GOBLIN HOUSE
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| Bill | Vote | Date | Alignment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanders Resolution to Block Israel Arms Sales (April 2026) | yea | 2026-04-15 | misaligned |
| Government Funding Continuing Resolution — November 2025 Shutdown Deal | yea | 2025-11-10 | deviating |
| One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — Senate passage | nay | 2025-07-01 | aligned |
| Multiple Trump Cabinet Confirmations (2025) | yea | 2025-03-10 | deviating |
| Confirmation of RFK Jr. as Secretary of HHS | nay | 2025-02-13 | aligned |
| Confirmation of Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense | nay | 2025-01-24 | deviating |
| Laken Riley Act | yea | 2025-01-20 | deviating |
| Sanders Joint Resolutions of Disapproval on Arms Sales to Israel (November 2024) | nay | 2024-11-20 | aligned |
The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:
| Component | Weight | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Silence Risk | 25% | Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent |
| Contradiction Risk | 25% | Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted) |
| Connection Density | 20% | Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups |
| Intelligence Volume | 10% | Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale) |
| Donor Influence | 10% | Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction |
| Constituency Deviation | 5% | Gap between district priorities and legislative focus |
| Voting Misalignment | 5% | Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions |
Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.
Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.
Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.
Full methodology: /congress/methodology