last redistricting)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: average commute time: 19.3 minutes (vs. 26.4 nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 0.6% (vs. 5% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 3.4% (vs. 3.5% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,174 (vs. $1,163 nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $466,200 (vs. $303,400 nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 86.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 40.3 (largest cohort 20-29 at 14.3%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 38.8% (vs. 33.7% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 67.8% (vs. 65.5% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 6% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $73,598 (vs. $37,585 national median)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 564,861 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Montana CI-128 — Right to Abortion Constitutional Amendment (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 57% Yes — 43% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Stillwater Mining / Sibanye-Stillwater (platinum and palladium) (2000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Glacier National Park / Yellowstone National Park / U.S. Forest Service (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Benefis Health System / Providence St. Patrick Hospital / Logan Health (7000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Iran War Powers Resolution — March 5, 2026	nay_unverified	2026-03-05	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House passage, May 22, 2025; Senate amendme	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 7, 2025)	yea	2025-01-07	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26 billion military aid)	nay	2024-04-20	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion military aid	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
CHIPS and Science Act of 2022	nay_unverified	2022-07-28	deviating
Objection to Electoral College Certification — January 6-7, 2021	nay_unverified	2021-01-06	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Zinke campaigned as a fiscal conservative and 'America First' Republican, and as Interior Secretary he frequently warned about fiscal responsibility. "

Vote: on "Zinke voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) on both May 22 and July 3, 2025. The CBO projected the bill wo"

Zinke campaigned as a fiscal conservative and touted his success in removing public lands sales from the OBBBA, yet voted for a bill the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the deficit — while making no mention of the deficit impact in his press

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Zinke was a career Navy SEAL who took an oath to the Constitution and served his country for 23 years. After leaving Congress, he returned to win MT-0"

Vote: on "The Department of Interior Inspector General found that Zinke, as Secretary, knowingly misled federa"

Zinke's career as a decorated Navy SEAL and his pledge to serve with integrity are directly undercut by the Interior Department Inspector General's findings that he 'misused his office to advance a commercial development project,' 'knowingly made fal

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Zinke claims to represent all Montanans and has an official website page for requesting meetings. He held a 'statewide tele-townhall' in May 2025 and "

Vote: on "By summer 2025, Zinke was refusing to hold in-person town halls. The Billings Gazette published a co"

Zinke's official website invites constituents to request meetings and he claims to be accessible, yet by summer 2025 he was refusing to hold in-person town halls, joining the entire Montana GOP delegation in avoiding public constituent forums under o

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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