Disclosure Lag CRITICAL REPLICATED today

David P. Joyce: median PTR disclosure lag of 414 days — 9.2× the STOCK Act limit

David P. Joyce's parsed House PTR transactions (11 on file as of 2026-10-19) show a median of 414 days between trade and disclosure — the statute allows 45. 11 of 11 were late; the worst single lag was 756 days. A median (not mean) beyond the limit means late disclosure is this member's routine, not an outlier event.

Computed value: median 414 days (limit 45) (raw: 414)

Involved entities

David P. Joyce

Inference logic

median((filing_date − tx_date)) over the member's parsed transactions, requiring ≥5 transactions; late := lag > 45 days; input set frozen at 2026-10-19T01:29:11.823Z.

Comparative baseline

Corpus median at detection time: 29 days.

Steelman — strongest benign interpretation

A high median can reflect a filing style (batching several months of broker statements into one report) rather than trade-by-trade concealment; amendments and estate/trust reporting also stretch lags. The House Ethics late-fee process, not this ledger, determines culpability.

Sensitivity

Computed over the parsed sample only (11 transactions); the member may have additional filings not yet parsed. Input set pinned to rows created on or before 2026-10-19T01:29:11.823Z so the published median reproduces exactly.

Replication query (SQL)

Anyone can re-execute this query to verify the published value. If the result diverges, the finding auto-flags as stale.

SELECT COALESCE(percentile_cont(0.5) WITHIN GROUP (ORDER BY (f.filing_date - t.tx_date)), 0)::int AS value 
    FROM congressional_ptr_transactions t
    JOIN congressional_ptr_filings f ON f.id = t.filing_id
    WHERE t.tx_date IS NOT NULL
      AND f.filing_date IS NOT NULL
      AND (f.filing_date - t.tx_date) >= 0
      AND (f.filing_date - t.tx_date) < 3650
      AND t.created_at <= '2026-10-19T01:29:11.823Z' AND f.member_full_name = 'David P. Joyce'

Last run: 19 Oct 2026, 01:29 · Last result: 414

Questions this raises

Each question can be commissioned at the matching investigation tier.

SKETCH — $20 Do David P. Joyce's late-disclosed trades overlap the jurisdiction of their committee assignments?

Detector: disclosure_lag v1.0.0 · Created —