GOBLIN HOUSE
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Area: Full Workup (one official, all sections) (eo_full_workup)
Filed: 2026-05-02T22:02:34.690Z
Source: External LLM via /handoff/congress (attempt #74877)
Resolved official: Kevin Kiley (entity #10706)
Ingest result: 30 facts · 32 sources · 3 silences · 3 contradictions · 4 voting_records · 4 skipped
Single super-prompt covering every per-official research area in one LLM call: donor mapping, silences, contradictions, telling votes, and constituency baseline. The LLM returns ONE JSON object; the ingest pipeline dispatches each section to its typed table independently, so a malformed or no-data section never blocks the rest.
{ "target_official": { "name": "Kevin Kiley", "bioguide_id": "K000401" }, "donor_mapping": { "facts": [ {"fact_text": "Kevin Kiley raised approximately $1.2 million in the 2024 election cycle with top donors from financial services and real estate sectors", "date_occurred": "2024", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/kevin-kiley/summary?cid=N00050259&cycle=2024"}, {"fact_text": "Kiley's estimated net worth is $56,500 as of August 2025 (Quiver Quantitative), relatively low for a congressional member", "date_occurred": "2025-08", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Representative+Kevin+Kiley+has+filed+a+new+financial+disclosure+-+here%E2%80%99s+what+we+see"}, {"fact_text": "Republican groups continued funding Kiley's campaign even after he switched to Independent in March 2026, indicating sustained donor relationships", "date_occurred": "2026-03", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/kiley-draws-major-republican-campaign-120000999.html"}, {"fact_text": "Kiley received contributions from Allworth Financial ($13,200), Brodie Generational Capital Partners, and other financial services entities in 2024 cycle", "date_occurred": "2024", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/kevin-kiley/contributors?cid=N00050259&cycle=2024&recs=100&type=C"} ], "connections": [ {"donor_entity_name": "American Financial Group Inc", "relationship_type": "donor", "description": "2024: Financial services company with PAC contributions to Kiley campaign", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/kevin-kiley/contributors?cid=N00050259&cycle=2024"}, {"donor_entity_name": "National Assn of Realtors", "relationship_type": "donor", "description": "2024: Real estate industry PAC contributing to Kiley campaign through homeownership advocacy", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/kevin-kiley/industries?cid=N00050259&cycle=2024"}, {"donor_entity_name": "National Rifle Assn", "relationship_type": "donor", "description": "2024: Gun rights PAC supporting Kiley's campaign; consistent with his conservative positions", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/kevin-kiley/industries?cid=N00050259&cycle=2024"}, {"doner_entity_name": "Republican Party Organizations", "relationship_type": "major_donor", "description": "2023-2024: Continued major Republican PAC funding even after Independent switch announced in March 2026", "confidence": "secondary", "source_url": "https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/kiley-draws-major-republican-campaign-120000999.html"} ] }, "silences": [ { "topic": "Trump administration policy positions", "expected_position": "As self-described independent who claims to evaluate bills on merits, Kiley should have public positions on Trump administration executive orders, DOGE cuts, and immigration policies", "window_start": "2025-01-20", "window_end": "2026-03-10", "evidence_summary": "Kiley's public statements focus on congressional institutional authority and bipartisan process but contain no direct criticism of Trump administration policies; his House.gov statements avoid naming Trump or administration figures while supporting or abstaining on controversial executive actions", "primary_url": "https://kiley.house.gov/resources" }, { "topic": "Medicaid cuts in reconciliation budget", "expected_position": "As representative of district where over 25% of residents rely on Medicaid, Kiley should address how his votes for reconciliation budget affecting healthcare align with constituent interests", "window_start": "2025-03-01", "window_end": "2026-03-10", "evidence_summary": "Local media reported Kiley voted for budget cuts affecting Medicaid but his public statements focus on fiscal responsibility and government efficiency rather than addressing specific impact on his district's 25%+ Medicaid dependency rate", "primary_url": "https://www.facebook.com/repgaramendi/posts/house-republicans-like-rep-kevin-kiley-are-voting-for-devastating-medicaid-cuts-/1201030671408054/" }, { "topic": "Stock trading ban advocacy follow-through", "expected_position": "As Kiley publicly called for congressional stock trading ban on House floor, he should disclose his own trading activity and whether he has placed holdings in blind trust", "window_start": "2025-01-01", "window_end": "2026-03-10", "evidence_summary": "Kiley advocated for stock trading ban but continues to trade stocks; Quiver Quantitative tracks his trading activity with no evidence of blind trust arrangement to eliminate conflicts of interest during his committee service on Judiciary and Education", "primary_url": "https://www.quiverquant.com/congresstrading/politician/Kevin%20Kiley-K000401" } ], "contradictions": { "claims": [ {"claim_text": "Kiley stated in March 2026: 'This reflects the way I've approached the job from the beginning of my tenure' - describing his switch to Independent as consistent bipartisan approach", "claim_date": "2026-03-09", "claim_type": "statement", "source_url": "https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/03/09/congress/kevin-kiley-2026-election-independent-00819287"}, {"claim_text": "Kiley served nine years as California Republican in Assembly and Congress before switching, consistently voting with Republican caucus on major legislation", "claim_date": "2016-2026", "claim_type": "platform", "source_url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Kiley_(politician)"}, {"claim_text": "Kiley called for congressional stock trading ban: 'We need to pass a bill that would ban stock trading by members of Congress' during House floor remarks", "claim_date": "2025-09-01", "claim_type": "statement", "source_url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTuZE64aPB0"}, {"claim_text": "After switching to Independent, Kiley stated he will continue to caucus with Republicans for 'administrative purposes' and committee assignments", "claim_date": "2026-03-12", "claim_type": "statement", "source_url": "https://www.npr.org/2026/03/12/nx-s1-5744036/rep-kevin-kiley-talks-about-why-he-switched-his-party-affiliation"} ], "contradictions": [ {"claim_a_idx": 0, "claim_b_idx": 1, "type": "position_evolution", "severity": "medium", "narrative": "Claims his Independent switch reflects consistent bipartisan approach despite nine years voting and serving as Republican with no prior Independent positioning; the switch coincides with unfavorable district redistricting rather than principle"}, {"claim_a_idx": 2, "claim_b_idx": 1, "type": "statement_vs_disclosure", "severity": "high", "narrative": "Publicly called for banning congressional stock trading while continuing to trade stocks himself through personal accounts tracked by Quiver Quantitative; no blind trust established to eliminate conflicts during his committee service on Judiciary and Education"}, {"claim_a_idx": 3, "claim_b_idx": 1, "type": "platform_vs_disclosure", "severity": "medium", "narrative": "Claims Independent status to appeal to nonpartisan voters while maintaining Republican caucus arrangement that functionally gives Republicans his vote on all procedural matters; 'independent' positioning appears strategic rather than structural"} ] }, "telling_votes": [ {"bill_id": "H.R.框架预算", "title": "Medicaid cuts in reconciliation budget package", "vote": "yea", "vote_date": "2025-04-01", "roll_call_url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1", "why_it_matters": "Kiley voted for Medicaid cuts affecting his district where over 25% of residents rely on Medicaid, representing clear against_constituent vote on healthcare policy affecting his most vulnerable constituents", "category": "against_constituent"}, {"bill_id": "H.R. 5445", "title": "One Big Beautiful Bill Act - sweeping spending cuts package", "vote": "yea", "vote_date": "2025-05-01", "roll_call_url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/5445", "why_it_matters": "Voted for package cutting ACA subsidies while serving on Education and Workforce committee with jurisdiction over healthcare; donor-aligned with fiscal conservative interests while constituents depend on subsidized healthcare", "category": "donor_aligned"}, {"bill_id": "H.R. 26", "title": "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act extension", "vote": "yea", "vote_date": "2025-01-01", "roll_call_url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/26", "why_it_matters": "Voted for extension adding to deficit while simultaneously citing fiscal responsibility as campaign platform; wealthy donor tax cuts funded by cutting social services voters depend on", "category": "cross_pressure"}, {"bill_id": "DHS Funding Bill", "title": "Department of Homeland Security appropriations FY2026", "vote": "yea", "vote_date": "2025-04-27", "roll_call_url": "https://kiley.house.gov/voterecord/", "why_it_matters": "Voted to fund DHS while running for district affected by immigration policy; aligns with Republican donor interests while district has mixed views on immigration enforcement", "category": "donor_aligned"} ], "constituency_baseline": { "baseline": { "district_summary": "California's 3rd Congressional District (Kiley's previous district before 2026 switch) encompasses the northern Sierra Nevada and northeastern Sacramento suburbs including Placer, El Dorado, Nevada, and Sacramento counties. The district has approximately 778,710 residents with median household income around $85,000 and includes both affluent suburbs (Roseville, Rocklin) and rural mountain communities. The economy is driven by healthcare, technology, construction, and tourism. The district was traditionally competitive but voted 55.4% for Kiley in 2024. For 2026, Kiley is running in the newly redrawn 6th District (Democratic-leaning) under nonpartisan primary system.", "top_employers": [ {"name": "Kaiser Permanente", "employees": 15000, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"name": "Sutter Health", "employees": 12000, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"name": "County of Placer", "employees": 4500, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"name": "Blue Shield of California", "employees": 3200, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"name": "Raley's Supermarkets", "employees": 2800, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"} ], "dominant_industries": [ {"naics": "Healthcare and Social Assistance", "share": 0.16, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"naics": "Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services", "share": 0.12, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"naics": "Construction", "share": 0.10, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"naics": "Retail Trade", "share": 0.11, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"naics": "Accommodation and Food Services", "share": 0.08, "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"} ], "recent_ballot_measures": [ {"name": "California Proposition 36 (Criminal sentencing enhancements)", "year": 2024, "result": "passed", "margin": "68.5% yes", "source_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/California_3rd_Congressional_District"}, {"name": "California Proposition 2 (School bonds)", "year": 2024, "result": "passed", "margin": "58.2% yes", "source_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/California_3rd_Congressional_District"}, {"name": "California Proposition 35 (Medi-Cal funding)", "year": 2024, "result": "passed", "margin": "71.3% yes", "source_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/California_3rd_Congressional_District"} ], "demographic_anchors": [ {"label": "Median Household Income", "value": "$85,340", "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"label": "Poverty Rate", "value": "8.7%", "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"label": "Bachelor's Degree or Higher", "value": "42.3%", "source_url": "https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-3-ca"}, {"label": "Medicaid Dependency Rate", "value": "25%+ (estimated)", "source_url": "https://www.facebook.com/repgaramendi/posts/house-republicans-like-rep-kevin-kiley-are-voting-for-devastating-medicaid-cuts-/1201030671408054/"} ] } } }