[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → Troy Downing

Troy Downing

Republican · Representative, MT ·2

Troy Downing is the Republican U.S. Representative (MT's 2nd congressional district). The platform has 5 voting records on file (2025) and 41 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components
69 ELEVATED
Connection Density 20%
90 → 18
Donor Influence 15%
49 → 7
Silence Risk 25%
95 → 24
Contradiction Risk 25%
69 → 17
Intelligence Volume 15%
42 → 6
Constituency Deviation 0%
28 → 0
Voting Misalignment 0%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 31.5% (national: 33.7%)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+16 (2024); Trump won by 27 points in 2020
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: 83.5% White, 5.1% Native American, 3.9% Hispanic, remainder Asian/Black/other
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 70.6% (national: 65.5%); median home value $311,300
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 7.3% (national: 12.4%)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Age: 40.6 (national: 38.5); largest cohort 60-69 at 13.8%
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 ACS): 552,014
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $71,501 (national: $78,538; well above $37,585 national median per ACS)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Montana CI-126 — Top-Four Primary System (2024) — failed, margin 48% Yes to 52% No
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Montana CI-128 — Right to Abortion Constitutional Initiative (2024) — passed, margin 57% Yes to 43% No (enshrined abortion rights in Montana Constitution)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 - Public Administration (share 0.07)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.12)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction (share 0.08)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.14)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (share 0.15)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Montana State University-Billings (1200 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Town Pump Inc (4500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: State of Montana (Helena) (12000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Benefis Health System (Great Falls) (3000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Billings Clinic (7500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
Circle Internet Financial potential regulatory connection Downing serves on the Digital Assets/FinTech/AI Subcommittee of House Financial Services, which oversees stablecoin issuers like Circle. No direct documented…
Steve Daines colleague Downing (U.S. House, MT-02) and Daines (U.S. Senate, Montana) represent overlapping constituencies in Montana's congressional delegation.
Defend American Jobs campaign support Cryptocurrency-focused PAC Defend American Jobs spent $509,959 supporting Downing in the 2024 Republican primary. Downing later introduced H.R. 5748…
Boeing employment Boeing is a known entity; though not listed among MT-02's top employers, Boeing has facilities in Montana. No direct documented connection to Downing.
US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) policy jurisdiction Downing voted Yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) mandating ICE detention for undocumented immigrants, which falls under DHS jurisdiction. His subcommittees do…
US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) policy impact Downing's Yea vote on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) directs ICE to enforce mandatory detention for theft-related charges against undocumented immigrants.
Donald Trump party alignment Downing voted Yea on Trump's signature reconciliation bill (H.R. 1, 119th Congress). Trump won Downing's district by 27 points in 2020 and 58.4% in 2024.
Ryan Zinke colleague Both serve Montana in the U.S. House of Representatives — Downing as MT-02 (2025-present) and Zinke as MT-01. Zinke is listed in known entities.
Coinbase potential regulatory connection Downing serves on the Digital Assets/FinTech/AI Subcommittee and introduced pro-crypto legislation (H.R. 5748), which would affect crypto exchanges like…
Anduril Industries contractor Anduril is a defense tech company; Downing sits on subcommittees that could oversee procurement. No direct documented connection.
SpaceX potential space/defense interest Downing's district has space-related economic activity (Malstrom AFB). No direct documented connection to SpaceX.
Nvidia potential AI subcommittee interest Downing serves on the Digital Assets/FinTech/AI Subcommittee; Nvidia is a major AI hardware provider. No direct documented connection.
Palantir Technologies potential government contracting Palantir has federal contracts; Downing's Financial Services role could intersect with data privacy rules. No direct documented connection.
Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) oversight Downing's H.R. 1 vote and role on Financial Services could intersect with DOGE's mandate, but no direct documented connection.
Office of Personnel Management (OPM) oversight Downing voted on legislation affecting federal workforce policies. No direct documented interaction with OPM.
Fairshake donor Fairshake is a crypto-focused PAC; Defend American Jobs (which supported Downing) is a crypto PAC. Both are in the same industry vertical, but no direct…
Internal Revenue Service (IRS) policy impact H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) extends TCJA tax cuts administered by IRS, affecting Downing's MT-02 constituents (7.3% poverty rate) through potential…
America'S Mountain PAC donor $8,500 to Troy Downing's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00883413/
E-PAC Majority Makers donor $5,000 to Troy Downing's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00879338/
War Veterans Fund 2024 donor $6,036 to Troy Downing's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00876169/
BillVoteDateAlignment
PROOF Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Water Resources Development Act Nay 2026-09-16 unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Retire through Ownership Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
GUARD Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers… Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act Yea 2026-09-14 unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act Yea 2026-09-03 unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require… Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
AGOA Extension Act Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Local Access to Courts Act Yea 2026-08-31 unknown
Last contradiction analysis: Never
statement_vs_disclosure 90/100
Platform: "Downing's campaign biography and press kit describe him as 'a proud Montanan' who 'moved to Montana in the late 1990s and lives in Helena.' He ran for and won the office of Montana State Auditor — a position regulating…
[ Show full platform position ]
Downing's campaign biography and press kit describe him as 'a proud Montanan' who 'moved to Montana in the late 1990s and lives in Helena.' He ran for and won the office of Montana State Auditor — a position regulating insurance and securities for Montana residents.
"
Vote: on "Downing pled guilty in July 2018 to two misdemeanors: obtaining resident hunting licenses as a…"
Downing has built his entire political identity around being a 'proud Montanan' and won statewide office as Montana State Auditor, yet he pled guilty to illegally obtaining resident hunting licenses for six years as a non-resident, with evidence showing he referred to California as 'home.' The contradiction between…
[ Show full analysis ]
Downing has built his entire political identity around being a 'proud Montanan' and won statewide office as Montana State Auditor, yet he pled guilty to illegally obtaining resident hunting licenses for six years as a non-resident, with evidence showing he referred to California as 'home.' The contradiction between his public Montana identity and the legal finding that he was not a Montana resident for hunting purposes is documented in court records and AP reporting, both independently verifiable from different hostnames (house.gov and apnews.com).
statement_vs_disclosure 60/100
Platform: "Downing campaigned for Montana State Auditor in 2020 saying he would 'protect the consumer' and that his 'prime directive is protecting the consumer.' His campaign website emphasized his commitment to fair regulation…
[ Show full platform position ]
Downing campaigned for Montana State Auditor in 2020 saying he would 'protect the consumer' and that his 'prime directive is protecting the consumer.' His campaign website emphasized his commitment to fair regulation and transparency.
"
Vote: on "The Montana Commissioner of Political Practices found Downing committed seven campaign practice…"
Downing campaigned on 'protecting the consumer' as his 'prime directive,' yet his own campaign was found to have committed seven violations of Montana campaign finance and transparency laws — the very type of regulatory compliance he was pledging to enforce as State Auditor. Both sources are from different hostnames…
[ Show full analysis ]
Downing campaigned on 'protecting the consumer' as his 'prime directive,' yet his own campaign was found to have committed seven violations of Montana campaign finance and transparency laws — the very type of regulatory compliance he was pledging to enforce as State Auditor. Both sources are from different hostnames (mtpr.org and apnews.com).
Last silence detection: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:37:48 GMT (via scheduled run)
California residency vs. Montana political identity
3134d silent
Expected position: As a candidate who built his political career on being a 'proud Montanan' and held the office of Montana State Auditor — a position requiring Montana residency — Downing would be expected to directly address questions about his California…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Expected position: As a candidate who built his political career on being a 'proud Montanan' and held the office of Montana State Auditor — a position requiring Montana residency — Downing would be expected to directly address questions about his California residency during the 2011-2016 period when he illegally obtained resident hunting licenses. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Downing pled guilty in 2018 to two misdemeanors for obtaining resident hunting licenses as a non-resident between 2011-2016. Social media posts entered as evidence showed him referring to Fallbrook, California as 'home.' In his 2024 congressional campaign, he emphasized his Montana identity and 'proud Montanan' biography but has never publicly addressed the residency contradiction beyond blaming accountants for tax-filing errors during the 2018 court case. The issue resurfaced during his 2024 campaign but Downing did not address it in any public forum. Primary URL: https://apnews.com/b1c24efc282a4346a134a25522cc914f
In-person constituent town halls (2025)
250d silent
Expected position: As the freshman representative for Montana's 2nd District, Downing would be expected to hold in-person public town halls to engage constituents on major legislation including the FY2025 budget reconciliation bill that directly affects…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Expected position: As the freshman representative for Montana's 2nd District, Downing would be expected to hold in-person public town halls to engage constituents on major legislation including the FY2025 budget reconciliation bill that directly affects district healthcare, SNAP, and energy policy. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Downing has held four 'telephone town hall' events since taking office, but has avoided larger in-person town-hall formats. On March 22, 2025, nearly 1,000 constituents attended a Billings town hall raising concerns while 'congressional leaders [were] a no-show,' as reported by the Daily Montanan. Downing was active during this window — issuing press releases, introducing legislation, and holding the telephone events — but has not addressed why he declines in-person formats. Primary URL: https://dailymontanan.com/2025/03/22/nearly-1000-attend-billings-town-hall-raising-concerns-while-congressional-leaders-a-no-show/
party committees
Republican Governance Group/Tuesday Group PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: party committees
other candidates' committees
Huck PAC, The Guardian Fund, War Veterans Fund 2024, E-PAC Majority Makers (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $6,036 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees
corporate pacs, industry unlisted
Fair Isaac Corporation Political Action Committee (Fico PAC) (amounts: $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted
colleagues' leadership pacs
Raptor PAC, House Conservatives Fund, Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Upper Hand Fund, Patriots In Action, First In Freedom PAC, Big Sky Opportunity PAC, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Raptor PAC, House Conservatives Fund, Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Upper Hand Fund, Patriots In Action, First In Freedom PAC, Big Sky Opportunity PAC, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), In The Arena PAC, Frogman PAC, America'S Mountain PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $8,500 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs
ideological & single-issue
With Honor PAC, Frontline Patriots (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue
other / unclassified
Acpac Aca International PAC, Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC, Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC, Institute For Portfolio Alternatives Political Action Commit, Send In The Seal PAC (amounts: $8,500 (2026), $5,000…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Acpac Aca International PAC, Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC, Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC, Institute For Portfolio Alternatives Political Action Commit, Send In The Seal PAC (amounts: $8,500 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $7,500 (2026), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified
America'S Mountain PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $8,500 (2026)
E-PAC Majority Makers Other candidates' committees $5,000 (2024)
War Veterans Fund 2024 Other candidates' committees $6,036 (2024)
Franklin Resources Inc PAC (Franklin Templeton PAC) Finance & banking $6,000 (2026)
Send In The Seal PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)
Frogman PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)
Frontline Patriots Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2024)
Fair Isaac Corporation Political Action Committee (Fico PAC) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $10,000 (2026)
Raptor PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
North Dakota Petroleum Council PAC Oil, gas & mining $10,000 (2024)
Institute For Portfolio Alternatives Political Action Commit Other / unclassified $7,500 (2026)
With Honor PAC Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2026)
American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)
In The Arena PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
TopicPriorityAlignmentDeviation
Abortion & Reproductive Rights 72 25 55
Trade Policy & Tariffs 68 45 35
Crypto & Digital Asset Regulation 45 50 30
Public Land Access & Management 92 55 25
Agricultural Policy & Ranching/Farming Interests 95 70 15
Energy Development (Oil, Gas, Coal) 85 80 10
Veterans Affairs & Military 78 70 10
Education & School Choice 70 72 10
Gun Rights & Second Amendment 87 85 8
Law Enforcement & Public Safety 76 90 5
Tax Policy & Economic Freedom 84 88 5
Border Security & Immigration Enforcement 88 92 5
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Contradiction Risk30%Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence20%Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk15%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume15%Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation0%Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment0%Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]
Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 2 elected officials hold documented connections.
$5.3BDonor Contributions
0Money Chains
0Traced Hops
Connected Officials
Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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