[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Ron Estes

Republican · Representative, KS ·4

Score Components

5 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

0 → 0

Intelligence Volume 10%

53 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+30 (shifted R+3 since last redistricting)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 0.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 4.7% (vs. 3.5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $968 (vs. $1,163 nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $187,900

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 14.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 73.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 37.2 (largest cohort 10-19 at 14.6%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 30.9% (9.6% lack high school diploma)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 66.2% (vs. 65.5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 9.1% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $69,200 (vs. $37,585 national median)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 738,195 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Kansas Constitutional Amendment — No State Constitutional Right to Abortion (August 2022) (2022) — failed, margin 59% No — 41% Yes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 3364 (share 0.2)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wesley Medical Center / Ascension Via Christi (Wichita hospitals) (6000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Koch Industries (Wichita — corporate headquarters) (3500 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Textron Aviation (Cessna / Beechcraft, Wichita) (9500 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Iran War Powers Resolution — March 5, 2026	nay	2026-03-05	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage, July 3, 2025	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 7, 2025)	yea	2025-01-07	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion military aid	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26 billion military aid)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Objection to Electoral College Certification — January 6-7, 2021	yea	2021-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

No contradictions detected

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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