Confirmed mentions

Operator-confirmed entities that appear in the post body.

Iran · institution
Israel · institution

Window impact

Each cell shows the abnormal return — the stock's move at that window minus the S&P 500 over the same window — so market-wide drift doesn't masquerade as a reaction. Hover any cell for the raw move, the market move, and the baseline. A ~ marks cells where the index baseline wasn't available (raw move shown). When a window can't be computed at all (post outside market hours, no ticker, data not on file, window not elapsed) the cell shows that label. Abnormal return isolates the move — it does not establish that the post caused it.

No window impacts have been computed yet.
Entity 15 min1 hour1 day3 days

Who was positioned to profit

Documented securities trades close in time to this post, in a ticker it moved — the president's family/associates (curated, where documented) and members of Congress matched from the STOCK Act ledger. Each asserts only a documented trade and its timing relative to the post — never that it front-ran or was caused by it.

No documented trades within ±14 days are on file. (Congressional trades are matched from the STOCK Act ledger; family/associate trades are curated where documented.)

Linked beneficiary cascade

Beneficiaries derived for the parent world event. The cascade walks the connection / donor / contract / market graph from the confirmed mentions outward.

No beneficiaries derived.
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