[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michael K. Simpson

Republican · Representative, ID ·2

Michael K. Simpson is the Republican U.S. Representative (ID's 2nd congressional district). The platform has 5 voting records on file (2022-2025) and 140 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

59 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

22 → 4

Donor Influence 15%

56 → 8

Silence Risk 25%

85 → 21

Contradiction Risk 25%

54 → 14

Intelligence Volume 15%

97 → 15

Constituency Deviation 0%

38 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

Club for Growth did not mount a significant primary challenge against Simpson in the 2024 cycle following his debt ceiling vote, despite having funded his primary opponent in 2022.

inferential · 2024-11-05

Simpson's vote for H.R. 1 in July 2025 represents the largest single deficit increase he has supported in his congressional career (1999-2025), based on CBO projections.

inferential · 2025-07-03

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: LDS (Latter-day Saint) population share: Approximately 25-30% (one of the highest concentrations outside Utah; concentrated in Idaho Falls, Rexburg, and Blackfoot areas)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 34.8 (below national median; large LDS family demographic in eastern Idaho contributes to younger average)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: Approximately 68% (above national average of 65.5%)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+25

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: Approximately 28% (below Idaho average of 30% and national average of 33.7%)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: Approximately 12% (near national average; higher in rural agricultural and tribal communities)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Native American population share: Approximately 2% (Shoshone-Bannock Tribes, Shoshone-Paiute Tribes)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: Approximately 13% (concentrated in agricultural processing communities in Twin Falls, Jerome, and Gooding counties)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White non-Hispanic population share: Approximately 77%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: Approximately $60,800 (below Idaho median of $67,000 and national median of $74,580; rural counties significantly lower)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Idaho Medicaid Expansion — Proposition 2 (2018) (2018) — passed, margin Statewide: 61% Yes — 39% No (including strong support in rural agricultural counties)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Idaho Proposition 1 — Ranked Choice Voting and Open Primaries (2024) (2024) — failed, margin Statewide: 30% Yes — 70% No

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 Manufacturing (food processing — potato, dairy) (share 0.09)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 Educational Services (share 0.08)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 Public Administration (federal — INL and land management) (share 0.11)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.15)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 Agriculture Forestry Fishing and Hunting (share 0.12)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Lamb Weston (potato processing — multiple facilities) (3000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

House Appropriations Committee membership Simpson has served on the committee and chaired the Energy and Water Development Subcommittee, making him a target for PAC contributions from industries he…

International Assoc Of Fire Fighters PAC donor $6,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C70003108/

Perimeter Solutions Inc. PAC donor $6,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00893578/

Boone And Crockett PAC donor $7,500 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00829119/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Constellation Energy Corporation Employee Political Action Committee (Cepac) donor $7,500 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00793711/

PAC For America donor $6,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00772434/

Lasting Investments Strengthening America PAC donor $5,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00764886/

Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac) donor $5,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00762427/

American Revival PAC donor $5,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) donor $5,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00592089/

Leidos Inc. PAC donor $6,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (6 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00546234/

American Dental Political Action Committee donor $10,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00488338/

Nssf PAC/National Shooting Sports Foundation donor $10,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00480863/

Woolpert, Inc Political Action Committee donor $7,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00479899/

National Alliance Of Forest Owners PAC donor $7,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00469080/

Eye Of The Tiger PAC donor $5,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00467431/

Huck PAC donor $5,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00448373/

Burns And Mcdonnell Inc. PAC donor $10,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00442913/

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. PAC donor $10,000 to Michael K. Simpson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00411116/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
PROOF Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Yea	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Local Access to Courts Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Simpson has consistently described himself as a fiscal conservative committed to reducing government spending and the national debt, positioning himself as a responsible appropriator who funds essential government…

[ Show full platform position ]

Simpson has consistently described himself as a fiscal conservative committed to reducing government spending and the national debt, positioning himself as a responsible appropriator who funds essential government functions while limiting wasteful spending.

Vote: on "Simpson voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which the CBO projected would add…"

Simpson's 26-year stated identity as a fiscal conservative and responsible appropriator is directly contradicted by his yes vote on the OBBBA, which CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the deficit — the largest deficit-increasing legislation he has supported in his congressional career, representing a…

[ Show full analysis ]

Last silence detection: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 00:39:34 GMT (via scheduled run)

Spent nuclear fuel storage at Idaho National Laboratory and the 1995 Settlement Agreement's deadlines

2191d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: Simpson represents the district containing Idaho National Laboratory and has served on the Appropriations subcommittee overseeing DOE. The 1995 Idaho Settlement Agreement — negotiated by then-Governor Phil Batt — established legally binding deadlines for removing spent nuclear fuel stored at INL from Idaho by specific dates, including a 2035 final removal deadline. The Department of Energy has repeatedly missed interim milestones under this agreement. As the INL's congressional representative and Energy and Water Appropriations subcommittee member, Simpson would be expected to have a comprehensive accountability record on DOE's compliance with the settlement agreement's fuel removal obligations. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Simpson has been publicly active on INL funding, nuclear energy research, and general energy appropriations, issuing multiple press releases on INL budget allocations and nuclear energy policy. No comprehensive public accountability record specifically addressing DOE's compliance with the 1995 Settlement Agreement's spent nuclear fuel removal milestones has been identified, despite this being the most significant environmental obligation specific to his constituency's relationship with the federal government. Primary URL: https://simpson.house.gov/media/press-releases

Columbia Snake River System dam removal and its intersection with ID-02 agriculture and salmon recovery

1095d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: The debate over potential removal of the four Lower Snake River dams in Washington State — which are used to transport Idaho agricultural products to Pacific export markets via barge — directly affects ID-02 agribusiness interests. Simultaneously, Idaho's salmon recovery obligations create constituent pressure from fishing communities and tribal nations. Simpson proposed a controversial 2021 framework for dam removal paired with agricultural mitigation measures. His public record on this issue is more developed than most congressional members, but the ultimate disposition of his framework and his current position deserve documentation. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Simpson published his salmon recovery framework in 2021 and has discussed it publicly, establishing active engagement. The framework's congressional fate — it was not introduced as formal legislation — and Simpson's current position following the Biden administration's 2024 Columbia Basin Restoration Initiative agreement have received limited systematic documentation in his official press releases. Primary URL: https://simpson.house.gov/media/press-releases

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation PAC, Potlatchdeltic Corporation Political Action Committee (Potla, Ida-PAC, J.R. Simplot Company Political Action Committee, Woolpert, Inc Political Action Committee, Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac), Perimeter Solutions Inc. PAC (amounts: $6,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $7,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

colleagues' leadership pacs

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Freedom Fund, Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Lasting Investments Strengthening America PAC, PAC For America (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,000 (2024)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

other / unclassified

Croplife America Political Action Committee, California Dairies Federal PAC, American Dental Political Action Committee, American Revival PAC, Boone And Crockett PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $7,500 (2024))…

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

ideological & single-issue

Americans For The Arts Action Fund PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

other candidates' committees

Huck PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2026)

International Assoc Of Fire Fighters PAC Labor unions $6,000 (2026)

Perimeter Solutions Inc. PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $6,000 (2026)

Boone And Crockett PAC Other / unclassified $7,500 (2024)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

Constellation Energy Corporation Employee Political Action Committee (Cepac) Oil, gas & mining $5,000 (2026)

PAC For America Colleagues' leadership PACs $6,000 (2024)

Lasting Investments Strengthening America PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2026)

American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2026)

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Leidos Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $6,000 (2026)

American Dental Political Action Committee Other / unclassified $5,000 (2026)

Nssf PAC/National Shooting Sports Foundation Firearms $10,000 (2026)

Woolpert, Inc Political Action Committee Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $7,000 (2026)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Technology Regulation and Data Privacy	55	50	50
Agricultural Policy and Conservation Programs	95	55	45
Health Care Costs and Rural Health Access	76	65	35
Trade Policy and Agricultural Exports	85	70	30
Federal Fiscal Policy and Debt/Deficit Reduction	80	70	30
Energy Development and Resource Extraction	78	72	28
Immigration and Border Security	82	75	25
Education Policy and Local Control	68	75	25
Border Security Funding and Federal Law Enforcement	72	78	22
Federal Lands, Water, and Natural Resource Management	90	80	20
Taxes and Small Business Regulation	84	82	18
Second Amendment and Gun Rights	88	90	10

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$6.0BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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