[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Ryan Mackenzie

Republican · Representative, PA ·7

Score Components

36 HIGH

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

58 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

Mackenzie's public advocacy for fully funding DHS in 2026 occurred after he voted against a September 2023 continuing resolution that would have prevented a government shutdown.

secondary · 2023-2026

The House vote on H.R. 7147 (DHS Appropriations Act, 2026) occurred on January 22, 2026, not March 27, 2026.

primary · 2026-01-22

Mackenzie stated on Fox News that Lehigh County officials were 'wrong' to try to remove ICE from office space and called the move 'an attack on law enforcement.'

primary · 2025-12

Ryan Mackenzie introduced a House resolution thanking Department of Homeland Security staff and calling for full funding of the department, which passed the House.

secondary · 2026-01

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Average commute time: 26.6 minutes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Drives alone to work: 74%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 41.2

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 5.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid-dependent children in Allentown: 85% of Allentown children rely on Medicaid, SNAP, or both (31,000 children)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English language at home: 19.7% of households (Spanish: 101,287; Arabic: 6,340; Chinese: 3,884)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 11% (84.9k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 95.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 20.8% (161k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 69.8% (521k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 775,601 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,358

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $292,600

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 32.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 69.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 7.1% (ACS 5-Year); 10.5% (Data USA 2024)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 — On Passage and DHS Fu	yea	2026-03-27	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment and Fin	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	yea	2025-04-10	mixed
House Budget Resolution FY2025 — Initiating Reconciliation for OBBB	yea	2025-02-25	misaligned
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-07	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion)	nay	2024-04-20	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Mackenzie signed a letter to the House Ways and Means Committee Chairman urging protection of clean energy tax credits enacted under the Inflation Red"

Vote: on "On July 3, 2025, Mackenzie voted Yea on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which eliminated the same cl"

Mackenzie publicly signed a letter supporting clean energy tax credits and praising them for lowering utility costs and boosting domestic manufacturing. He then voted for the OBBB, which eliminated those same credits. El Diario NY noted he is 'one of

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Mackenzie disputed the idea that he voted for Medicaid cuts, telling constituents at his telephone town hall that he voted for a 'continuing resolutio"

Vote: on "On February 25, 2025, Mackenzie voted Yea on the House budget resolution (H.Con.Res.14) that directe"

Mackenzie told constituents he had not voted for Medicaid cuts — characterizing his vote as a mere 'framework.' The nonpartisan CBO confirmed the budget resolution directed $880 billion in cuts from programs where Medicaid and Medicare represent 97%

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "On March 18, 2026, Mackenzie voted Yea on H.J.Res. 139, a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. The NRCC celebrated: 'Ryan Mackenzie jus"

Vote: on "The CBO projected the OBBB — which Mackenzie voted Yea on twice — would add approximately $3-4 trill"

Mackenzie voted for a Balanced Budget Amendment to constitutionally require balanced federal budgets, while simultaneously having voted for the OBBB, which the CBO projected would add $3-4 trillion to the deficit. Voting for a constitutional balanced

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Mackenzie voted Nay on H.R. 5860 (September 30, 2023), a continuing resolution to keep the government funded and avoid a shutdown. He was among 91 Rep"

Vote: on "On November 12, 2025, Mackenzie voted Yea on H.R. 5371 to end the longest government shutdown in U.S"

As a state representative, Mackenzie voted to shut down the government in September 2023. As a congressman representing a competitive district in November 2025, he voted to end the longest shutdown in U.S. history and subsequently touted the federal

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "As a Pennsylvania state representative in 2013, Mackenzie referred to the Affordable Care Act as an 'infringement upon our rights' and bragged about o"

Vote: on "In December 2025, Mackenzie was one of only four House Republicans to sign a discharge petition to e"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Mackenzie spent a decade calling the ACA an 'infringement upon our rights' and bragging about opposing Medicaid expansion as a state representative. After voting for the OBBB which cut Med

Last silence detection: Never

Refusal to hold in-person town halls — scheduling a competing telephone town hall while 500 constituents attended a People's Town Hall demanding his presence

150d silent

Expected position: As the representative of a competitive R+1 district with a 10.5% poverty rate and heavy reliance on Medicaid (85% of Allentown children rely on Medicaid or SNAP), Mackenzie would be

Stripping of previously-approved Community Project Funding for public safety in the Lehigh Valley — failing to notify local grant recipients

118d silent

Expected position: As the representative who succeeded Democrat Susan Wild after campaigning on delivering for the Lehigh Valley, Mackenzie would be expected to notify local officials when previously

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

View Full Entity Profile →