[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → John J. McGuire

John J. McGuire

Republican · Representative, VA ·5

John J. McGuire is the Republican U.S. Representative (VA's 5th congressional district). The platform has 2 voting records on file (2025) and 54 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components
32 LOW
Connection Density 20%
29 → 6
Donor Influence 15%
25 → 4
Silence Risk 25%
69 → 17
Contradiction Risk 25%
0 → 0
Intelligence Volume 15%
71 → 11
Constituency Deviation 0%
40 → 0
Voting Misalignment 0%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 70.0%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 34.3%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid enrollment: 15.7% of district population
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 12.9%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $72,558 (2024)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Question 1: Virginia Redistricting Commission Amendment (2020) — passed, margin 65.7% Yes – 34.3% No
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.068)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.082)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.111)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.131)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.151)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Framatome Inc. (2000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: BWX Technologies (7000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Centra Health (7800 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Liberty University (13000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Virginia (16000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] District summary: Virginia's 5th Congressional District stretches from the northern suburbs of Richmond through rural Southside Virginia to the North Carolina border, covering more than two dozen counties and cities including Lynchburg, Danville, and Charlottesville. It is Virginia's largest district by area and is rated R+15 (stable Republican). The population of approximately 798,600 is…
[ Show full fact ]
[constituency_baseline] District summary: Virginia's 5th Congressional District stretches from the northern suburbs of Richmond through rural Southside Virginia to the North Carolina border, covering more than two dozen counties and cities including Lynchburg, Danville, and Charlottesville. It is Virginia's largest district by area and is rated R+15 (stable Republican). The population of approximately 798,600 is 69.8% White, 19.9% Black, and 4.6% Hispanic. The economy blends higher education (University of Virginia, Liberty University), healthcare, nuclear/defense manufacturing (BWX Technologies, Framatome), insurance (Genworth, Pacific Life), and agriculture. The district has a median household income of $72,558, a 12.9% poverty rate, 70% homeownership, and 15.7% of residents rely on Medicaid. Charlottesville and Albemarle County form a Democratic-leaning northern anchor in an otherwise deep-red district.
secondary ✓ Verified
Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 22 (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act) on 2025-04-10: McGuire voted to require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration. VA-05 is 19.9% Black and 4.6% Hispanic; civil-rights groups argued the documentation requirements would disproportionately disenfranchise minority, elderly, and low-income voters. The bill passed 220–208 on a near-party-line vote. The…
[ Show full fact ]
Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 22 (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act) on 2025-04-10: McGuire voted to require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration. VA-05 is 19.9% Black and 4.6% Hispanic; civil-rights groups argued the documentation requirements would disproportionately disenfranchise minority, elderly, and low-income voters. The bill passed 220–208 on a near-party-line vote. The tension: constituent access to the ballot versus a core Republican campaign pledge McGuire ran on.
inferential · 2025-04-10 ✓ Verified
Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Budget Reconciliation – Concurrence in Senate Amendment)) on 2025-07-03: McGuire voted with 218 Republicans on this near-party-line vote (218–214) to enact sweeping budget reconciliation that included deep cuts to Medicaid and SNAP alongside major tax cuts. VA-05 has a 12.9% poverty rate and 15.7% of constituents rely on Medicaid; cuts to safety-net programs posed…
[ Show full fact ]
Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Budget Reconciliation – Concurrence in Senate Amendment)) on 2025-07-03: McGuire voted with 218 Republicans on this near-party-line vote (218–214) to enact sweeping budget reconciliation that included deep cuts to Medicaid and SNAP alongside major tax cuts. VA-05 has a 12.9% poverty rate and 15.7% of constituents rely on Medicaid; cuts to safety-net programs posed material risk to these households. Simultaneously, top donor interests (pro-growth tax provisions, defense spending) aligned with the bill. Constituent groups organized protests outside McGuire's Lynchburg office in opposition.
primary · 2025-07-03 ✓ Verified
In the 2025–2026 cycle (through Dec 31, 2025), McGuire's campaign committee raised $872,444: $439,960 from individual contributions and $225,551 from other committee contributions (PACs).
primary · 2025-12-31 ✓ Verified
Securities and Exchange Commission filing_submission John J. McGuire filed a filing with the SEC on 2017-02-08 (Accession number: N/A).
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) legislation_voted McGuire voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) on 2025-07-03, a budget reconciliation bill that included cuts to Medicaid and SNAP alongside major…
Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. PAC donor $7,500 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00895235/
America'S Mountain PAC donor $8,500 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00883413/
Highwater PAC donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00832568/
Shift5 Political Action Committee donor $7,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00830570/
Frogman PAC donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00809012/
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/
Ranger PAC donor $6,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00767640/
Big Ideas Create Excellence - Bice PAC donor $5,500 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00765644/
Raptor PAC donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00749481/
America Reloaded donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00686816/
Bacon PAC donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00647420/
American Revival PAC donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/
Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00592089/
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC donor $10,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00570226/
Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00563726/
Patriots In Action donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00531590/
Upper Hand Fund donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00503151/
The Guardian Fund donor $5,000 to John J. McGuire III's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00493221/
BillVoteDateAlignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Water Resources Development Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
PROOF Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Retire through Ownership Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
GUARD Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act Yea 2026-09-03 unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require… Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
AGOA Extension Act Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act Yea 2026-08-31 unknown
Last contradiction analysis: Never
No contradictions detected
Last silence detection: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 01:15:59 GMT (via scheduled run)
other / unclassified
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC, Ranger PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified
law & lobbying firms
Honeywell International PAC, American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $8,500 (2026)) — interest area: law & lobbying firms
ideological & single-issue
Susan B Anthony List Inc. Candidate Fund (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue
other candidates' committees
The Guardian Fund (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: other candidates' committees
corporate pacs, industry unlisted
Shift5 Political Action Committee (amounts: $7,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted
colleagues' leadership pacs
Road To Freedom Campaign Committee, Raptor PAC, Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac, Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, American Security PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Upper Hand Fund, Patriots In Action, Mr. Southern Missourian In The…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Road To Freedom Campaign Committee, Raptor PAC, Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac, Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, American Security PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Upper Hand Fund, Patriots In Action, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Bacon PAC, America Reloaded, Big Ideas Create Excellence - Bice PAC, Frogman PAC, Highwater PAC, America'S Mountain PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $8,500 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs
Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $7,500 (2026)
America'S Mountain PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $8,500 (2026)
Highwater PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
Shift5 Political Action Committee Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $7,000 (2026)
Frogman PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $8,500 (2026)
Ranger PAC Other / unclassified $6,000 (2024)
Big Ideas Create Excellence - Bice PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,500 (2026)
Raptor PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
America Reloaded Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
Bacon PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2026)
Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC Other / unclassified $10,000 (2026)
Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
TopicPriorityAlignmentDeviation
Healthcare Access & Rural Hospital Viability 88 -35 62
Campaign Finance & Outside Money in Primaries 54 10 45
Agriculture, Forestry & Rural Economy 82 20 40
Broadband & Rural Infrastructure 72 40 35
Public Safety & Opioid/Substance Abuse Crisis 76 45 35
Election Integrity & Voter Documentation 58 70 30
Economy, Jobs & Small Business 80 55 25
Education, School Choice & Rural Schools 68 60 20
Immigration & Border Security 66 65 20
Energy Costs & Rural Household Burden 74 55 20
Veterans & Military Community 62 55 15
Federal Spending, Debt & Taxes 70 75 15
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Contradiction Risk30%Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence20%Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk15%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume15%Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation0%Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment0%Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]
Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.
$2.8BDonor Contributions
0Money Chains
0Traced Hops
Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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