[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → Ron Estes

Ron Estes

Republican · Representative, KS ·4

Ron Estes is the Republican U.S. Representative (KS's 4th congressional district). The platform has 6 voting records on file (2021-2026) and 44 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components
50 MODERATE
Connection Density 20%
78 → 16
Donor Influence 15%
83 → 12
Silence Risk 25%
69 → 17
Contradiction Risk 25%
0 → 0
Intelligence Volume 15%
49 → 7
Constituency Deviation 0%
16 → 0
Voting Misalignment 0%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+30 (shifted R+3 since last redistricting)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 0.5%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 4.7% (vs. 3.5% nationally)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $968 (vs. $1,163 nationally)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $187,900
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 14.2%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 73.9%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 37.2 (largest cohort 10-19 at 14.6%)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 30.9% (9.6% lack high school diploma)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 66.2% (vs. 65.5% nationally)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 9.1% (vs. 12.4% nationally)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $69,200 (vs. $37,585 national median)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 738,195 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Kansas Constitutional Amendment — No State Constitutional Right to Abortion (August 2022) (2022) — failed, margin 59% No — 41% Yes
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 3364 (share 0.2)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wesley Medical Center / Ascension Via Christi (Wichita hospitals) (6000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Koch Industries (Wichita — corporate headquarters) (3500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Textron Aviation (Cessna / Beechcraft, Wichita) (9500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
AIPAC / United Democracy Project donor AIPAC contributed $14,761 to Ron Estes through 19 payments in the 2024 election cycle.
Derek Schmidt vote_alignment Estes voted yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) alongside fellow Kansas Republicans Tracey Mann and Derek Schmidt on January 7, 2025.
UBS donor UBS Americas was a top PAC payor to Ron Estes at $10,000+ in the 2024 cycle.
Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) indirect_connection Estes replaced Rep. Mike Pompeo who became CIA Director in 2017. The connection is via the predecessor relationship.
Mike Pompeo predecessor Ron Estes won the 2017 special election to replace Mike Pompeo, who resigned to become CIA Director.
Donald Trump ideological_alignment Estes voted to sustain objections to Electoral College certification on January 6-7, 2021, and has a 100% party-line voting record. He voted against Ukraine…
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) vote_cast Estes voted yea on House final passage of H.R. 1 (OBBBA) on July 3, 2025, which the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to deficits and cut approximately $1…
Sharice Davids vote_divergence On H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act), Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids voted yea alongside Estes. On the Iran War Powers Resolution (March 5, 2026), Davids voted yea…
Tracey Mann colleague Estes is listed as a fellow Kansas House member and known entity; Mann voted alongside him on several measures.
Boeing constituency_connection Spirit AeroSystems (11,000 employees) and Textron Aviation (9,500 employees) in Estes' district are major aerospace manufacturers. Estes is co-chair of the…
STOCK Act violation_alleged Estes violated the STOCK Act by reporting personal stock transactions up to four months late, including three April purchases of up to $45,000 in U.S…
Stand Tall For Kansas PAC donor $7,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00885731/
America'S Mountain PAC donor $8,500 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00883413/
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/
Transdigm Group Inc. Employee Political Action Committee donor $5,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00714329/
Buckeye Liberty PAC donor $10,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00693796/
Help Elect Republicans Now donor $10,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00692715/
The Carlyle Group Inc. PAC (Aka 'Carlyle PAC') donor $5,500 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00689091/
Garmin International Inc Political Action Committee donor $10,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00660894/
Performance Contacting Group Employee Owners PAC donor $5,000 to Ron Estes's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00659060/
BillVoteDateAlignment
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Water Resources Development Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
PROOF Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Retire through Ownership Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
GUARD Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act Not Voting 2026-09-14 unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act Not Voting 2026-09-14 unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act Yea 2026-09-03 unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require… Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
AGOA Extension Act Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act Yea 2026-08-31 unknown
Last contradiction analysis: Never
No contradictions detected
Last silence detection: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:46:20 GMT (via scheduled run)
ideological & single-issue
Stanley Black & Decker Inc. Political Action Committee, Black & Veatch Political Action Committee (Black & Veatch Pa (amounts: $7,500 (2024), $6,000 (2026)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue
other / unclassified
American Bakers Association American Bakers PAC, Federation Of Exchange Accomodators 1031 PAC, National Organization Of Social Security Claimants' Represen, Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC (amounts: $6,000 (2026)…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
American Bakers Association American Bakers PAC, Federation Of Exchange Accomodators 1031 PAC, National Organization Of Social Security Claimants' Represen, Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC (amounts: $6,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified
law & lobbying firms
Honeywell International PAC, American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC (amounts: $8,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: law & lobbying firms
other candidates' committees
Huck PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees
corporate pacs, industry unlisted
Itc Holdings Corp. PAC (Itc PAC), Calportland Company Political Action Committee (Cpcc-PAC), Protective Life Corp P. A. C., Seaboard Corporation Political Action Committee, Cnh Industrial Excellence In Government Fund, The Schwan Company PAC, Spirit…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Itc Holdings Corp. PAC (Itc PAC), Calportland Company Political Action Committee (Cpcc-PAC), Protective Life Corp P. A. C., Seaboard Corporation Political Action Committee, Cnh Industrial Excellence In Government Fund, The Schwan Company PAC, Spirit Aerosystems Inc PAC, Mmc Corp PAC, Air Methods Corporation PAC (Ampac), Sazerac Company, Inc. PAC (Sazeracpac), Performance Contacting Group Employee Owners PAC, Garmin International Inc Political Action Committee (amounts: $6,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $6,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted
colleagues' leadership pacs
House Conservatives Fund, Creating A Majority Party Action Committee (C.A.M.P.A.C.), Gridiron-PAC, Free State PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Patriots In Action, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC)…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
House Conservatives Fund, Creating A Majority Party Action Committee (C.A.M.P.A.C.), Gridiron-PAC, Free State PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Patriots In Action, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Restoring Our Nation, Help Elect Republicans Now, Buckeye Liberty PAC, America'S Mountain PAC, Stand Tall For Kansas PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $7,500 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $8,500 (2026), $7,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs
Wine And Spirits Wholesalers Of America, Inc. PAC Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2024)
Altria Group, Inc PAC Alcohol & tobacco $7,000 (2024)
Stand Tall For Kansas PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $7,000 (2026)
America'S Mountain PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $8,500 (2026)
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)
Buckeye Liberty PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)
Help Elect Republicans Now Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)
The Carlyle Group Inc. PAC (Aka 'Carlyle PAC') Finance & banking $5,500 (2024)
Garmin International Inc Political Action Committee Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $10,000 (2026)
Performance Contacting Group Employee Owners PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2024)
Lockton Inc Polictical Action Committee Insurance $10,000 (2026)
Restoring Our Nation Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $10,000 (2026)
TopicPriorityAlignmentDeviation
Healthcare Access and Costs 80 45 35
Social Security and Retirement Security 68 55 25
Trade Policy and Agricultural Exports 70 65 20
Education and Workforce Development 76 70 20
Inflation, Cost of Living, and Taxes 87 82 18
Agricultural Policy and Farm Bill 92 85 15
Energy Policy (Oil, Gas, and Renewables) 75 78 12
Crime and Public Safety 65 82 12
Transportation and Infrastructure 62 75 10
Immigration and Border Security 88 90 10
Veterans Affairs and Military 74 85 10
Disaster Relief and Emergency Management 72 80 8
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Contradiction Risk30%Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence20%Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk15%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume15%Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation0%Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment0%Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]
Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 3 elected officials hold documented connections.
$10.8BDonor Contributions
0Money Chains
0Traced Hops
Connected Officials
Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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