[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Carlos A. Gimenez

Republican · Representative, FL ·28

Score Components

33 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 64.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic or Latino: 72.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 775,848

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $79,094

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 2 — Right to Fish and Hunt (2024) — passed, margin 67.3% yes to 32.7% no

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 3 — Legalize Recreational Marijuana (60% threshold) (2024) — failed, margin 55.9% yes to 44.1% no (failed to reach 60% supermajority)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 4 — Right to Abortion (60% threshold) (2024) — failed, margin 57.2% yes to 42.8% no (failed to reach 60% supermajority)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.17)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baptist Health South Florida (24000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Miami International Airport (37000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Miami-Dade County Public Schools (40000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Florida's 28th Congressional District encompasses all of Monroe County (the Florida Keys) and southern Miami-Dade County, including Homestead, Kendall, Cutler Bay, and parts of southern Miami. It was created in 2020 redistricting as the successor to the 26th District. The district has a population of approximately 77

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act)) on 2025-04-10: Supported requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote. PoliScore flagged that he 'supported a bill that would make it easier to keep eligible citizens from voting if they cannot easily produce certain documents' — a measure that could disproportionate

primary · 2025-04-10

Voted yea on H.R. 21 (Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act) on 2025-01-23: Voted for legislation imposing criminal penalties on healthcare practitioners. PoliScore noted Gimenez 'opposed broad student-debt relief and new abortion funding.' His district voted 58% in favor of Florida's Amendment 4 abortion rights measure in 2024, which fell short of th

primary · 2025-01-23

Voted yea on H.R. 1 (119th) (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) on 2025-07-03: Supported Trump's signature reconciliation bill (218-214) that CBO projected would add over $2 trillion to deficits. Declared on Fox Business that 'failure is not an option' and touted eliminating taxes on Social Security, overtime, and tips. His district has 10.6% poverty and heavy reli

primary · 2025-07-03

Voted yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07: Voted for legislation mandating ICE detention for undocumented immigrants accused of theft offenses. Bill passed 264-159 with 48 Democratic votes. Gimenez celebrated the bill's passage as part of his 'Libertad Por El Pueblo Venezolano' agenda.

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted yea on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Voted for $60.8 billion in Ukraine aid with an A-grade from Republicans for Ukraine. Stated: 'For us to abandon Ukraine right now sends a really bad message around the world that America is not a security partner that you can trust.' Voted for every major Ukraine a

primary · 2024-04-20

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act	yea	2025-07-03	aligned
SAVE Act (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act)	yea	2025-04-10	misaligned
Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act	yea	2025-01-23	misaligned
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-07	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Respect for Marriage Act (Final Passage)	nay	2022-12-08	misaligned
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act	nay	2021-11-05	misaligned
National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Cap	yea	2021-05-19	deviating
American Rescue Plan Act of 2021	nay	2021-02-27	misaligned
Objections to Electoral College Certification (Arizona and Pennsylvania)	yea	2021-01-07	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Gimenez voted against H.R. 3684, the INVEST Act, calling it the 'My Way or the Highway' bill because it was 'loaded up with poison pills, including va"

Vote: on "In the same statement opposing the INVEST Act, Gimenez highlighted that he 'fought hard' to have fun"

Gimenez voted against the INVEST Act as a partisan 'Green New Deal' bill, yet in the same statement admitted he 'fought hard' to secure funding from the bill for the Card Sound Bridge in his district — an archetypal case of voting no while seeking cr

reversal 90/100

Platform: "As Miami-Dade mayor and a freshman congressman, Gimenez was a rare Republican who acknowledged climate change, warning about sea-level rise and asking"

Vote: on "At a June 2021 House hearing, Gimenez sharply questioned FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell about he"

Gimenez was one of the few Republicans to acknowledge climate change as mayor, but as congressman he questioned whether climate change was making hurricanes worse — demanding data from FEMA to disprove the connection — while representing a district t

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Gimenez voted YEA on H.R. 8404, the Respect for Marriage Act, on July 19, 2022 — one of 47 House Republicans to support codifying federal recognition "

Vote: on "Less than five months later, on December 8, 2022, Gimenez flipped his vote to NAY on final passage o"

Gimenez voted for the Respect for Marriage Act in July 2022 — drawing praise as one of 47 Republicans — then flipped to vote against final passage just five months later, one of only three South Florida Republicans to reverse. He offered no public ex

reversal 90/100

Platform: "In May 2025, Gimenez asked Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem for 'nuance' on deportations, saying 'instead of having wholesale deportations, it "

Vote: on "After the Supreme Court ruled in May 2025 that the Trump administration could revoke TPS for Venezue"

Gimenez publicly called for 'nuance' on deportations in May 2025, telling Secretary Noem his constituents needed case-by-case treatment, then just weeks later endorsed the Supreme Court ruling allowing mass TPS revocation — before ultimately voting i

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls and direct constituent engagement

74d silent

Expected position: As a three-term congressman representing a competitive, majority-Hispanic district encompassing Miami-Dade and the Florida Keys, Gimenez would be expected to hold regular in-person

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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